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Tag Archives: Federal Reserve
Lord of the Flies: Dystopia is Arising
Lord of the Flies: Dystopia is Arising Paper money eventually returns to its intrinsic value – zero – Voltaire I was driving around Denver yesterday doing my “boots on the ground” due diligence scouting of the local housing market. I continue to see some “sold” and “under contract” signs but I’m seeing a pile-up forming in […]
After The Great Deformation——The Next Challenge
After The Great Deformation——The Next Challenge David Stockman has written the finest piece of financial journalism of our generation: The Great Deformation: The Corruption of American Capitalism. It shows how we got into the mess we are in. Blame the government. Then blame us. It is our government. We must not parrot Flip Wilson’s Geraldine: “The […]
Shale Oil’s “Dirty Little Secret” Has Been Exposed
Shale Oil’s “Dirty Little Secret” Has Been Exposed On Friday, on the way to diving into Goldman’s $20 crude call, we recapped our characterization of low crude prices as a battle between the Fed and the Saudis, a battle which is now manifesting itself in budget troubles in Riyadh and a concurrent FX reserve burn. […]
Fourth Turning: Crisis of Trust
Fourth Turning: Crisis of Trust “Imagine some national (and probably global) volcanic eruption, initially flowing along channels of distress that were created during the Unraveling era and further widened by the catalyst. Trying to foresee where the eruption will go once it bursts free of the channels is like trying to predict the exact fault […]
The Essence of Interest Rate Determination
The Essence of Interest Rate Determination According to mainstream thinking the Central Bank is the key factor in determining interest rates. By setting short-term interest rates the Central Bank, it is argued through expectations about the future course of its interest rate policy influences the entire interest rate structure. (According to the expectations theory (ET) […]
Why The Keynesian Chorus Is Cackling Like Chicken Little
Why The Keynesian Chorus Is Cackling Like Chicken Little This is getting way too stupid. The Keynesian Chorus has launched a full blast trilling campaign, emitting a shrill cackle of warnings against a Fed rate hike. Yes, 80 months of pumping free money into the canyons of Wall Street is not enough. Why? Well, this is hard to type with a straight […]
David Stockman Sums It All Up In 3 Minutes
David Stockman Sums It All Up In 3 Minutes Stockman unleashes truthiness hell on Bloomberg TV: “Federal Reserve [actions] will have disastrous long-term consequences… when you deny price-discovery in the market for so long, it is a massive subsidy to speculation… In an era of peak debt, the only thing zero interest rates achieve is create an […]
The Endless Emergency—–Why It’s Always ZIRP Time In The Casino
The Endless Emergency—–Why It’s Always ZIRP Time In The Casino Based on the headline from the latest Jobs Friday report you wouldn’t know that we are still mired in an economic emergency—–one apparently so extreme that it might entail moving to the 81st straight month of zero interest rates at next week’s FOMC meeting. After all, the unemployment rate came in smack-dab on the Fed’s […]
“Everyone Preparing for the Wrong Outcome”: Schiff Says QE4 is Coming, Not a Rate Hike!
“Everyone Preparing for the Wrong Outcome”: Schiff Says QE4 is Coming, Not a Rate Hike! The printing presses are firing up all over again… err, at least the digital ledgers are, anyway. Financial expert and infamous goldbug Peter Schiff was interviewed by Fox Business from the floor of the U.S. Stock Exchange. Schiff warned viewers […]
Jackson Hole: Cherry Flavored Cyanide, or Strawberry
Jackson Hole: Cherry Flavored Cyanide, or Strawberry The Federal Reserve puts on a conference in the idyllic location of Jackson Hole, Wyoming. Of course it’s all about how best to centrally plan our little lives for us, and who is to be sacrificed to whom. The American Principles Project and the Atlas Network Sound Money […]
A Question of Money – Interest – Bankers
A Question of Money – Interest – Bankers QUESTION: Mr Armstrong, interesting article today, the story of the store of value (at least long term) has always confused me. One can look at saving accounts also as an asset as it yields the interest payment and one relinquishes the access to the money. No difference […]
Fed Up with the Fed
Fed Up with the Fed At the end of every August, central bankers and financiers from around the world meet in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, for the US Federal Reserve’s economic symposium. This year, the participants were greeted by a large group of mostly young people, including many African- and Hispanic Americans. The group was not […]
The Unwind
The Unwind Too often it’s as if I’m analyzing an altogether different world than conventional analysts. My strong preference is to be viewed as an adept and determined analyst, as opposed to some wacko extremist. I have always tried to distinguish my analysis from the “lunatic fringe.” It’s my overarching thesis that the world is […]
Corporate foie gras
Corporate foie gras One of the arguments put forth in the bull vs. bear debate is that the solidity of US non-financial corporations have never been stronger. The amount of cash held by non-financial corporations has risen 150 per cent since the depth of the crisis in 2009. With such a massive cushion to stave […]
Inflation, the Fed, and the Big Picture
Inflation, the Fed, and the Big Picture CAMBRIDGE – Inflation – its causes and its connection to monetary policy and financial crises – was the theme of this year’s international conference of central bankers and academics in Jackson Hole, Wyoming. But, while policymakers’ desire to be prepared for potential future risks to price stability is understandable, they […]
