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Tag Archives: interest rates
“Trickle Down” Has Failed; Wealth and Income Have “Trickled Up” to the Top .5%
“Trickle Down” Has Failed; Wealth and Income Have “Trickled Up” to the Top .5% Central bank policies have generated a truly unprecedented “trickle-up” of wealth and income to the top .5%. Over the past 20 years, central banks have run a gigantic real-world experiment called “trickle-down.” The basic idea is Keynesian (i.e. the mystical and comically […]
Jim Rogers Warns, The Fed “Has No Clue… Will Ruin Us All”
Jim Rogers Warns, The Fed “Has No Clue… Will Ruin Us All” “What worries you?” asks a Bloomberg TV anchor of billionaire investor Jim Rogers. Rogers was not shy in his response: “The Federal Reserve… has no clue what they are doing. They are going to ruin us all.” Having driven rates to record lows […]
Raising Interest Rates Can’t End Well!
Raising Interest Rates Can’t End Well! The Federal Reserve would like to raise target interest rates because of inflation concerns and concern that asset bubbles are forming. Part of their concern seems to arise indirectly from the rise in oil prices, relative to their low level in early 2016. Figure 1. WSJ figure indicating likely reasons […]
This Region Of The World Is Being Hit By The Worst Economic Collapse It Has Ever Experienced
This Region Of The World Is Being Hit By The Worst Economic Collapse It Has Ever Experienced The ninth largest economy in the entire world is currently experiencing “its longest and deepest recession in recorded history”, and in a country right next door people are being encouraged to label their trash so that the thousands […]
Why the Fed Needs to Raise Rates
Why the Fed Needs to Raise Rates I have warned that rates will rise BECAUSE the Federal Reserve will be criticized if they fail to do so when they are faced with a stock market that is rising. However, while one by one, several Fed officials have all signaled in recent days that the Fed is ready […]
Is an Inflation Comeback in the Works?
Is an Inflation Comeback in the Works? Exterminating Angel LOVINGSTON, VIRGINIA – Amid all the sound and fury of the Trump news cycle, hardly anyone noticed. There is a specter haunting this economy. It is the specter of inflation… See, if you want to whip inflation now, you don’t need to do any of the really […]
2017’s Real Milestone (Or Why Interest Rates Can Never Go Back To Normal)
2017’s Real Milestone (Or Why Interest Rates Can Never Go Back To Normal) Forget about NAFTA or OPEC or TPP or crowd size or hand size or any other acronym or stat or concept that obsesses the financial press these days. Only two numbers actually matter. The first is $20 trillion, which is the level […]
Foreigners Are Dumping U.S. Debt At A Record Pace And Our $20 Trillion National Debt Is Poised To Become A Major Crisis
Foreigners Are Dumping U.S. Debt At A Record Pace And Our $20 Trillion National Debt Is Poised To Become A Major Crisis While most of the country has been focused on the inauguration of Donald Trump, a very real crisis has been brewing behind the scenes. Foreigners are dumping U.S. debt at a faster rate than […]
Policy Makers, like Generals, Are Busy Fighting The Last War
Policy Makers, like Generals, Are Busy Fighting The Last War The Maginot Line formed France’s main line of defense on its German facing border from Belgium in the North to Switzerland in the South. It was constructed during the 1930s, with the trench-based warfare of World War One still firmly in the minds of the […]
President-elect Trump stated in his victory speech that he intends to make America great again by infrastructure spending.
President-elect Trump stated in his victory speech that he intends to make America great again by infrastructure spending. Unfortunately, he is unlikely to have the room for manoeuvre to achieve this ambition as well as his intended tax cuts, because the Government’s finances are already in a perilous state. It is also becoming increasingly likely […]
John Mauldin: The Fed Is Leading Us to Economic Hell
John Mauldin: The Fed Is Leading Us to Economic Hell The Fed argues that low rates have worked. The economy emerged from recession. Unemployment drifted back down. “Yay for us,” said the Fed. Don’t buy that statistical economic garbage. The economy recovered in spite of Fed policy, not because of it. The economy recovered because business owners, entrepreneurs, […]
Should the Fed Raise Interest Rates?
Should the Fed Raise Interest Rates? For some time now the Fed has been hinting that it will moderate its interventions–monetizing government debt by printing money to buy government bonds and now quantitative easing by printing money to buy corporate bonds–in order to drive down the interest rate to unprecedented low levels. The Keynesian theory […]
Hell To Pay
SkillUp/Shutterstock Hell To Pay The final condition for a market crash is falling into place Sometimes I wonder if I’m ever going to run out of new things to say about the economy. Nothing interesting has happened in a long time. Our liquidity-drunk “markets” remain over-priced due to the chronic intervention of the global central […]
Central Banks May Choose Helicopter Money Over Negative Rates
CENTRAL BANKS MAY CHOOSE HELICOPTER MONEY OVER NEGATIVE RATES The US Federal Reserve (Fed) is considering raising rates. Is the “normalization” of interest rates about to happen which savers and investors have been yearning for? Most likely not. Policymakers are merely realizing that the policy of zero rates — or even negative rates as in the euro […]
Time to Get Real: Part I
Time to Get Real: Part I In a world where fair value is a central bank veiled enigma it’s frankly a challenge to keep things real, but I’ll have a go at it in what will be a 3 part series covering central banks, the underlying fundamental picture, and a technical assessment of charts. In this part I’ll be covering […]
