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Tag Archives: inflation
Inflation Rearing Its Ugly Head
Inflation Rearing Its Ugly Head The world of finance and investment, as always, faces many uncertainties. The US economy is booming, say some, and others warn that money supply growth has slowed, raising fears of impending deflation. We fret about the banks, with a well-known systemically-important European name in difficulties. We worry about the disintegration […]
Eric Peters: “People Assume That Stocks Always Rise Over Time. They’re Wrong”
Eric Peters: “People Assume That Stocks Always Rise Over Time. They’re Wrong” This week on the MacroVoices podcast, host Erik Townsend welcomed Eric Peters, the CEO and CIO of One River Asset Management, for a discussion about the long-term future of the US economy, and how demographics, the expanding US debt, and the waning influence […]
Does Economic Growth Cause Inflation?
DOES ECONOMIC GROWTH CAUSE INFLATION? Most experts are of the view that as the economy gains strength the Fed must step in at some stage and introduce a tighter stance in order to prevent the rate of inflation getting out of control. Why however, should economic growth be positively associated with a general increase in […]
“Truly Awful Numbers”: Lira Tumbles After Turkish Inflation Explodes Most In 15 Years
“Truly Awful Numbers”: Lira Tumbles After Turkish Inflation Explodes Most In 15 Years Having stabilized modestly after its mid-June rout, which sent the Turkish Lira to a record low of 4.74 – on the re-election of president Erdogan of all things – overnight the TRY tumbled as much as 1.4% to 4.6813 after Turkey reported […]
Emerging Market Crisis Spreads To The Core, Central Banks Face Catch-22
Emerging Market Crisis Spreads To The Core, Central Banks Face Catch-22 One of the things giving “data-driven” central banks wiggle room on their pledge to tighten monetary policy is the fact that there are several definitions of inflation. In the US the thing most people think of as inflation is the consumer price index, or […]
Keynesian Economics Is an Artifact of Cheap Energy
Keynesian Economics Is an Artifact of Cheap Energy Printing / borrowing money to generate the unsustainable illusion of “growth” sets up the collapse of the entire Keynesian edifice. Of the many delusions of modern economics, perhaps the greatest is that the dominant Keynesian model reflects permanent dynamics of advanced economies. Economics, along with other social sciences, […]
Weekly Commentary: Performance Chase
Weekly Commentary: Performance Chase The Nasdaq Composite, Nasdaq 100, small cap Russell 2000, Value Line Arithmetic and the NYSE Arca Biotechnology were among U.S. indices trading to all-time highs during Wednesday’s session. In the real world, there is escalating risk of a destabilizing global trade war. The Shanghai Composite sank 4.4% this week to two-year […]
The Fed’s “Inflation Target” is Impoverishing American Workers
The Fed’s “Inflation Target” is Impoverishing American Workers Redefined Terms and Absurd Targets At one time, the Federal Reserve’s sole mandate was to maintain stable prices and to “fight inflation.” To the Fed, the financial press, and most everyone else “inflation” means rising prices instead of its original and true definition as an increase in […]
America’s Debt Dependence Makes It An Easy Economic Target
America’s Debt Dependence Makes It An Easy Economic Target There is a classic denial tactic that many people use when confronted with negative facts about a subject they have a personal attachment to; I would call it “deferral denial” — or a psychological postponing of reality. For example, point out the fundamentals on the U.S. economy […]
What’s Going On with Trucking and Rail?
What’s Going On with Trucking and Rail? Everything is spiking, setting off “inflationary concerns.” When consumer products companies, retailers, oil-and-gas drillers, manufacturers, and other companies complain that shipping goods within the US is confronting them with soaring costs, capacity constraints, and delays, they’re not making this up. Trucking companies and railroads – an infamously cyclical […]
The Real Economic Numbers: 21.5 Percent Unemployment, 10 Percent Inflation And Negative Economic Growth
The Real Economic Numbers: 21.5 Percent Unemployment, 10 Percent Inflation And Negative Economic Growth Every time the mainstream media touts some “wonderful new economic numbers” I just want to cringe. Yes, it is true that the economic numbers have gotten slightly better since Donald Trump entered the White House, but the rosy economic picture that […]
The Dollar’s Purchasing Power Drops 2.9% in May from Year Ago, Fastest Drop since Nov 2011
The Dollar’s Purchasing Power Drops 2.9% in May from Year Ago, Fastest Drop since Nov 2011 Even as “hedonic quality adjustments” perform miracles to repress surging new and used vehicle inflation. Consumer price inflation, as measured by the Consumer Price Index, released this morning by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, jumped by 2.8% in May […]
Is the U.S. in a depression? (How John Williams became America’s most important statistician)
Is the U.S. in a depression? (How John Williams became America’s most important statistician) America’s economy has been progressing steadily. First quarter real GDP growth came in 2.2%. The official unemployment rate is 3.8%. Inflation, according to the Fed’s preferred measure is 2%. But how accurate are those numbers? “Nonsensical,” says John Williams, founder of […]
The Federal Reserve’s Shell Game
The Federal Reserve’s Shell Game Inflation, wealth redistribution, and the subtle art of misdirection The Federal Reserve is a key component of the US government’s wealth redistribution apparatus. Under the guise of “macroeconomic management,” it redistributes vast amounts of wealth on an ongoing basis through inflation. The victims of these transfers are ordinary Americans. The […]



