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Tag Archives: trade war
The Real Inflation Rate May Signal That the U.S. Economy is in a Death Spiral
The Real Inflation Rate May Signal That the U.S. Economy is in a Death Spiral Just like a car with a bad cooling system, the U.S. economy may be overheating, and could break down soon. Why? Aside from trade wars, geopolitical tension, and debt, inflation might stand center-stage as the final nail in the U.S. […]
Doug Duncan: Even US Government Economists Predict Trouble Ahead
Doug Duncan: Even US Government Economists Predict Trouble Ahead Fannie Mae forecasts an economic slowdown by 2019 Doug Duncan is not your average beltway economist. The chief economist for Fannie Mae is surprisingly outspoken about the troublesome outlook for the US economy. He’s worried about the rising cost of debt service as outstanding credit continues […]
China Prepares “Emergency Response Plan” Amid Escalating US Trade War
China Prepares “Emergency Response Plan” Amid Escalating US Trade War While in recent days the growing trade war between China and the US has moved off the front page of market concerns despite now daily skirmishes such as today’s anti-dumping probe launch by the US into US steel wheels which followed a Chinese 179% tariff […]
China’s “Nuclear Option” in the Trade War
China’s “Nuclear Option” in the Trade War The United States has been interested in economic relations with China since 1784, shortly after the American War for Independence. At first, this interest was purely economic, because the British refused to deal with the U.S. (for obvious reasons). So the Americans bought Chinese goods, and the Chinese […]
It’s Pure Math – We’re Headed for a Train Wreck – Bill Holter
It’s Pure Math – We’re Headed for a Train Wreck – Bill Holter Financial writer and gold expert Bill Holter says China has a lot of weapons to fight a trade war with the U.S. China could stop buying Treasury bonds (as it reportedly already has done). It could sell Treasury bonds. It could slash […]
China Eyes Yuan Devaluation in Trade Dispute
China Eyes Yuan Devaluation in Trade Dispute Finally, we have a story that makes retaliatory sense vs. the widely believed “nuclear” treasury dumping theory. The widely-circulated “nuclear” theory suggests China would dump US treasuries in a trade war with the US. That theory never made any sense. Such a move would tend to strengthen the […]
Trade Wars Lead to Shooting Wars and Depressions
Trade Wars Lead to Shooting Wars and Depressions Trade wars were a principal factor in causing the Great Depression of the 1930s and World War II. The current President of the U.S. has imposed tariffs on imported steel and aluminum effective March 23, 2018 and proposes tariffs on products imported from China. He has also proposed […]
“We Understand The Chinese Government Has Halted Purchases Of US Treasuries”: SGH
“We Understand The Chinese Government Has Halted Purchases Of US Treasuries”: SGH On Friday, we reported that among the five “nuclear” options available to Beijing to retaliate against Trump’s latest $100BN in import tariffs, was the choice whether or not to sell US Treasuries. But what if Beijing did not want to unleash a full-blown […]
Trump’s Dangerous Game of Chicken
Trump’s Dangerous Game of Chicken As the “tit-for-tat” trade fight between the US and China escalates, Donald Trump is likely to find that he doesn’t “know China” the way he once thought. When he said that during the presidential campaign, he based his understanding of China on one thing: the high rent in Trump Tower […]
Trade Wars Just Beginning…The War Is a Fight Over an Indefinitely Shrinking Pie
Trade Wars Just Beginning…The War Is a Fight Over an Indefinitely Shrinking Pie From a growth perspective, it doesn’t matter if the world is 7.5 million or 7.5 billion persons…it only matters how many more there are from one year to the next. Economic growth (or the ability to consume more…not produce more) is about the […]
Trade War Game On!
Trade War Game On! Interesting Times Arrive “Things sure are getting exciting again, ain’t they?” The remark was made by a colleague on Tuesday morning, as we stepped off the elevator to grab a cup of coffee. Ancient Chinese curse alert… [PT] “One moment markets are gorging on financial slop like fat pigs in mud. […]
Here Are China’s Five Options For “Nuclear” Trade War
Here Are China’s Five Options For “Nuclear” Trade War After Trump ordered the USTR to consider an additional $100BN in tariffs, something we said on Wednesday would happen if the market was dumb enough to allow Trump to think he had a trade war victory by closing green… S&P 500 EXTENDS GAIN ABOVE FRIDAY’S CLOSE, […]
China Vows To “Firmly Attack” Trump Tariffs “To The End At Any Cost”
China Vows To “Firmly Attack” Trump Tariffs “To The End At Any Cost” China has responded to President Trump’s calls for an additional $100 billion in tariffs, saying that it would counter U.S. protectionism “to the end, and at any cost.” “The Chinese side will follow suit to the end and at any cost, and […]
China Declares Trade War Victory: Gloats At US “Suffering” After “Crushing Counterattack”
China Declares Trade War Victory: Gloats At US “Suffering” After “Crushing Counterattack” Barely a day after China dropped the hammer on US stock markets by unveiling retaliatory tariffs on $50 billion in US imports that – unlike US measures that mostly targeted obscure industrial products – actually struck at key industries like soybean farmers, automobiles […]
Trade War Looms Over Oil Markets
Trade War Looms Over Oil Markets Oil prices, along with equities across the board, were dragged down on Monday over fears of a brewing trade war. China announced $3 billion of tariffs on U.S. goods, including pork and recycled aluminum. The move came as a retaliation to the Trump administration’s 25 percent tariff on steel […]
