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(Re-)Covering Oil and War
(Re-)Covering Oil and War The first thing that popped into our minds on Tuesday when WTI oil briefly broached $30 for its first $20 handle in many years, was that this should be triggering a Gawdawful amount of bets, $30 being such an obvious number. Which in turn would of necessity lead to a -brief- […]
Nigerian Currency Collapses After Central Bank Halts Dollar Sales To Stall “Hyperinflation Monster”
Nigerian Currency Collapses After Central Bank Halts Dollar Sales To Stall “Hyperinflation Monster” Having told banks and investors “don’t panic” in September, amid spiking interbank lending rates and surging default/devaluation risks, it appears the massive shortage of dollars that we warned about in December has washed tsunami-like ashore in oil-producing Nigeria. Following the Central bank’s decision this week to halt […]
Why The U.S. Can’t Be Called A ‘Swing Producer’
Why The U.S. Can’t Be Called A ‘Swing Producer’ Daniel Yergin and other experts say that U.S. tight oil is the swing oil producer of the world. They are wrong. It is preposterous to say that the world’s largest oil importer is also its swing producer. There are two types of oil producers in the world: those who […]
Saudi Devaluation Odds Highest In 20 Years, Kingdom Now More Likely To Default Than Portugal
Saudi Devaluation Odds Highest In 20 Years, Kingdom Now More Likely To Default Than Portugal On Monday, we brought you “Saudi Default, Devaluation Odds Spike As Mid-East Careens Into Chaos,” in which we outlined the jump in riyal forwards and widening of CDS spreads that Riyadh witnessed in the aftermath of the kingdom’s move to […]
WTI Plunges To $35 Handle As Loonie Hits 12 Year Low
WTI Plunges To $35 Handle As Loonie Hits 12 Year Low WTI Crude prices just broke back to a $35 handle for the first time since mid-December as the combination of un-growth, Saudi price cuts, a rancorous OPEC, and production increases weigh on the world’s most important commodity. At the same time, oil producers are getting […]
What Comes After The Commodities Bust?
What Comes After The Commodities Bust? The days of E&P companies using external debt financing to fuel growth have most likely come to a close. The one thing executives should have learned in 2015 is that Wall Street can for long periods of time remain disconnected from fundamentals and can swing to extremes. Another lesson […]
Even Bankruptcy Can’t Slow US Oil Production Much, it Seems
Even Bankruptcy Can’t Slow US Oil Production Much, it Seems The resilience has extended the timeline in this oil bust. Is it over yet? 2015 will certainly go down as the worst year for energy stocks since 2008 – that is unless 2016 beats it for misery. Looking at certain sub-sectors, like off-shore drilling, 2016 […]
The New Cartel Running the Oil Sector
The New Cartel Running the Oil Sector As oil prices wallow near multi-year lows, it’s becoming increasingly clear that the new cartel controlling oil prices is not OPEC but world credit markets. From Saudi Arabia’s record $100 billion deficit to shale oil’s continuing reliance on cheap credit funding, it’s clear that no major oil producer or company in the […]
$10 Trillion Investment Needed To Avoid Massive Oil Price Spike Says OPEC
$10 Trillion Investment Needed To Avoid Massive Oil Price Spike Says OPEC OPEC says that $10 trillion worth of investment will need to flow into oil and gas through 2040 in order to meet the world’s energy needs. The OPEC published its World Oil Outlook 2015 (WOO) in late December, which struck a much more pessimistic note […]
“Miracle of American Oil”: Continental Resources Courted Corporate Media to Sell Oil Exports
“Miracle of American Oil”: Continental Resources Courted Corporate Media to Sell Oil Exports A document published by the Public Relations Society of America, discovered by DeSmog, reveals that from the onset of its public relations campaign, the oil industry courted mainstream media reporters to help it sell the idea of lifting the ban on crude oil exports to the […]
Bank of Montreal Asks If “Oil Prices Could Collapse To $20”; Answers: “Yes”
Bank of Montreal Asks If “Oil Prices Could Collapse To $20”; Answers: “Yes” When looking at the price of oil in 2015, Canada’s Bank of Montreal admits it was wrong. Very, very wrong. In our “2015 Year Ahead” report we laid out three plausible scenarios: (1) our base case, which forecast Brent crude oil prices […]
Why the oil price slump hasn’t kickstarted the global economy
Why the oil price slump hasn’t kickstarted the global economy There has only been a modest boost to global growth despite the oil price plummeting to as low as $35 a barrel. But as prices fall so the risks to producers rise An oil pump at sunset in the desert oilfields of Sakhir, Bahrain. As […]
Lower Oil Prices Are Shaking the World
Lower Oil Prices Are Shaking the World The long-term effects will echo for a decade or more. Oil prices fell by over half from June 2014 to January 2015 (Brent: $110 to $50), then another one-third since (to $35). Natural gas and coal prices have also plunged, partially due to the same forces but also from […]
Oil Bankruptcies Hit Highest Level Since Crisis And There’s “More To Come”, Fed Warns
Oil Bankruptcies Hit Highest Level Since Crisis And There’s “More To Come”, Fed Warns “Two things become clear in an analysis of the financial health of US hydrocarbon production: 1) the sector is not at all homogenous, exhibiting a range of financial health; 2) some of the sector indeed looks exposed to distress [and] lifelines […]
