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Just a quick reminder of who’s really in charge

Just a quick reminder of who’s really in charge Today the world of banking and finance waited with baited breath for the Federal Reserve in the United States to hike… or not to hike… interest rates. This happens several times each year as the central bank’s Federal Open Market Committee gathers to set monetary policy […]

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Hell To Pay

Hell To Pay Behind the Curve Economic nonsense comes a dime a dozen.  For example, Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen “think(s) we have a healthy economy now.”  She even told the University of Michigan’s Ford School of Public Policy so earlier this week.  Does she know what she’s talking about? Somehow, this cartoon never gets old… If […]

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Fake News From the Fed

Fake News From the Fed What you see in the media is mostly “fake news.” Reuters had this story recently: Most Federal Reserve policymakers think the central bank should take steps to begin trimming its $4.5 trillion balance sheet later this year as long as the economic data holds up, minutes from their last meeting […]

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The Real Dangers Behind The Syrian Crisis Are Economic

The Real Dangers Behind The Syrian Crisis Are Economic Back in 2010/2011 when I was still writing under the pen-name Giordano Bruno, I warned extensively about the dangers of any destabilization in the nation of Syria, long before the real troubles began. In an article titled Migration Of The Black Swans, I pointed out that […]

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Australia Central Bank Warns “High Debt Levels Are Affecting Household Spending”

Australia Central Bank Warns “High Debt Levels Are Affecting Household Spending” For those wondering why despite global markets trading at all time highs, consumer spending has yet to show a substantial pick up, Reserve Bank of Australia governor Philip Lowe has some ideas. Speaking at the Asutralia-Canada Economic Leadership Forum, in which he provided various comaprisons […]

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The Art and Pseudoscience of Monetary Policy

The Art and Pseudoscience of Monetary Policy  Definitely Maybe Everyone’s got a plan for sale these days.  In fact, there are so many plans out there we cannot keep up with them all.  Eat celery sticks and lose weight.  Think and grow rich.  Stocks for the long run.  Naturally, plans like these run a dime […]

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Fischer Admits Fed Is Clueless About What Happens Next

Fischer Admits Fed Is Clueless About What Happens Next In a moment of rare honesty, during a conference in England, Fed Vice Chair Stanley Fischer admitted that the Fed is clueless about what happens next, blaming the Fed’s lack of clarity on Trump and saying there is significant uncertainty about U.S. fiscal policy under the Trump administration. […]

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President-elect Trump stated in his victory speech that he intends to make America great again by infrastructure spending.

President-elect Trump stated in his victory speech that he intends to make America great again by infrastructure spending. Unfortunately, he is unlikely to have the room for manoeuvre to achieve this ambition as well as his intended tax cuts, because the Government’s finances are already in a perilous state. It is also becoming increasingly likely […]

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Doomed to Failure

Doomed to Failure  Larded Up and Larded Over We’ve been waiting for the U.S. economy to reach escape velocity for the last six years.  What we mean is we’ve been waiting for the economy to finally become self-stimulating and no longer require monetary or fiscal stimulus to keep it from stalling out.  Unfortunately, this may […]

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Fed Vice Chair Fischer Admits Fed is Waiting for Godot

Fed Vice Chair Fischer Admits Fed is Waiting for Godot The Fed’s fourth mandate. In his keynote speech on the usual suspects of central-bank topics at the Institute of International Finance’s big shindig in Washington DC today, Fed Vice Chair Stanley Fischer nevertheless managed to develop a new theory for a fourth Fed mandate. This […]

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John Mauldin: The Fed Is Leading Us to Economic Hell

John Mauldin: The Fed Is Leading Us to Economic Hell The Fed argues that low rates have worked. The economy emerged from recession. Unemployment drifted back down. “Yay for us,” said the Fed. Don’t buy that statistical economic garbage. The economy recovered in spite of Fed policy, not because of it. The economy recovered because business owners, entrepreneurs, […]

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Traveling Circus

Traveling Circus After Wednesday’s policy statements by the Fed and Bank of Japan, a harsh light is being shined on the incredible nature of their communications. It would be wise in the current environment to structure investment portfolios with a pro-volatility bias. Central banks in G7 economies have been carrying a heavy load for a […]

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Our uncomfortable ride with central bankers who can’t take us home again: Neil Macdonald

Our uncomfortable ride with central bankers who can’t take us home again: Neil Macdonald The great post-Great Recession money-printing bonanza was supposed to be temporary Chair Janet Yellen decided this week to keep the U.S. Federal Reserve’s interest rate where it is, saying the U.S. economy isn’t yet ready to withstand a modest increase. (Gary […]

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Like Everything Else, History Repeats (Almost Exactly) Because Power Truly Corrupts

Like Everything Else, History Repeats (Almost Exactly) Because Power Truly Corrupts With both the Bank of Japan and Federal Reserve today undertaking policy considerations at the same time, it is useful to highlight the similarities of conditions if not exactly in time. As I wrote this morning, what the Fed is attempting now is very nearly […]

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88% Probability We Just Entered Recession & The Broken Monetary Mechanism That Got Us Here

88% Probability We Just Entered Recession & The Broken Monetary Mechanism That Got Us Here My last piece “The Matrix Exposed” generated a bit of a stir.  And as per usual the PhD’s had some fairly colourful things to say to me regarding the notion that more money and more credit may actually stall an economy.  But look I’m not […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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