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992 Billion Reasons Why The Fed Needs Another Market Crash In The Next Few Weeks
992 Billion Reasons Why The Fed Needs Another Market Crash In The Next Few Weeks Speaking in a video conference organized by the Peterson Institute, turbo money printer Jerome Powell today reassured the market that negative rates are not something the Fed – which expanded its balance sheet by $2.6 trillion in the past two months […]
The Way of the Tao Is Reversal
The Way of the Tao Is Reversal As Jackson Browne put it: Don’t think it won’t happen just because it hasn’t happened yet. We can summarize all that will unfold in the next few years in one line: The way of the Tao is reversal. This is the opening line of Chapter 40 of Lao Tzu’s 5,000-character […]
The Enslavement of Infinite Money
The Enslavement of Infinite Money The phrase “don’t fight the Fed” is an unfortunate but popular delusion. It presupposes that the central bank has limitless power to direct the economy because it can print limitless money. I’m not sure where this idea comes from, but consider the fact that anyone today who is under 30 […]
Powell Needs To Immediately Address Negative Rates Or He Will Lose Control
Powell Needs To Immediately Address Negative Rates Or He Will Lose Control Today was a historic day, not for the latest algo-driven meltup in stocks, but because for the first time ever, fed fund futures priced in negative rates, first in January 2021 and shortly after, as recently as November 2020. In response to the […]
“It’s Devastating”: Kashakri Says Real Unemployment Rate Is As High As 24%
“It’s Devastating”: Kashakri Says Real Unemployment Rate Is As High As 24% Minneapolis Fed president, Neel Kashkari, said that Friday’s jobs report will likely understate the real unemployment picture as it will only reflect people who are “actively looking for work”, a nearly impossible task in a time of nationwide lockdowns, and that the country […]
The Problem is Not Deflation, It’s Attempts to Prevent It
The Problem is Not Deflation, It’s Attempts to Prevent It Let’s investigate the Fed’s effort to prevent price deflation. Here’s a Tweet that caught my eye. Real Vision✔@RealVision · May 1, 2020 “We’re about to have deflation and the market hasn’t figure it out yet… when it does, the Fed is going to shit itself.” @hendry_hugh @raoulGMIhttps://rvtv.io/3aWzxf4 […]
THE WOLF STREET REPORT: Nothing’s Fixed – What’s Behind the Corporate Debt Bailout
THE WOLF STREET REPORT: Nothing’s Fixed – What’s Behind the Corporate Debt Bailout Over the past two years, nobody knew what would trigger the next financial crisis, but just about everyone knew it would involve the record pile of corporate debt. And so it happened. Now the Fed fixed it…
Gold Is Set to Crash? No Way!
Gold Is Set to Crash? No Way! The mainstream is a fickle place. On the one hand, we had Bank of America raising its 18-month price projection for gold to $3,000. On the other hand, some people argue the price of gold could crash later in the year. Gold is up over 13% on the year, but […]
Inflation or Deflation? Collapse in Demand Trumps Supply Shocks
Inflation or Deflation? Collapse in Demand Trumps Supply Shocks The inflationists are coming out of the woodwork, but they are wrong. Get Ready for the Return of Inflation, says Tim Congdon, in a Wall Street Journal op-ed. The economists Milton Friedman and Anna Jacobson Schwartz demonstrated in “A Monetary History of the United States” that a collapse […]
Finally, It Matters What The Fed Can And Can’t Print
Finally, It Matters What The Fed Can And Can’t Print Sound money advocates have been proclaiming that “the Fed can’t print gold” pretty much since the end of the last gold standard in 1971. But no one outside our little echo chamber paid attention, fixating instead on what the Fed could print: trillions of dollars that were […]
Eric Peters: ‘Fed Isn’t Just Delaying The Inevitable Reckoning…It’s Making It Worse’
Eric Peters: ‘Fed Isn’t Just Delaying The Inevitable Reckoning…It’s Making It Worse’ As investors in the US and around the world confront the fact that the Federal Reserve is never really out of ammo, One River Asset Management Founder Eric Peters joined Erik Townsend for an interview on Townsend’s weekly MacroVoices podcast, which features in-depth interviews with […]
The destructive force of bank credit
The destructive force of bank credit Commentators routinely confuse the deflationary effects of a contraction of bank credit with the inflationary effects of central bank policies designed to offset it. Central banks always ensure their stimulus is greater, so inflation, not deflation, is always the outcome. In order to understand bank credit, we must enter […]
The Trickle-Up Bailout
The Trickle-Up Bailout It’s early days, but the Federal Reserve “bazooka” has mostly impacted the 1% Take a look at some contrasting sets of headlines. First, from planet earth: Weekly Jobless Claims Hit 5.425 Million, Raising Monthly Loss To 22 Million Due To Coronavirus (CNBC) Worst Case Fears Of 20%-Plus U.S. Jobless Rate Are Now Realistic (Bloomberg) […]
Credit Markets – The Waiting Game
Credit Markets – The Waiting Game Everything and the Kitchen Sink After the first inter-meeting rate cut in early March, we opined that further rate cuts were a near certainty and that “not-QE” would swiftly morph into “QE, next iteration” (see Rate Cutters Unanimous for the details). As it turned out, the monetary mandarins did not even […]
Weekly Commentary: When Money Died
Weekly Commentary: When Money Died Sitting at the dinner table, our eleven-year old son inquired: “If a big meteor was about to hit the earth, how much money would the Fed print?” I complimented his sense of humor. Yet it was a sad testament to the historic monetary fiasco that will haunt his generation. Federal […]
