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The Fed and Interest Rates

THE FED AND INTEREST RATES Most experts agree that through the manipulation of short-term interest rates, the central bank by means of expectations regarding future interest rate policy can also dictate the direction of long-term interest rates. On this way of thinking expectations regarding future short-term interest rates are instrumental in setting the long-term rates. […]

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US Household Debt Hits Record $13.3 Trillion

US Household Debt Hits Record $13.3 Trillion Total household debt hit a new record high, rising by $82 billion to $13.29 trillion in Q2 of 2018, 3.5% higher than a year earlier according to the NY Fed’s latest household debt report. It was the 16th consecutive quarter with an increase in household debt, and the […]

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Top U.S. Shale Producers Soaring Debt Service Guts Profits

Top U.S. Shale Producers Soaring Debt Service Guts Profits The massive debt accumulated by the U.S. Shale Industry is now decimating company profits.  As company debts and interest rates rise, these shale producers interest expense also continues to increase.  Debt service is not only cutting into company profits, but it also takes a great deal […]

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The U.S. Government To Fork Out A Half Trillion To Service Its Debt In 2018

The U.S. Government To Fork Out A Half Trillion To Service Its Debt In 2018 The U.S. Government is going to surpass another significant milestone this year.  According to the recently released data from the TreasuryDirect.gov, the government will fork out a stunning half trillion dollars just to service its debt in 2018.  Unfortunately, as […]

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Fed Sweeps Yield Curve Under the Rug – What Are They Trying to Hide?

Fed Sweeps Yield Curve Under the Rug – What Are They Trying to Hide? A few weeks ago we reported the Fed was getting hawkish despite what they were calling “low inflation.” In that article, we showed rates possibly being raised more than 4 times in 2019. But more importantly, we warned that anyone investing […]

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Is Trump Starting To Lean On The Fed Or Setting It Up?

Is Trump Starting To Lean On The Fed Or Setting It Up? President Trump said in an interview with CNBC’s Joe Kernan this morning he “does not agree”, is not “thrilled” or “happy” with the FOMC’s interest rate hikes.  The full interview and transcripts will be available tomorrow. Click here for excerpt of interview You Heard […]

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Canary in the Coal-MIne–Emerging Market Contagion

CANARY IN THE COAL-MINE – EMERGING MARKET CONTAGION Emerging market currencies, bonds and stocks have weakened Fears about the impact of US tariffs have been felt here most clearly The risk to Europe and Japan is significant Turkey may be the key market to watch As US interest rates continue to normalise and US tariffs […]

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Ron Paul Warns That When The “Biggest Bubble In The History Of Mankind” Bursts It Could “Cut The Stock Market In Half”

Ron Paul Warns That When The “Biggest Bubble In The History Of Mankind” Bursts It Could “Cut The Stock Market In Half” When this bubble finally bursts, will we witness the biggest stock market crash in U.S. history?  “The bigger they come, the harder they fall” is a well used phrase, but I think that […]

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NIRP Did It: I’m in Awe of How Central-Bank Policies Blind Investors to Risks

NIRP Did It: I’m in Awe of How Central-Bank Policies Blind Investors to Risks “Reverse-Yankee” Junk Bond Issuance Hits Record. It’s paradise for US companies looking for cheap money. They range from sparkly investment-grade companies, such as Apple with its pristine balance sheet, to “junk” rated companies, such as Netflix with its cash-burn machine. They […]

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Bank of Canada Hikes Rates By 25bps, Loonie Rises On Hawkish Take

Bank of Canada Hikes Rates By 25bps, Loonie Rises On Hawkish Take The Bank of Canada raised the overnight rate by 25bps to 1.5%, in line with consensus estimates. In justifying the move, the Bank said it expects the global economy to grow by about 3.75% in 2018 and 3.5% in 2019, adding that the […]

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Make Capital Cheap and Labor Costly, and Guess What Happens?

Make Capital Cheap and Labor Costly, and Guess What Happens? Employment expands in the Protected cartel-dominated sectors, and declines in every sector exposed to globalization, domestic competition and cheap capital. If you want to understand why the global economy is failing the many while enriching the few, start with the basics: capital, labor and resources. […]

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Michael Pento: When The Yield Curve Inverts Soon, The Next Recession Will Start

Michael Pento: When The Yield Curve Inverts Soon, The Next Recession Will Start Expected timing: this Fall Collectively, the world’s major central banks have pumped $1.1 trillion into the markets over the past year. The result of all this money printing is now well known: massively inflated real estate, stock and bond asset price bubbles, […]

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Living Dangerously

LIVING DANGEROUSLY Regular readers of Goldmoney’s Insights should be aware by now that the cycle of business activity is fuelled by monetary policy, and that the periodic booms and slumps experienced since monetary policy has been used in an attempt to manage economic outcomes are the result of monetary policy itself. The link between interest rate suppression […]

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America’s Greatest Crisis Upon Us…Debt to GDP Makes It Clear

America’s Greatest Crisis Upon Us…Debt to GDP Makes It Clear America in the midst of its greatest crisis in its 242 years of existence.  I say this based upon the US federal debt to GDP (gross domestic product) ratio.  In the history of the US, at the onset of every war or crisis, a period of federal […]

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Weekly Commentary: The Great Fallacy

Weekly Commentary: The Great Fallacy A big week in the world of monetary management: The Federal Reserve raised rates 25 bps, the ECB announced plans to wind down its historic QE program, and the Bank of Japan clung to its “powerful monetary easing” inflationist scheme. A tense People’s Bank of China left rate policy unchanged, […]

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