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One Chart Shows Where Oil Prices Could Be Headed

One Chart Shows Where Oil Prices Could Be Headed There’s a rare extreme in the oil sector right now… The oil-to-U.S. dollar ratio – which reflects the relationship between the price of oil and the dollar – is near its lowest point in almost seven years. When this ratio hit a low in 2009, the […]

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Oil Prices Down As Storage Keeps On Filling Up

Oil Prices Down As Storage Keeps On Filling Up Happy Thanksgiving Eve! One hundred and forty-eight years to the day after Alfred Nobel patented dynamite, and the fuse has been lit for an explosion to the downside for the crude complex. After geopolitical tension was stoked yesterday, attention shifts back to oversupply today with the […]

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A Surprising Look at Oil Consumption

A Surprising Look at Oil Consumption The EIA publishes oil consumption numbers for all major nations. However they have data for most nations only through 2013. They do have data for some nations through 2014. Nevertheless a lot can be gleaned from just looking at those consumption numbers. If oil consumption numbers are growing year after year, then […]

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Why “supply and demand” doesn’t work for oil

Why “supply and demand” doesn’t work for oil The traditional understanding of supply and demand works in some limited cases–will a manufacturer make red dresses or blue dresses? The manufacturer’s choice doesn’t make much difference to the economic system as a whole, except perhaps in the amount of red and blue dye sold, so it is […]

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The “Syrian Sickness”: What Crude Oil Gives, Crude Oil Can Take Back.

The “Syrian Sickness”: What Crude Oil Gives, Crude Oil Can Take Back. Syria is one of the greatest disasters of recent times. Here, I argue that the origins of the Syrian collapse are to be found in the economic downturn generated by the gradual depletion of the Syrian oil reserves. Crude oil had created modern […]

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Presenting BofA’s “Number One Black Swan Event For The Global Oil Market In 2016”

Presenting BofA’s “Number One Black Swan Event For The Global Oil Market In 2016” We’ve spent quite a bit of time this year talking about Saudi Arabia’s rather precarious financial situation. To be sure, the move to artificially suppress crude prices has at least partly served the kingdom’s interests in terms of market share and […]

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Carving up the Middle East

Carving up the Middle East QUESTION: Why did ISIS target France rather than Germany? Someone said it was France who created Syria. Is that really true? ANSWER: Germany is not actually a target in this chess game. It is one reason we selected Berlin for our conferences even compared to London since we had Panic […]

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Saudis Planning For A War Of Attrition In Europe With Russia’s Oil Industry

Saudis Planning For A War Of Attrition In Europe With Russia’s Oil Industry Russia’s central bank recently warned about the growing financial risks to the Russian economy from Saudi Arabia encroaching upon its traditional export market for crude oil. Russia sends 70 percent of its oil to Europe, but Saudi Arabia has been making inroads […]

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Grandmaster Putin’s Trap – 2

Grandmaster Putin’s Trap – 2 In December of last year we published an intriguing article by Dmitry Kalinichenko, “Grandmaster Putin’s Trap,” which has drawn far more attention from readers than we ever expected. It continues to be cited by many international political and economic experts. That article addressed Russia’s latent strategy to get rid of US bonds […]

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As The World Rolls Over

As The World Rolls Over Brutal news is pouring in from pretty much everywhere. US retail sales are flat and wholesale prices are falling. Big retail chains are missing on earnings and seeing their shares plunge. Chinese nonperforming loans are soaring while imports, car sales and steel production are way down. Oil is flirting with […]

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OPEC Crude Production Down in October

OPEC Crude Production Down in October  OPEC has published their OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report with crude only production numbers for October 2015. The charts are “Crude Only” production and are in thousand barrels per day. OPEC 12 was down 256,000 bpd in October. OPEC uses secondary sources such as Platts and other agencies to report their production numbers. […]

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Oil Market Supply Imbalance Getting Worse, Not Better

Oil Market Supply Imbalance Getting Worse, Not Better Oil futures prices (WTI) plunged 12.5 percent this week from $47.90 on Friday, November 3 to $41.96 yesterday morning, November 11. The main reason is that the global supply imbalance is getting worse. The U.S. Energy Information Administration’s (EIA) latest report indicates that the world supply surplus (production minus […]

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G20 countries spend $450B a year on fossil fuel subsidies, study says

G20 countries spend $450B a year on fossil fuel subsidies, study says Countries promised in 2009 to phase out ‘inefficient’ fossil fuel subsidies — but progress has been slow The processing facility at the Suncor oilsands operations near Fort McMurray, Alta. A new report from Oil Change International finds that G20 countries are spending $452 […]

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The Biggest Threat To Oil Prices: 2-Mile Long Stretch Of Iraq Oil Tankers Headed For The U.S.

The Biggest Threat To Oil Prices: 2-Mile Long Stretch Of Iraq Oil Tankers Headed For The U.S. After some initial excitement, November has seen crude oil prices collapse back towards cycle lows amid demand doubts (e.g. sllumping China oil imports, overflowing Chinese oil capacity, plunging China Industrial Production) and supply concerns (e.g. inventories soaring). However, […]

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Oil Megaprojects Won’t Stay On The Shelf For Long

Oil Megaprojects Won’t Stay On The Shelf For Long One casualty of the oil price downturn could be the megaproject. For years, as conventional oil reserves depleted and became increasingly hard to find, oil companies ventured into far-flung locales to find new sources of production. Extracting oil from these frontier areas required more advanced technology […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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