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Germany Calls For Global Payment System Independent Of The US
Germany Calls For Global Payment System Independent Of The US In a stunning vote of “no confidence” in the US monopoly over global payment infrastructure, Germany’s foreign minister Heiko Maas called for the creation of a new payments system independent of the US that would allow Brussels to be independent in its financial operations from […]
Macro Digest: It’s not Turkey, it’s the debt cycle
Macro Digest: It’s not Turkey, it’s the debt cycle There is currently a lot of focus on Turkey, and for good reason, but Turkey is really only a second or third derivative of the global macro story. Turkey represents the catalyst for a new theme, which is “too much debt and current account deficits equals […]
Weekly Commentary: Instability
Weekly Commentary: Instability With the Turkish lira down another 6.6% in Monday trading, global “Risk Off” market Instability was turning acute. The U.S. dollar index jumped to an almost 14-month high Monday, as the Turkish lira, Argentine peso, Indian rupee and others traded to record lows versus the greenback. The South African rand “flash crashed” […]
Sanctions, Sanctions, Sanctions – the Final Demise of the Dollar Hegemony?
Sanctions, Sanctions, Sanctions – the Final Demise of the Dollar Hegemony? Sanctions left and sanctions right. Financial mostly, taxes, tariffs, visas, travel bans – confiscation of foreign assets, import and export prohibitions and limitations; and also punishing those who do not respect sanctions dished out by Trump, alias the US of A, against friends of […]
The Anatomy of a Crisis: A Strong Dollar and Disappearing Liquidity
The Anatomy of a Crisis: A Strong Dollar and Disappearing Liquidity Since March – the dollar’s rallied over 7%. And it’s caused the Emerging Markets to implode. But the bigger problem is what lies ahead. And that’s a global dollar shortage – which the mainstream continues to ignore. . . I’ve touched on this a […]
Here’s How “External Dollar Debt” Produces An “Emerging Market Crisis”
Here’s How “External Dollar Debt” Produces An “Emerging Market Crisis” Emerging market currencies are collapsing pretty much everywhere these days. But it’s safe to assume that most people don’t understand exactly what’s causing this outbreak, why it’s happening now, or what “external dollar debt” has to do with it. So here’s a quick primer followed […]
You Should Fear the Emerging Market Debt Bubble
You Should Fear the Emerging Market Debt Bubble Global debt has ballooned since the financial crisis as central banks have distorted markets and fueled debt bubbles in particular. A lot of the increase in global debt has come from emerging market (EM) economies, especially China. In fact, a record amount of EM debt has accumulated […]
“Virtually Everybody Knew This Was Coming”
“Virtually Everybody Knew This Was Coming” Was it Turkey’s “executive presidency” and its unwillingness to hike rates in the face of soaring inflation? Or maybe the record global debt accumulated over the past decade? Maybe the artificially low interest rates? Or perhaps it was the pervasive current account deficits amid easy outside capital. How about […]
Boiling A Turkey
Boiling A Turkey There is an age old fable describing a frog being slowly boiled alive. The premise is that if a frog is put suddenly into boiling water, it will try and save itself. However, if the frog is put in tepid water which is then brought to a boil slowly, it will not perceive […]
Ahmadinejad Urges End To US Dollar Hegemony: “Current [World] Order Needs To Change”
Ahmadinejad Urges End To US Dollar Hegemony: “Current [World] Order Needs To Change” As US re-imposes sanctions on Iran, former two-term Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad has spoken out against the current US hegemony. As RT notes, Ahamdinejad says the dollar is one of the major pillars of US dominance over global finance and trade; calling […]
Stocks Drop As Trade War Returns; Japanese Bond Rout Leads To Emergency Margin Call
Stocks Drop As Trade War Returns; Japanese Bond Rout Leads To Emergency Margin Call The latest trade war truce lasted less than a day, and after stocks jumped yesterday following an early report that Mnuchin had resumed trade talks with his Chinese counterpart, a late Tuesday report that the Trump admin is planning to increase […]
Kass: Tops Are Processes & We May Be In That Process
Kass: Tops Are Processes & We May Be In That Process The Yield Curve Will Likely Invert by November, 2018 Economic growth is less synchronized than the consensus believes On a trending and rate of change basis the economic data is slowing down The Fed’s continued pivot to tighter money will likely lead to curve […]
“It Was Only A Matter of Time”: Trump Sets His Sights on the Fed’s Tightening and the Strong Dollar
“It Was Only A Matter of Time”: Trump Sets His Sights on the Fed’s Tightening and the Strong Dollar Who says that the President doesn’t – and shouldn’t – pay attention to the U.S. Dollar’s value? Well – President Trump sure does. . . Just look at his tweets from this morning. . . This […]
Trump’s Trade War May Spark a Chinese Debt Crisis
Trump’s Trade War May Spark a Chinese Debt Crisis (Bloomberg Opinion) — There’s no chance China will cut its trade surplus with the U.S. in response to President Donald Trump’s tariff threats. For starters, Washington has made no specific demand to which Beijing can respond. But its efforts may have an unexpected side effect: a debt crisis […]
Trade War With China Morphs Into Currency War: Biggest Loser is the EU
Trade War With China Morphs Into Currency War: Biggest Loser is the EU Those who think “trade wars are good and easy to win” need to stop and reflect on currency wars. Trade Wars Easy to Win ✔ When a country (USA) is losing many billions of dollars on trade with virtually every country it […]



