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A Disturbing Warning From UBS: “Buy Gold” Because A 30% Bear Market Is Coming

A Disturbing Warning From UBS: “Buy Gold” Because A 30% Bear Market Is Coming As Wall Street axioms (Santa rally, January effect, as goes January etc.) are rapidly falling by the wayside at the start of 2016, following a chaotic but return-less 2015, the UBS analysts who correctly forecast last year’s volatility are out with […]

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China’s Slow-Motion Sleight Of Hand Shatters

China’s Slow-Motion Sleight Of Hand Shatters The Chinese stock markets broke through 2 circuit breakers today, breakers that were introduced only a few months ago in response to the market selloff, triggered by a surprise yuan devaluation, in August. The first breaker, at -5%, forced a 15-minute trading halt. The second one, at -7%, halted […]

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Stock Markets All Over The World Crash As We Begin 2016

Stock Markets All Over The World Crash As We Begin 2016 The first trading day of 2016 was full of chaos and panic.  It started in Asia where the Nikkei was down 582 points, Hong Kong was down 587 points, and Chinese markets experienced an emergency shutdown after the CSI 300 tumbled 7 percent.  When European […]

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David Collum: The Next Recession Will Be A Barn-Burner

David Collum: The Next Recession Will Be A Barn-Burner With very few places for capital to hide For those who enjoyed his encyclopedic 2015: Year In Review, this week we spend an hour with David Collum to ask: After processing through all of that information, what do you think the future is most likely to bring? Perhaps it […]

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Debunking Anti-Gold Propaganda

Debunking Anti-Gold Propaganda A meme is now circulating that gold is the investment equivalent of a pet rock, and that the smart investor should sell gold, and buy stocks. That’s a ridiculous notion. In fact, if you believe in buying low and selling high, this is the time to buy gold, and sell stocks. It […]

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The Confidence Game Is Ending

The Confidence Game Is Ending Immediately after the Fed hiked interest rates last Wednesday – after sitting at 0% for 7 years – markets acted pretty much as one might expect. The Fed tightens monetary policy when the economy is strong so rising stock prices, rising interest rates and a strong dollar are all things […]

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The Rate Hike Stock Market Crash Has Thrown Gasoline Onto An Already Raging Global Financial Inferno

The Rate Hike Stock Market Crash Has Thrown Gasoline Onto An Already Raging Global Financial Inferno If the stock market crash of last Thursday and Friday had all happened on one day, it would have been the 7th largest single day decline in U.S. history.  On Friday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 367 […]

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Are Negative Rates Fueling Deflation?

Are Negative Rates Fueling Deflation? Those in power never understand markets. They are very myopic in their view of the world. The assumption that lowering interest rates will “stimulate” the economy has NEVER worked, not even once. Nevertheless, they assume they can manipulate society in the Marxist-Keynesian ideal world, but what if they are wrong? By lowering […]

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Guess What Happened The Last Time The Price Of Oil Plunged Below 38 Dollars A Barrel?

Guess What Happened The Last Time The Price Of Oil Plunged Below 38 Dollars A Barrel? On Monday, the price of U.S. oil dropped below 38 dollars a barrel for the first time in six years.  The last time the price of oil was this low, the global financial system was melting down and the […]

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Peter Schiff Warns: “The Whole Economy Has Imploded… Collapse Is Coming”

Peter Schiff Warns: “The Whole Economy Has Imploded… Collapse Is Coming” Back before 2008 Peter Schiff was harshly criticized and laughed at for his predictions about a coming economic collapse. Among other things Schiff warned that consumer spending had hit a wall, stocks were overpriced and lax credit lending practices would lead to a detonation of the […]

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Alarm Bells Go Off As 11 Critical Indicators Scream The Global Economic Crisis Is Getting Deeper

Alarm Bells Go Off As 11 Critical Indicators Scream The Global Economic Crisis Is Getting Deeper Economic activity is slowing down all over the planet, and a whole host of signs are indicating that we are essentially exactly where we were just prior to the great stock market crash of 2008.  Yesterday, I explained that the […]

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Has The Market Trend Shifted From Bull To Bear?

Has The Market Trend Shifted From Bull To Bear? Why the recent volatility may mark a secular shift Emotions are running high for the investment community in the wake of recent market volatility. Up until August, we had been in the third longest period in market history without a 10% correction. Since then, stock indices […]

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Expert That Correctly Predicted Market Moves In July, August And September Says Stocks Will Crash In November

Expert That Correctly Predicted Market Moves In July, August And September Says Stocks Will Crash In November When someone is right over and over and over, eventually people start paying attention.  Personally, I have learned to tune out the “forecasts” of most “economic experts” out there.  As an attorney, I was trained to be skeptical, […]

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Short Squeeze, Liquidity, Margin Debt and Deflation

Short Squeeze, Liquidity, Margin Debt and Deflation Some things you CAN see coming, in life and certainly in finance. Quite a few things, actually. Once you understand we’re on a long term downward path, also both in life and in finance, and you’re not exclusively looking at short term gains, it all sort of falls […]

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Unstable world: Is it time to buy volatility?

Unstable world: Is it time to buy volatility? On Wall Street buying options–options on stocks, on commodities, on currencies, on almost anything–has been seen as a sucker’s bet (unless you are doing it to hedge an existing investment). For the uninitiated, options are the right to buy or to sell something–practically anything really–at a set […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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