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Canada’s “Other” Problem: Record High Household Debt

Canada’s “Other” Problem: Record High Household Debt Earlier today, the Bank of Canada surprised some market participants by failing to cut rates. True, the loonie was plunging and another rate cut might very well have accelerated the decline, further eroding the purchasing power of Canadians who are already struggling to keep up with the inexorable rise […]

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War On Cash Escalates: China Readies Digital Currency, IMF Says “Extremely Beneficial”

War On Cash Escalates: China Readies Digital Currency, IMF Says “Extremely Beneficial” Remember when Bitcoin and its digital currency cohorts were slammed by authorities and written off by the elite as worthless? Well now, as the war on cash escalates, officials from The IMF to China are seeing the opportunity to control the world’s money […]

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Why We Need a Recession

Why We Need a Recession  According to the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER), a recession is defined as a “significant decline in economic activity spread across the economy, lasting more than a few months.” Often, this is understood as two consecutive quarters of negative economic growth as measured by a country’s GDP. Public opinion is generally […]

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Goldman Pays Fine For Causing 2008 Crisis As “The Rest of the World Faced Financial Armageddon”

Goldman Pays Fine For Causing 2008 Crisis As “The Rest of the World Faced Financial Armageddon” Editor’s Comment: It’s funny how some criminals – whose actions affect perhaps a handful of people at the most – get the book thrown at them. In fact, so do speeders and code violators and other low level offenders.  […]

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The Last 16 Times This Happened There Was A Recession…

The Last 16 Times This Happened There Was A Recession… Something has just happened that has signaled a recession every single time that it has occurred since World War I.  16 times since 1919 there have been at least 8 month-over-month declines in industrial production during the preceding 12 month period, and in each of […]

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Canada Set To Unleash Negative Rates As Oil Patch Dies, Depression Deepens

Canada Set To Unleash Negative Rates As Oil Patch Dies, Depression Deepens This Wednesday, the Bank of Canada has a decision to make. Canada’s oil “dream” is dying thanks to the inexorable slide in crude prices and as the IEA made clear earlier today, the pain is set to persist for the foreseeable future as the world […]

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The Fed’s Stunning Admission Of What Happens Next

The Fed’s Stunning Admission Of What Happens Next Following an epic global stock rout, one which has wiped out trillions in market capitalization, it has rapidly become a consensus view (even by staunch Fed supporters such as the Nikkei Times) that the Fed committed a gross policy mistake by hiking rates on December 16, so much […]

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Consumer Drowning Sorrows at the Bar

CONSUMER DROWNING SORROWS AT THE BAR Month after month I watch as the MSM mouthpieces try to spin declining consumer spending in a positive light. They are practically out of excuses. They are befuddled, because month after month they report “awesome” job gains and can’t understand why all these gainfully employed Americans aren’t buying shit […]

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The Deflation Monster Has Arrived

Lukiyanova Natalia / frenta/Shutterstock The Deflation Monster Has Arrived And it sure looks angry  As we’ve been warning for quite a while (too long for my taste): the world’s grand experiment with debt has come to an end. And it’s now unraveling. Just in the two weeks since the start of 2016, the US equity markets are […]

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This is Where Industrial Production Normally Meets a Recession

This is Where Industrial Production Normally Meets a Recession The only exceptions were in the early 1950s Painful – that’s how you can describe the slew of recent US economic data. And today’s data dump was even worse. On a regional level, there was the Empire State Manufacturing Survey. The Current Activity Index plunged to the […]

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What If There Is No “Fed Put” – Paul Brodsky Thinks Yellen Will Not Bailout Markets This Time

What If There Is No “Fed Put” – Paul Brodsky Thinks Yellen Will Not Bailout Markets This Time Earlier today, Art Cashin summarized most (very desperate) traders’ thoughts when he said that as a result of today’s market crash, “the Fed will try anything” to prop up the wealth effect it had so carefully engineered with seven […]

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Alberta Freezes Government Salaries As Canada’s Oil Patch Enters Second Year Of Recession

Alberta Freezes Government Salaries As Canada’s Oil Patch Enters Second Year Of Recession On Wednesday, we documented the astonishing prices beleaguered Canadians are now forced to pay for groceries thanks to the plunging loonie. Oil’s inexorable decline has the Canadian dollar in a veritable tailspin and because Canada imports the vast majority of its fresh food, prices […]

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Albert Edwards Hits Peak Pessimism: “S&P Will Fall 75%”, Global Recession Looms

Albert Edwards Hits Peak Pessimism: “S&P Will Fall 75%”, Global Recession Looms 2016 has thus far been a year characterized by remarkable bouts of harrowing volatility as the ongoing devaluation of the yuan, plunging crude prices, and geopolitical uncertainty wreak havoc on fragile, inflated markets. With asset prices still sitting near nosebleed levels after seven […]

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Canadian Stocks in Bear Market, Loonie Swoons, Crude Crashes to $16, Consumer & Business Confidence Dives…

Canadian Stocks in Bear Market, Loonie Swoons, Crude Crashes to $16, Consumer & Business Confidence Dives… “Investment and hiring intentions lowest since 2009”: Bank of Canada Since Christmas Eve, the Toronto Stock Exchange index has dropped every single day, 10 trading days in a row, including so far today as I’m writing this, the longest […]

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Are We Entering an Earnings/Sales Recession?

Are We Entering an Earnings/Sales Recession? Are corporate profits due for a retest of the lower channel line? If so, what happens to equity valuations when corporate profits plummet? Is the U.S. economy in recession? Is it heading for recession? These questions can only be answered in hindsight, but it’s worth looking for clues to what […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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