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Peter Schiff: ‘The Fed Is Like Mr. Magoo! We Are Headed For A Massive Financial Crisis’

Peter Schiff: ‘The Fed Is Like Mr. Magoo! We Are Headed For A Massive Financial Crisis’ Peter Schiff has been saying that even though the stock market is on a slow downward slide, the biggest problem is actually in the bond market. Last week, Schiff warned us to be wary of the calm before the […]

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Markets Better Prepare for Stagflation

Markets Better Prepare for Stagflation By all metrics, prices are heating up. But the same can’t be said for economic activity. Pray for Jerome Powell.     Photographer: Andrew Harrer/Bloomberg Investors better wake up to the growing risk of stagflation. The coming weeks promise to deliver the verdict on how they should be positioned. By […]

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Japan Expects to Hit 2% Inflation in 5 Years, Aggressive Easing Will Continue

Japan Expects to Hit 2% Inflation in 5 Years, Aggressive Easing Will Continue The BOJ thinks Japan may hit its 2% inflation target in 5 years. Kuroda says risks are to the downside. It may take Japan five more years to reach its 2% inflation targetaccording to BOJ governor Haruhiko Kuroda. “Sometime within the next […]

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Lesson From Canada: There Really Are No Rate Hike Targets

Lesson From Canada: There Really Are No Rate Hike Targets Despite an inflation spike in Canada, Bank of Canada Governor Stephen Poloz says “Rate hikes Aren’t Mechanical.” Bloomberg reports Poloz Says Canadian Inflation Spike Doesn’t Violate 2% Target. Bank of Canada Governor Stephen Poloz said he’s not worried about inflation temporarily rising above the 2 […]

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Belief in Inflation (And 4 or More Rate Hikes in 2018) Picks Up

Belief in Inflation (And 4 or More Rate Hikes in 2018) Picks Up Investors Increasingly believe the Fed may hike four or more times in 2018. The inflation scare is picking up steam. Due to Federal Reserve Beige Book regional reports, investors increasingly believe the Fed will go on a rate hike spree this year. […]

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The Deflation/Inflation Debate

THE DEFLATION/INFLATION DEBATE  “Naïve inflationism demands an increase in the quantity of money without suspecting that this will diminish the purchasing power of the money.” ― Ludwig von mises,  The Theory of Money and Credit It is hardly surprising that with equity indices stalling, the financial community is increasingly worried that the long, steady bull market […]

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Opinion Nearly Unanimous: Inflation Has Arrived

Opinion Nearly Unanimous: Inflation Has Arrived Opinion is nearly unanimous. Inflation is coming and it won’t be short-lived. Inflation proponents are coming out of the woodwork. Here are some examples. Inflation is Building DiMartino: Inflation Is Building And The Fed Will React. “Former Fed insider Danielle DiMartino knows the Fed will be out of bullets […]

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Krugman Dismisses That an Increase in Money Supply Causes Inflation

KRUGMAN DISMISSES THAT AN INCREASE IN MONEY SUPPLY CAUSES INFLATION In the New York Times article on March 27, 2018 – Immaculate inflation strikes again – Paul Krugman argues that those economists who are of the opinion that the key factor that causes inflation is increases in money supply are very wrong. According to Krugman, […]

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Economists Who Push Inflation Stunned That Rising Home Prices Put Buyers Deeper Into Debt

Economists Who Push Inflation Stunned That Rising Home Prices Put Buyers Deeper Into Debt Once again, when the government intervenes – this time in housing – the left hand is starting a fire that the right hand is trying to put out.Rising prices for homes are once again pricing out prime borrowers and nobody can […]

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BofA’s Striking Admission: Markets Will Soon Begin To Panic About Debt Sustainability

BofA’s Striking Admission: Markets Will Soon Begin To Panic About Debt Sustainability In the latest BofA survey of European fixed income investors (both IG and high yiled), the bank’s credit analyst Barnaby Martin writes that “after fretting about inflation at the start of the year, April’s credit survey shows that the biggest concern has reverted […]

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The Case For a Gold Currency Part 2: Wages and Growth: Higher Under Classical Gold Standard

THE CASE FOR A GOLD CURRENCY PART 2: WAGES AND GROWTH: HIGHER UNDER CLASSICAL GOLD STANDARD When the world was on the gold standard, the fastest rate of economic growth happened between 1870 and 1914, when the gold standard was suspended in Europe because of WWI. Not only that, but blue collared workers then saw […]

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Who Needs Wall Street When You Can Have A Monetary Unicorn?

Who Needs Wall Street When You Can Have A Monetary Unicorn? The single most important price in all of capitalism is the interest rate—-and at all points on the maturity curve. And the single most important truth about honest interest rates is that they must be discovered by markets, not imposed by the state. We got to […]

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Nothing Exceeds Like Excess

Nothing Exceeds Like Excess The first panacea for a mismanaged nation is inflation of the currency; the second is war. Both bring a temporary prosperity; both bring a permanent ruin. But both are the refuge of political and economic opportunists. —Ernest Hemingway Military spending is the second largest item in the US federal budget after […]

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High Debt Levels Rant

HIGH DEBT LEVELS RANT I am going to break from regular market commentary to step back and think about the big picture as it relates to debt and inflation. Let’s call it philosophical Friday. But don’t worry, there will be no bearded left-wing rants. This will definitely be a market-based exploration of the bigger forces […]

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Freight Costs and Volumes Surge, Inflation Fears Heat Up

Freight Costs and Volumes Surge, Inflation Fears Heat Up February was off the chart. “We are seeing an unprecedented rise in logistics costs,” General Mills CEO Jeff Harmening told the Wall Street Journal after the company reported earnings. Shares dropped 9% on Wednesday and another 2% on Thursday. They’re down nearly 40% from their peak […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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