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WMO horror stories

WMO horror stories

If you’re a fan of horror stories, the World Meteorological Organisation is not the first place you might think of checking out.  But believe me, it is publishing some terrifying stuff.

Every year the WMO publishes a report called “Statement on the State of the Global Climate”.  These reports are quite different from those published by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change—the IPCC.  The IPCC reports tread so carefully, they almost trip over themselves as they watch where to put their feet.  This isn’t really their fault.  Their summary reports are airbrushed so thoroughly by their government handlers that even  the most alarming observations of the hundreds of scientists who work on the text are weakened to the point where they seem to be little more than mild precautionary advice.

Not so the WMO reports.  They lay it out exactly as they see it.  For the WMO, it is what it is. The latest report looks clear-eyed at the state of the global climate in 2019.  Here ‘s what they found :

  • The annual increases in the three main greenhouse gases were larger than the increases in the previous year, and above the 10-year averaged growth rates. In other words, the emissions that drive the changing climate are accelerating.
  • As a result, 2019  was very probably the second warmest year on record.  Global mean temperatures are already about 1.1°C above pre-industrial levels. So we are well on the way to going way past 1.5°C of warming—a threshold that, once exceeded, the IPCC predicts will bring devastating environmental impacts.
  • The past five years 2015 – 2019 were the five warmest on record. Since the 1980s, each successive decade has been warmer than any preceding once since 1850.

…click on the above link to read the rest of the article…

Hottest five-year period on record is 2011-2015, says WMO

Hottest five-year period on record is 2011-2015, says WMO

The World Meteorological Organisation (WMO) announced today that 2015 is likely to top the charts as the hottest year in modern observations, with 2011-15 the hottest five-year period on record.

With two full months still to add in, the global average surface temperature for January to October in 2015 was 0.73C above the 1961-1990 average. This already puts it a long way above 2014, in which average global temperature reached 0.57C above the 1961-1990 average.

This year’s record is down to a combination of rising greenhouse gases and a boost from the strong El Niño underway in the Pacific, says the WMO.

Today’s announcement is timed to coincide with the gathering of world leaders on Monday to begin talks in Paris aimed at striking a deal to reduce global emissions.

‘Significant’ milestone

Global annual average temperature relative to 1961-1990

To put today’s news another way, global temperature in 2015 is likely to pass the “symbolic and significant” threshold of 1C above preindustrial levels, says the WMO.

This follows the recent announcement from the Met Office that temperature in the HadCrut4 dataset – one of three global datasets the WMO uses – is expected to pass the 1C mark in 2015. Dr Ed Hawkins from the University of Reading said today:

Roughly 1.0 degrees Celsius of this warming, or around 95%, is due to human activity. Natural cycles in the climate system, including El Nino, solar activity and natural variations in weather, are likely to be responsible for the remainder of the warming.

Earlier this month, the WMO said greenhouse gases in the atmosphere had reached a new high, with spring concentrations in the northern hemisphere exceeding 400 parts per million.

…click on the above link to read the rest of the article…

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