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50,000 New Coronavirus Infections Per Day in China

50,000 New Coronavirus Infections Per Day in China

Prof. Neil Ferguson, Vice Dean Faculty of Medicine, Imperial College in London, estimates 50K new infections per day. 

Please consider the following video by Prof. Neil Ferguson.

10 Key Video Points

  1. 50,000 new cases a day in china
  2. Infections doubling every 5 days
  3. Death rate is still unknown
  4. China likely to peak in March
  5. Epidemic peak is still a month away
  6. It will be very hard to control this epidemic the say way we did with SARS 15-20 years ago
  7. Cases are always underestimated
  8. Death delays are as long as three weeks
  9. Reported deaths outside China are not reassuring because of delays
  10. We still don’t know the full effects

Tweet on Containment Strategies


Building on @ChristoPhraser et al’s work, @coreypeak‘s model examining the impact of disease dynamics on the relative benefits of symptom monitoring v quarantine seems relevant for thinking through #nCoV2019 containment strategies. https://www.pnas.org/content/114/15/4023.abstract …


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