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Weekly Commentary: More W than V

Weekly Commentary: More W than V The much vaunted “V” recovery is improbable. To simplify, a somewhat “w”-looking scenario is a higher probability. After such an abrupt and extraordinary collapse in economic activity, a decent bounce was virtually assured. Millions would be returning to work after temporary shutdowns to a substantial chunk of the U.S. […]

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Into Darkness: Where The Fed Is Leading Us

Into Darkness: Where The Fed Is Leading Us The system is hurtling towards breakdown. Protect yourself now. As you may know, I was one of the very first voices publicly reporting on covid-19, issuing an alert that the virus was a significant pandemic event on Jan 23rd, 2020. This was long before most media outlets […]

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ECB v Fed

ECB v Fed QUESTION: Martin, You mentioned in a recent blog post that the ECB, unlike the FED, can go bankrupt. Can you explain further? Not sure where you get the time, energy and resources to research and write all that you do buy it is truly amazing. Regards, M ANSWER: The Federal Reserve does not need […]

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Can Too Big For Fed & ECB

CAN TOO BIG FOR FED & ECB There are lies, damned lies, and economists. Whether these economists work for the government or a bank, they spend all their time on the computer extrapolating current trends with minor adjustments.  If you want to understand the future, don’t spend your life preparing and constantly revising an Excel […]

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Curing COVID-19 Won’t Cure the Economy

Curing COVID-19 Won’t Cure the Economy We have been making the case for weeks that we aren’t heading for a quick recovery. We’ve reported on the number of people of small business owners who don’t think they’ll survive, the increasing number of over-leveraged zombie companies, and the tsunami of defaults and bankruptcies on the horizon. Yes, we have seen […]

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Plot Thickens on End of QE & Start of Shedding Assets

Plot Thickens on End of QE & Start of Shedding Assets Fed leads in trimming its balance sheet; Bank of England governor publishes the reasoning for central banks to shed assets – before raising interest rates. A big shift! The Fed has been cutting back for weeks on its asset purchases, and on its last […]

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Fed Accountability is a Farce

FED ACCOUNTABILITY IS A FARCE The Fed claims they are “accountable to the public and the U.S. Congress.” But what good is accountability, if the public and Congress have little understanding of what the Fed does? Even worse, if no one has the power to stop the inflationary actions of the Fed, what good are […]

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REVEALED: The Fed’s Next Trick

REVEALED: The Fed’s Next Trick Today we lower our ear to the rail… and report the approach of a rumbling locomotive. Free and honest markets are roped to the tracks, squirming, writhing, sobbing. This iron horse is barreling toward them. Mr. Jerome Powell is at the controls… And murder is on his mind. What is […]

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The Fed’s Couldn’t Even Stomach a 10% Drop in Stocks… It’s Officially in the Bubble Business

The Fed’s Couldn’t Even Stomach a 10% Drop in Stocks… It’s Officially in the Bubble Business The Fed will soon be buying stocks. Earlier this week, the Fed announced that it will begin buying corporate bonds from individual companies. Before this announcement, the Fed was already involved in the: The Treasury markets (US sovereign debt) […]

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Goodbye, Free Market

Goodbye, Free Market Fremdschämen. Fremdschämen is a noun of the German language. It translates this way: Embarrassment for those incapable of feeling embarrassment. Today we suffer embarrassment for Mr. Jerome Powell and his fellows of the Federal Reserve… For no action they take lowers their heads in shame… or blushes their cheeks with embarrassment. Mr. […]

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The Fed Just Admitted It Won’t Stop Printing Money For YEARS… Here’s How to Profit From This

The Fed Just Admitted It Won’t Stop Printing Money For YEARS… Here’s How to Profit From This The Fed will soon be buying stocks. Earlier this week, the Fed announced that it will begin buying corporate bonds from individual companies. Before this announcement, the Fed was already involved in the: The Treasury markets (US sovereign […]

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US Money Supply – The Pandemic Moonshot

US Money Supply – The Pandemic Moonshot Printing Until the Cows Come Home… It started out with Jay Powell planting a happy little money tree in 2019 to keep the repo market from suffering a terminal seizure. This essentially led to a restoration of the status quo ante “QT” (the mythical beast known as “quantitative […]

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Weekly Commentary: Extraordinary Q1 2020 Z.1 Flow of Funds

Weekly Commentary: Extraordinary Q1 2020 Z.1 Flow of Funds Financial crisis erupted in March. The Fed slashed rates at a March 3rd emergency meeting – and then began aggressively expanding its holdings/balance sheet (creating market liquidity). Even from a “flow of funds” perspective, it was one extraordinary quarter. Total Non-Financial Debt (NFD) surged a nominal […]

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The Fed Just Pulled Off Another Backdoor Bailout of Wall Street

The Fed Just Pulled Off Another Backdoor Bailout of Wall Street Source: Federal Reserve. The Federal Reserve has authorized 11 financial bailout programs thus far. Despite Fed Chairman Jerome Powell’s reassurances at his press conferences that these programs are to help American families, a full 10 of these programs are actually bailouts of Wall Street […]

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The Fed’s Forever War Against Savers

The Fed’s Forever War Against Savers The war on savers rages into its second decade. And yesterday Field Marshal Powell vowed indefinite bombing, shelling, machine-gunning and bayoneting… until the white flag rises over enemy lines. It is war to the knife… and from the knife to the hilt. The only peace terms he will accept […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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