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Is “America First” Hurting Global Energy Relations?
Is “America First” Hurting Global Energy Relations? Throughout history the strong bond between the United States and Europe, arguably the world’s most important alliance, has been decisive within the international arena. Massive migration from the ‘old world’ to the ‘new’ during the past centuries has been the reason for sharing important norms and values such […]
How the US, Under Obama, Created Europe’s Refugee Crisis
How the US, Under Obama, Created Europe’s Refugee Crisis The current US President, Donald Trump, claimed on June 18th, that Germany’s leadership, and the leadership in other EU nations, caused the refugee-crisis that Europe is facing: “The people of Germany are turning against their leadership as migration is rocking the already tenuous Berlin coalition. Crime in […]
Referendums in Europe: Tool for Civic Engagement or Carnivalesque Prop?
REFERENDUMS IN EUROPE: TOOL FOR CIVIC ENGAGEMENT OR CARNIVALESQUE PROP? “The Roman carnival is not really a festival given for the people but one the people give themselves. At a given signal, everyone has leave to be as mad and foolish as he likes, and almost everything, except fisticuffs and stabbing, is permissible. The difference […]
The Beast From The East, coal, gas and the UK
The Beast From The East, coal, gas and the UK In late February 2018 high pressure over the North Atlantic and low pressure over the Mediterranean combined to generate a strong easterly airflow that brought Siberian temperatures to Western Europe, increasing heating demand to the point where there was a shortage of natural gas. The […]
Europe Is Awash With Oil Stored On Ships
Europe Is Awash With Oil Stored On Ships While many analysts and agencies have already called the end of the global oil glut, oil held in floating storage in Europe is at an at least 18-month-high, also due to the booming U.S. oil exports that have displaced some of the traditional crude oil routes in […]
The Eurozone’s Coming Debt Crisis
The Eurozone’s Coming Debt Crisis The European Central bank has signaled the end of its asset purchase program and a possible rate hike before 2019. After more than 2 trillion euro of purchases and zero interest rate policy, it is overdue. The massive quantitative easing program has generated very significant imbalances and the risks outweigh […]
Italian Politics: The Calm Before the Next Storm
ITALIAN POLITICS: THE CALM BEFORE THE NEXT STORM Europe remains a potential source of angst for financial markets in the form of another existential crisis for the Eurozone. True, stock markets have relaxed over the past week in part because of relief that another Italian election has been avoided for now and in part because […]
Return of the Euro Crisis: Italy Quakes, Rest of the World Shakes and Merkel’s Empire Breaks
Return of the Euro Crisis: Italy Quakes, Rest of the World Shakes and Merkel’s Empire Breaks Europe’s many fault lines are spreading once again, bringing the endless euro crisis saga back in 3-D realism. Italy gained a new anti-establishment government last week, even as Spain elected a new Socialista government that could crack Catalonia off from the […]
NATO Sabre Strike Exercise: Scaring Russia with Multiple War Games of Unparalleled Scale
NATO Sabre Strike Exercise: Scaring Russia with Multiple War Games of Unparalleled Scale This year, NATO has already organized about 100 exercises, 20 percent more compared to the same period in 2017. Saber Strike-2018, a large-scale US-led exercise involving 18,000 soldiers from 19 NATO members and partner nations, kicked off on June 3 to last […]
The Pension Crisis Will Break Up the EU
The Pension Crisis Will Break Up the EU The German public broadcast agency ARD is proposing structural changes. Due to the low-interest rates, the ECB has placed the agency in hard times with its pensions. Karola Wille, the director, has called for structural reform to reduce costs. The proposal centers on technological change to increase efficiency […]
Staying the Course: the Long March of Middle East Destruction
Staying the Course: the Long March of Middle East Destruction When falsely convicted Andy Dufresne bored a hole through the Shawshank prison wall over the course of two decades, narrator “Red” says that Andy always liked geology, and that geology, like digging through a prison wall with a rock hammer, is just a matter of “pressure […]
Visa Goes Down in the UK, Chaos Ensues, Cash is Suddenly King
Visa Goes Down in the UK, Chaos Ensues, Cash is Suddenly King War on Cash Suffers Setback. For over 12 hours on Friday, shopping centers in the UK and other parts of Europe were plunged into chaos as millions of consumers were unable to use their Visa debit or credit cards at points of sale. […]
Weekly Commentary: Italian Drama
Weekly Commentary: Italian Drama As I see it, cracks are opening in the greatest Bubble of all time. Serious fissures have developed in EM, Europe and China. Meanwhile, the stimulus-driven U.S. economic boom runs unabated. Global fragilities place downward pressure on U.S. market yields, while faltering Bubbles elsewhere stoke (self-reinforcing) outperformance – and speculative excess […]
One Word: Contagion
One Word: Contagion Terrible news, I’m afraid. The trainwreck that is Italian politics has always been a hoot to watch. But this time around the implications to what happens in Rome are, as Trump would say, yuuuge. You’ve probably seen the news-flow out of Europe. Tasked with finding a suitable candidate to head a coalition […]
Trump Started a Global Trade War Today: Canada, Mexico Responded, So Will Europe
Trump Started a Global Trade War Today: Canada, Mexico Responded, So Will Europe Trump has been itching for a global trade war ever since he took office. He just confirmed one. The U.S. will impose tariffs on steel and aluminum imports from Canada, Mexico and the European Union starting on Friday. Trump’s ill-advised Tariffs Provoked […]
