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The Fourth Turning & War of the Worlds

THE FOURTH TURNING & WAR OF THE WORLDS “In retrospect, the spark might seem as ominous as a financial crash, as ordinary as a national election, or as trivial as a Tea Party. The catalyst will unfold according to a basic Crisis dynamic that underlies all of these scenarios: An initial spark will trigger a […]

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India Calls Trump’s Bluff, Will Pay For Russian S-400s In Rubles

India Calls Trump’s Bluff, Will Pay For Russian S-400s In Rubles After facing down US threats of possible economic sanctions should it follow through with its plans to purchase nearly $5.4 billion in Russian S-400 anti-ballistic missile systems, India has successfully called the US’s bluff.  After India stood its ground and insisted on moving ahead […]

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The Consequences of System Failure

The Consequences of System Failure In short, every major political institution has been increasingly discredited as Brazil has spiraled deeper and deeper into a dark void. And from the abyss emerged a former army captain and six-term congressman from Rio de Janeiro, Jair Bolsonaro, with the slogan “Brazil above everything, God above everyone,” and promises to fix […]

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French FinMin: The Euro Zone Is Not Prepared To Face A New Crisis

French FinMin: The Euro Zone Is Not Prepared To Face A New Crisis Europe finds itself at a troubling crossroads: while on one hand the official narrative emanating from Brussels and Berlin (and, of course, the ECB) is that there is no risk of contagion from Italy’s budget crisis in the European Union, on the […]

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Europe’s self-destructive war on Italy

Europe’s self-destructive war on Italy Illustrated | SERGEI CHIRIKOV/AFP/Getty Images, ANDREAS SOLARO/AFP/Getty Images, ALBERTO PIZZOLI/AFP/Getty Images Italy and the European Union are headed for a throwdown. Italy’s new government wants to help its citizens following years of grinding economic immiseration. And the EU is hellbent on stopping them, all in the name of neoliberal budget […]

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Eurozone will Collapse – There is No Other Choice Economically

Eurozone will Collapse – There is No Other Choice Economically QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong; I can see what you have been arguing about the faulty design of the euro. After the EU rejected Italy’s budget, is there any hope left for Italy? RS, Rome ANSWER: For those who do not follow Europe closely, the European Union […]

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By Going Nuclear the EU Has Already Lost Its Battle with Italy

By Going Nuclear the EU Has Already Lost Its Battle with Italy “Here’s where we hold ’em by the nose, and kick ’em in the ass” — Patton If you ever want to know who’s losing an argument simply look at who’s doing the most threatening. Not who’s shouting the loudest or who’s the angriest, […]

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A Storm is Brewing in Europe: Italy and Its Public Finances Are at the Center of It

A Storm is Brewing in Europe: Italy and Its Public Finances Are at the Center of It Photo Source Giuseppe Milo | CC BY 2.0 Yet the problem with Italy is not the problem that the European Commission or financial markets see. Rome is planning an expansionary budget – just what Italy needs and just the […]

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The European financial establishment has just declared war on Italy

The European financial establishment has just declared war on Italy This week in a CNBC interview Jeroen Dijsselbloem, the former Dutch minister of finance who served as the President of the Eurogroup, declared war on the Italian government. The European financial establishment is prepared to destroy the banking system and cause the Italian economy to […]

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Italy’s Debt Crisis Thickens

Italy’s Debt Crisis Thickens But outside Italy, credit markets are sanguine, and no one says, “whatever it takes.” Italy’s government bonds are sinking and their yields are spiking. There are plenty of reasons, including possible downgrades by Moody’s and/or Standard and Poor’s later this month. If it is a one-notch downgrade, Italy’s credit rating will […]

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“One Size Fits Germany” Math Impossibility, Get Your Money Out of Italy Now!

“One Size Fits Germany” Math Impossibility, Get Your Money Out of Italy Now! Italy, on the Euro, has a currency that is 9% too high. Germany, on the Euro, has a currency that is 11% too low. There was much discussion yesterday about the US Treasury report that determined China was not a currency manipulator. […]

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Germany Clashes With The U.S. Over Energy Geopolitics

Germany Clashes With The U.S. Over Energy Geopolitics The United States and the European Union (EU) are at odds over more than just the Iran nuclear deal – tensions surrounding energy policy have also become a flashpoint for the two global powerhouses. In energy policy, the U.S. has been opposing the Gazprom-led and highly controversial […]

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More Italians Move Savings To Switzerland As Fears Of Banking “Doom Loop” Intensify

More Italians Move Savings To Switzerland As Fears Of Banking “Doom Loop” Intensify With the euro weakening against the Swiss franc (recently trading at session lows of 1.14) and Italian stocks and bonds tumbling once again on reports that the European Commission is planning to reject the Italian draft budget plan submitted earlier this week […]

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Italian Bonds Slide After Official Warns Credit Rating Downgrade Possible

Italian Bonds Slide After Official Warns Credit Rating Downgrade Possible After starting off strong, Italian 10Y Yields have leaked wider all morning after a senior government official said on Wednesday that Italy’s 2019 budget may be rejected by the European Commission and a credit rating downgrade is also possible. “Let’s say that the premise is […]

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Juncker Warns ‘The EU Cannot Survive Without Italy’

Juncker Warns ‘The EU Cannot Survive Without Italy’ Ignoring warnings from the European Commission, the ECB and the European Commission (as well as practically every other supranational organization in Europe), the populist-led Italian government managed to submit their draft budget to the Commission before a midnight deadline – an outcome that was cheered by BTP […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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