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The Biggest Issue Now Is “The Math”

The Biggest Issue Now Is “The Math” Some quick pre-market observations from Bloomberg’s Richard Breslow Just Don’t Nip Out for a Haircut The Greek citizenry voted and the handicappers got it very wrong. The result of the vote was called much earlier than anyone expected. It wasn’t close. Much was made last week of the […]

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As the Eurozone Teeters, the IMF Does Something Weird

As the Eurozone Teeters, the IMF Does Something Weird Wolf here: the IMF’s job is to bail out holders of sovereign bonds issued in a currency the issuer doesn’t control and can’t devalue (Mexico issuing bonds in dollars, Greece issuing bonds in euros). These bondholders are mostly banks. In a debt crisis, the IMF bails out these banks by […]

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Did The IMF Just Open Pandora’s Box?

Did The IMF Just Open Pandora’s Box? By now it should be clear to all that the only reason why Germany has been so steadfast in its negotiating stance with Greece is because it knows very well that if it concedes to a public debt reduction (as opposed to haircut on debt held mostly by […]

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The Greek People Should Vote No

The Greek People Should Vote No   Greece has defaulted on its 1.3 billion euro payment to the International Monetary Fund and the euro zone is still intact, but nobody has any clear idea about what will happen after next Sunday’s referendum. Prime Minister Tsipras and Finance Minister Yanis Varoufakis, a game theory expert, have […]

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Why Banks & Governments Hate Cash: Bank Runs

Why Banks & Governments Hate Cash: Bank Runs The photos from Greece showing long lines at ATMs are astonishing. Even after the deposit outflows from Greek banks over the past weeks, there are still large numbers of people who are trying to get their money out of the banking system. With the banks closed, ATMs […]

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ECB, Monetarism and a Greek Half-Decade

ECB, Monetarism and a Greek Half-Decade Greece really should not matter, at all, outside of the tragic plight of the Greeks themselves. You’ll see that message echoed particularly inside the US where the status quo takes a contradictory turn toward reasonableness in order to justify further what isn’t. This is all about asset prices and […]

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Greek debt crisis: ‘Something awful’ this way comes

Greek debt crisis: ‘Something awful’ this way comes The next “final” twist in the exhausting Greek drama is upon us, and it’s looking like “something awful” is about to befall the country’s banking system, Citigroup analysts said yesterday. A deal was on the table Friday, but the ECB’s move over the weekend to freeze emergency loans […]

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Good On You, Alexis Tsipras (Part 1)

Good On You, Alexis Tsipras (Part 1) Late Friday night a solid blow was struck for sound money, free markets and limited government by a most unlikely force. Namely, the hard core statist and crypto-Marxist prime minister of Greece, Alexis Tsipras. He has now set in motion a cascade of disruption that will shake the corrupt status quo to […]

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Greek Contagion Spreads As Several Italian Bank Stocks Failed To Open

Greek Contagion Spreads As Several Italian Bank Stocks Failed To Open While things have normalized since the open thanks entirely to the SNB’s aggressive EUR-buying, CHF-selling intervention (good to see that central banks have read the BIS’ report and have learned from their prior intervention mistakes), earlier this morning we got a snapshot of what […]

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I Fear The Greeks, Even When They Bring Gifts

I Fear The Greeks, Even When They Bring Gifts Just another normal morning at the Automatic Earth. Shaking off the local drink – when in Rome.. – and perusing a thousand views and pieces, many on the inevitable topic of ‘Da Referendum’. And I got to say, I can’t even tell whether it’s just me, […]

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The Greek Butterfly Effect

The Greek Butterfly Effect Many times nothing happens for a long time. Then all of a sudden everything happens at once. Like a dam break. It builds slowly and then it bursts. Example: Who would have ever thought the Confederate flag would be taken down across the South during the same week that a rainbow flag is symbolically hoisted […]

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The Only Good Deal For Greece Is NO Deal

The Only Good Deal For Greece Is NO Deal The only thing that would really go towards beginning to solve the problems with Greece is for Athens to NOT sign a deal. The short version of why that is so: it would leave the EU intact for longer. And the ECB. Neither have any viable […]

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History in Free Verse

History in Free Verse History might not rhyme, exactly, but it’s not bad for free verse. Greece is this century’s Serbia — a tiny, picturesque backwater nation blundering haplessly into the center stage of geopolitics. And the European Union is, whaddaya know, Germany in drag, on financial steroids. Nobody knows what will happen next in […]

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“Bank Holiday” Preparations Begin In Greece, Lines Form At Athens ATMs

“Bank Holiday” Preparations Begin In Greece, Lines Form At Athens ATMs The writing has been on the wall for quite sometime. Deposit flight from Greece’s ailing banking sector has been running north of €500 million per day this week as the threat of capital controls casts a pall over the Greek government’s efforts to reassure […]

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“Calm Reigns” Everywhere As Greece Inches Closer To Default, China Crashes

“Calm Reigns” Everywhere As Greece Inches Closer To Default, China Crashes In what is perhaps the most glaring instance of central bank intervention yet,Reuters today captured the market mood as follows: “Calm ruled Europe’s stock and currency markets on Friday as Greece inched closer to a default later this month….the euro was down just 0.3 percent […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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