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Tag Archives: interest rates
When The US’s Stock Market Bubble Bursts, Inevitable Disaster Will Follow
When The US’s Stock Market Bubble Bursts, Inevitable Disaster Will Follow Complete and utter disaster will be inevitable and unavoidable when the United States’ stock market bubble bursts. Unfortunately, too many think the high stock market is evidence of a stable economy, but it’s actually an artificial bubble that will end in a disastrous crisis. This unusual […]
After 10 Years of “Recovery,” What Are Central Banks So Afraid Of?
After 10 Years of “Recovery,” What Are Central Banks So Afraid Of? If the world’s economies still need central bank life support to survive, they aren’t healthy–they’re barely clinging to life. The “recovery”/Bull Market is in its 10th year, and yet central banks are still tiptoeing around as if the tiniest misstep will cause the […]
Interest Rates Need to Tell the Truth
INTEREST RATES NEED TO TELL THE TRUTH In the middle of July 2018, President Donald Trump said in an interview that he was “not happy” with the Federal Reserve nudging up interest rates and threatening economic growth in the United States. At the recent Jackson Hole, Wyoming, meeting of global central bank leaders, the Federal […]
These “Gradual” Rate Hikes Start to Add Up: US Treasury Yields up to Three Years Hit 10-Year Highs
These “Gradual” Rate Hikes Start to Add Up: US Treasury Yields up to Three Years Hit 10-Year Highs An entire generation working on Wall Street has never seen Treasury yields this high. The one-month treasury yield rose to 2.0% yesterday at the close and is at about the same level today, the highest since June […]
Shale Won’t Trigger The Next Financial Crisis
Shale Won’t Trigger The Next Financial Crisis Many think that debt and negative cash flow by U.S. shale companies will crash the global financial system. I believe the opposite is more likely, that a developing financial crisis may crash oil prices and test the survival of shale plays. In The Next Financial Crisis Lurks Underground, […]
No Fracking Way: Debt-Laden Shale Producers May Unleash The Next Financial Crisis
No Fracking Way: Debt-Laden Shale Producers May Unleash The Next Financial Crisis After nearly two decades of horizontal drilling, fracking – as it is commonly known, has “turned the energy world upside down,” according to Journalist Bethany McLean, a former Goldman Sachs analyst-turned-journalist. And according to a new op-ed in the New York Times, McLean has a warning for […]
Emerging Market Contagion Threatens Oil Market
Emerging Market Contagion Threatens Oil Market The emerging market currency crisis is not over yet, and could yet morph into a broader contagion that threatens to drag down oil demand. Last week, Argentina’s peso fell by around 20 percent in just a few days, taking year-to-date losses over 50 percent. The central bank frantically hiked […]
The Uncomfortable Hiatus
The Uncomfortable Hiatus And so the sun seems to stand still this last day before the resumption of business-as-usual, and whatever remains of labor in this sclerotic republic takes its ease in the ominous late summer heat, and the people across this land marinate in anxious uncertainty. What can be done? Some kind of epic […]
Inflation Has Run Amok – Danielle DiMartino Booth
Inflation Has Run Amok – Danielle DiMartino Booth Former Fed insider Danielle DiMartino Booth is sure the Fed is going to raise interest rates again at the September meeting. Why? DiMartino Booth explains, “I think he’s (Jerome Powell) the most independent Fed Chair in the past 30 years, and I think he’s going to raise […]
Weekly Commentary: Powell, Greenspan and Whatever it Takes
Weekly Commentary: Powell, Greenspan and Whatever it Takes Fed Chairman Powell is in a tough spot, one made no easier now that he’s on the receiving end of disapproving presidential tweets. The global Bubble has begun to falter, which only exacerbates divergences between various markets and economies. The U.S. is booming, while China struggles and […]
Fed Staff Delivers Intellectual Ammo for Hawkish Approach to Inflation
Fed Staff Delivers Intellectual Ammo for Hawkish Approach to Inflation “Because monetary policy acts with a lag, waiting for inflation to materialize before reacting is undesirable, particularly when economic conditions are such that outsized deviations of inflation from its target are a plausible outcome.” Let’s break the above quote apart and put it in perspective: […]
If You Read Between The Lines, Global Economic Leaders Are Telling Us Exactly What Is Coming
If You Read Between The Lines, Global Economic Leaders Are Telling Us Exactly What Is Coming Sometimes, a strongly-worded denial is the most damning evidence of all that something is seriously wrong. And when things start to really get crazy, “the spin” is often the exact opposite of the truth. In recent days we have […]
Toxic Mix in Canada: Spiking Inflation, Variable-Rate Mortgages, and a Housing Bubble
Toxic Mix in Canada: Spiking Inflation, Variable-Rate Mortgages, and a Housing Bubble What will the Bank of Canada do? The Bank of Canada has nudged up its target rate four times, starting July a year ago, from 0.5% to 1.5%. It last hiked on July 11. But now it is facing inflation that suddenly and […]
The Anatomy of a Crisis: A Strong Dollar and Disappearing Liquidity
The Anatomy of a Crisis: A Strong Dollar and Disappearing Liquidity Since March – the dollar’s rallied over 7%. And it’s caused the Emerging Markets to implode. But the bigger problem is what lies ahead. And that’s a global dollar shortage – which the mainstream continues to ignore. . . I’ve touched on this a […]
You Should Fear the Emerging Market Debt Bubble
You Should Fear the Emerging Market Debt Bubble Global debt has ballooned since the financial crisis as central banks have distorted markets and fueled debt bubbles in particular. A lot of the increase in global debt has come from emerging market (EM) economies, especially China. In fact, a record amount of EM debt has accumulated […]
