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China Is Days Away From Killing the Petrodollar

China Is Days Away From Killing the Petrodollar Not long ago, there was a popular joke in China that went something like, “Who is Xi Jinping?” The answer was, “The husband of Peng Liyuan,” the famous singer Xi is married to. Today, Xi is China’s president. He leads 1.4 billion people. And he’ll likely be […]

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China Unveils How It Will Retaliate To US Tariffs, USDJPY Snaps

China Unveils How It Will Retaliate To US Tariffs, USDJPY Snaps While it will hardly come as a surprise considering that trade wars always evolve in an escalating tit-for-tat manner, the WSJ reports that just hours ahead of Trump’s announcement of as much as $60 billion in tariffs targeting Beijing, China is preparing to hit […]

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Time is Running Out: Who Will Protect Our Wrecked Democracy from the American Oligarchy?

Time is Running Out: Who Will Protect Our Wrecked Democracy from the American Oligarchy? Photo by Joe Schueller | CC BY 2.0 There’s been an interesting debate over the years about the relation between capitalism and democracy, for example, are they even compatible? I won’t be pursuing this because I’d like to discuss a different […]

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Things Must Be Serious, Everyone’s Lying

Things Must Be Serious, Everyone’s Lying European Commission President Jean-Claude Juncker had a moment of clarity once.  He famously said, “When things get serious, you have to lie.” Given the state of affairs in his beloved European Union right now Mr. Juncker and company are doing a lot of lying. It is rare in politics […]

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The Perfect Storm for 2020: Weidmann at the ECB, Trump’s trade war, Macron’s failure, Italy’s turmoil

The Perfect Storm for 2020: Weidmann at the ECB, Trump’s trade war, Macron’s failure, Italy’s turmoil Clouds are gathering: Weidmann will end QE while Macron’s reform will not solve any problem whatsoever. It’ll be the final push for a Eurosceptic Italy, where plans for parallel currencies are popping up. Add Trump’s trade war to the […]

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Trump and the Federal Reserve

Trump and the Federal Reserve Many of us would rather not think about the possibility of President Trump getting reelected, but there is little doubt that he is thinking about it. If Trump is serious about winning reelection, he may want to reconsider the sort of people he is appointing to the Federal Reserve. Virtually all political […]

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US National Debt Hits $21 Trillion

US National Debt Hits $21 Trillion For 8 years, we took every opportunity to point out that under Barack Obama’s administration, US debt was rising at a alarmingly rapid rate, having nearly doubled, surging by $9.3 trillion  during Obama’s 8 years. It now appears that the trajectory of US debt under the Trump administration will […]

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An American: “Why I Don’t Trust My Government, At All”

An American: “Why I Don’t Trust My Government, At All” Would you trust your government if it were headed by a President who just now appointed to become the head of the CIA, the very same person who had headed the CIA’s interrogation of a 9/11 suspect whose interrogation consisted of 83 waterboardings (plus other […]

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As Trump Moves Toward War, “The Resistance” Refuses to Resist

As Trump Moves Toward War, “The Resistance” Refuses to Resist Tuesday’s post, It’s Impossible to Overstate How Terrible Mike Pompeo Is, laid out the view that Trump’s firing of Rex Tillerson represents a major shift toward war footing for the Trump administration, with Iran the specific target. This pivot was easily predictable, and I wrote numerous […]

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Albert Edwards: “Trump Will Soon Turn His Protectionist Fire On Germany. That Will Be Messy”

Albert Edwards: “Trump Will Soon Turn His Protectionist Fire On Germany. That Will Be Messy” We were wondering how long before one of our favorite “perma-skeptics”, Socgen’s Albert Edwards, would chime in on the global trade war that broke out in the past few weeks, especially since trade protectionism, tariffs and subsidies are the opposite […]

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Under Trump, U.S. Still Leads World’s Arms Exporters–And Yemenis Are Still Paying the Price

Photo: Abdullah Al-Qadry/AFP/Getty Images UNDER TRUMP, U.S. STILL LEADS WORLD’S ARMS EXPORTERS — AND YEMENIS ARE STILL PAYING THE PRICE UNDER THE TRUMP administration, the U.S. government and weapons manufacturers are making a killing through arms sales to other countries. A report released by the Security Assistance Monitor documented that more than $80 billion worth […]

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Trade Wars

TRADE WARS An overt trade war has commenced. President Trump has fired the starting gun, setting in motion an election promise, part of his Make America Great Again undertaking. It is a blow squarely aimed against China, costing China some trade perhaps, but basically a loser’s last roll of the dice. The back story appears […]

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Trump’s Tariffs Could Start a Real War

Trump’s Tariffs Could Start a Real War Trump’s steel and aluminum tariffs may set his epitaph in stone… “Herbert Hoover II.” History remembers Hoover as one of the worst American presidents. Like Trump, he was a rich international businessman. He was also a political outsider. Hoover hadn’t held public office before his 1929 inauguration. And, […]

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This Isn’t Your Grandfather’s (1960s) Inflation Scare

This Isn’t Your Grandfather’s (1960s) Inflation Scare “This reminds me of the late 1960s when we experimented with low rates and fiscal stimulus to keep the economy at full employment and fund the Vietnam War. Today we don’t have a recession, let alone a war. We are setting the stage for accelerating inflation, just as […]

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Is There a Method to the Socratic Madness?

IS THERE A METHOD TO THE SOCRATIC MADNESS? Bear with me, and let’s together consider a scenario: Imagine one day you wake up, turn on the TV, and there is complete pandemonium. The news has just broken that the Trump administration has set up military tribunals; arrested hundreds of members of both political parties; arrested […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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