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Where Will The Next Crisis Come From?

Where Will The Next Crisis Come From? Key Points It’s been 10 years since a U.S. financial shock turned into a crisis in the global financial, market and economic system. A shock turns into a crisis when the system is unprepared for it. The system is often at its most vulnerable near the end of […]

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Weekly Commentary: “Periphery to Core Crisis Dynamics”

Weekly Commentary: “Periphery to Core Crisis Dynamics” The renminbi traded at 6.8935 in early-Friday trading, with intensified selling pushing the Chinese currency to its lowest level (vs. the $) since May 26, 2017. The People’s Bank of China (PBOC) was compelled to support their currency, imposing a 20% reserve requirement on foreign-exchange forward contracts (raising […]

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Italy – the Coming Revolution & Euro Crisis for 2021?

Italy – the Coming Revolution & Euro Crisis for 2021? QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong, you obviously have a database on Italy that is without comparison. Nobody else even had a chart on the Italian lira you recently published on the blog. I know you are well aware of the revolutions in Italy and the history. I […]

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Storm warnings

Storm warnings Image: Tom Gill, CC BY-NC-ND 2.0 “The test of science is its ability to predict” — Richard Feynman As if governed by some deterministic law, the current debates between economists and critics follow a predictable path. Critics begin by mentioning the failure of economists to predict or warn of the crisis. Howard Reed […]

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Winter is Coming

WINTER IS COMING “Summer will end soon enough, and childhood as well.” – George R.R. Martin, Game of Thrones “Reflect on what happens when a terrible winter blizzard strikes. You hear the weather warning but probably fail to act on it. The sky darkens. Then the storm hits with full fury, and the air is […]

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The Next Crisis Will Be The Last

The Next Crisis Will Be The Last It is an interesting thing. Throughout the last four decades there is a direct link between the actions of the Federal Reserve and the eventual economic and market outcomes due to changes in monetary policy. In every case, that outcome has been negative. The general consensus continues to […]

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Transformative Thinking on Resilience in a Year of Crisis and Resistance

Transformative Thinking on Resilience in a Year of Crisis and Resistance These are trying times for those who care about equity, sustainability and climate change—the issues that will shape our common future. In 2017, we saw the ascension of a US presidential administration that denies the reality of climate change, emboldens hate groups, and borrows […]

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We know how food production needs to change if crisis is to be avoided – so why isn’t this happening?

We know how food production needs to change if crisis is to be avoided – so why isn’t this happening? As the world races toward a projected 9 billion inhabitants, the failings of dominant food systems are impossible to deny. Current food production methods are severely polluting. They are the cause of malnutrition. They are also […]

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Ron Paul: ‘The Fed Is At A Crossroads…Crisis Is Coming’

Ron Paul: ‘The Fed Is At A Crossroads…Crisis Is Coming’ The Fed has created a mountain of problems for everyone in the United States and every single solution that they come up with leads to even more problems. Ron Paul recently discussed what the Fed has done, how it tries to keep things going, and […]

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Meet the Italian government’s Orwellian new automated tax snitch

Meet the Italian government’s Orwellian new automated tax snitch By the end of the 3rd century AD, the finances of ancient Rome were in terminal crisis. Years and years of debasing the currency had resulted in severe hyperinflation– a period of Roman history known as the Crisis of the Third Century (from AD 235 through […]

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The Deep State: Use an Existing Crisis, or Create One

The Deep State: Use an Existing Crisis, or Create One Rahm Emmanuel was/is (in)famous for his alleged attribution of the quote “Never allow a good crisis to go to waste.” Nevertheless, in the manner that Chaucer’s “Canterbury Tales” is an “English echo” of “The Decameron” by Giovanni Boccaccio, the quote assigned to Emmanuel is a […]

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Venezuela Is Moving From Crisis To Collapse

Venezuela Is Moving From Crisis To Collapse Venezuela’s slumping oil production is a “clear and present danger” to the oil market, RBC Capital Markets said this week. Venezuela’s production continues to fall at a frightening clip, falling to about 1.6-1.7 million barrels per day (mb/d) in December. On an annual basis, Barclays predicts that Venezuela’s […]

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10 Years Automatic Earth

10 Years Automatic Earth Winslow Homer Mending the nets 1881  Yes, it’s 10 years ago today, on January 22 2008, that Nicole Foss and I published our first article on the Automatic Earth (the first few years on Blogger). And, well, obviously, a lot has happened in those 10 years. For ourselves, we went from […]

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China Downgrades US Credit Rating From A- To BBB+, Warns US Insolvency Would “Detonate Next Crisis”

China Downgrades US Credit Rating From A- To BBB+, Warns US Insolvency Would “Detonate Next Crisis” In its latest reminder that China is a (for now) happy holder of some $1.2 trillion in US Treasurys, Chinese credit rating agency Dagong downgraded US sovereign ratings from A- to BBB+ overnight, citing “deficiencies in US political ecology” […]

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The Fierce Urgency of “How”

The Fierce Urgency of “How” When we have reconsidered the lives we have built, how will we live? There is only one pathway to avert the crisis humanity is heading toward, and it is to deeply feel the connection with the ecosystem we are a part of. But understand, this is not an ecological argument, […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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