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Tag Archives: inflation
What Just Changed?
What Just Changed? The illusion that risk can be limited delivered three asset bubbles in less than 20 years. Has anything actually changed in the past two weeks? The conventional bullish answer is no, nothing’s changed; the global economy is growing virtually everywhere, inflation is near-zero, credit is abundant, commodities will remain cheap for the […]
Three Crazy Things We Now Accept as “Normal”
Three Crazy Things We Now Accept as “Normal” How can central banks “retrain” participants while maintaining their extreme policies of stimulus? Human habituate very easily to new circumstances, even extreme ones. What we accept as “normal” now may have been considered bizarre, extreme or unstable a few short years ago. Three economic examples come to […]
Really Bad Ideas, Part 6: Money That “Rots And Rusts”
Really Bad Ideas, Part 6: Money That “Rots And Rusts” In the next downturn (which may have started last week, yee-haw), the world’s central banks will face a bit of poetic justice: To keep their previous policy mistakes from blowing up the world in 2008, they cut interest rates to historically – some would say […]
Inflation Alert: The Velocity Of Money Has Finally Bottomed
Inflation Alert: The Velocity Of Money Has Finally Bottomed Forget the Trump tax cuts, the Senate budget deal, the Fed’s Quantitative Tightening and the collapse in foreign buying of US Treasuries: after years of dormancy, the biggest catalyst for a sharp inflationary spike has finally emerged, and it is none of the above. Behold: the […]
“This Won’t End Well” – Mortgage Rates Spike To 4-Year Highs
“This Won’t End Well” – Mortgage Rates Spike To 4-Year Highs Growth? Inflation? Be careful what you wish for, as the surge in Treasury yields has sent mortgage interest rates to their highest in four years, flashing a big red warning light for affordability and home sales in 2018… The U.S. weekly average 30-year fixed […]
Misleading with Numbers: It’s Worse When the Government Does It
Misleading with Numbers: It’s Worse When the Government Does It Major international comparisons have long concluded that Americans’ ability to effectively utilize mathematics is inadequate. Such conclusions divide students, parents, teachers and administrators into camps that share little more than blaming others for the problems. However, it is unclear whether all the finger-pointing indicates a […]
What Does it Mean, Saving Rate drops to 12-Year Low when 50% of Americans Don’t Have Savings?
What Does it Mean, Saving Rate drops to 12-Year Low when 50% of Americans Don’t Have Savings? Or what the averages are hiding. We will start with income and see what’s left over, and for whom. Personal income increased by 4.1% in December from a year earlier, the Bureau of Economic Analysis reported today. This […]
Visualizing Real Inflation – A Decade Of Grocery Prices For 30 Common Items
Visualizing Real Inflation – A Decade Of Grocery Prices For 30 Common Items Over the span of 2000-2016, the amount of money spent on food by the average American household increased from $5,158 to $7,203, which is a 39.6% increase in spending. Despite this, as Visual Capitalist’s Jeff Desjardins notes, for most of the U.S. […]
Can We Stop the Government Borrowing & Just Print Without Inflation?
Can We Stop the Government Borrowing & Just Print Without Inflation? The conservatives are going nuts about raising the debt ceiling as if this really matters. They claim: “The United States is effectively bankrupt, but that doesn’t matter to the GOP. Once evangelists of fiscal responsibility and scourges of deficit spending, Republicans today glory in spilling […]
Are Inflationary Expectations the Heart of Inflation?
ARE INFLATIONARY EXPECTATIONS THE HEART OF INFLATION? For most economic commentators the underlying driving force of inflation is inflationary expectations[1]. For instance, if there is a sharp increase in the price of oil, individuals may form higher inflationary expectations that could set in motion spiraling price inflation, or so it is held. If somehow expectations […]
According To Albert Edwards, This Country Will Trigger The “Great Unwind”
According To Albert Edwards, This Country Will Trigger The “Great Unwind” For years, SocGen’s permabear Albert Edwards was best known for preaching the gospel of terminal deflation, having introduced the “Ice Age” concept some three decades ago to describe a world trending toward monetary paralysis and the failure of conventional economic policies as central banks […]
Bond Market Smells Inflation, Begins to React
Bond Market Smells Inflation, Begins to React Inflation expectations now exceed the Fed’s target. The 10-year US Treasury yield breached 2.5% on January 9 and hasn’t looked back since, closing on Friday at 2.55%. The three year yield closed at 2.12%, the highest since October 2008. The two year yield, after breaching 2% on Friday […]
As the Controlled Inflation Scheme Rolls On
As the Controlled Inflation Scheme Rolls On Controlled Inflation American consumers are not only feeling good. They are feeling great. They are borrowing money – and spending it – like tomorrow will never come. After an extended period of indulging in excessive moderation (left), the US consumer makes his innermost wishes known (right). [PT] On Monday the Federal Reserve […]
Drowning In The Money River
Photobank gallery/Shutterstock Drowning In The Money River Why the 99% of us are falling farther behind It’s a big club and you ain’t in it. ~ George Carlin If you suspect society is unfair, that there’s a different set of rules the rich live by, you’re right. I’ve had ample chance to witness first-hand evidence […]
