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Olduvai III: Catacylsm
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Losing Control

Losing Control Markets are beginning to signal that policy makers are losing control.  Many second-order-effects of the unprecedented and experimental global actions taken since the 2008 crisis are beginning to manifest.  There are always causes and effects that develop; but they do so at different speeds. Many actions in recent years have prioritized ‘benefits today’ […]

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China Warns Against Irrational Exuberance

China Warns Against Irrational Exuberance Yesterday, we pointed out that in US dollar terms, Chinese stocks are a real standout among the world’s equity markets, having nearly doubled in less than a year. The catalyst? Liquidity, driven by a number of factors including, as UBS notes, expectations of further policy easing, QE-lite, bank bridge loans, and of course, […]

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Central Bank Credibility, the Equity Markets and Gold

Central Bank Credibility, the Equity Markets and Gold. Central bank credibility is at all-time highs.  As a consequence, we suggest, equities are near all-time highs too while gold is scraping multi-year lows. A change though may be in the offing with all three. Not today, nor tomorrow. But perhaps sooner than most think. Here’s how […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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