Home » Posts tagged 'historic cycles'
Tag Archives: historic cycles
The Age of Discord
The Age of Discord It’s very difficult to find common ground that supports cooperation in the disintegrative stage of scarcities, rising prices, catastrophically centralized power and social discord. Today’s topic echoes Peter Turchin’s 2016 book, Ages of Discord, which I have often referenced in blog posts. I’ll also discuss two other books I’ve often referenced, Global Crisis: […]
The Great Economic Destruction & COMPLEXITY
The Great Economic Destruction & COMPLEXITY COMMENT #1: OK Marty, it is now becoming obvious that not only Trump reads your stuff but so does Obama. Trump bought a $19 million remote island and Obama bought one for $15 million. This is not a coincidence. Your war cycle goes nuts next year and we have […]
Riptide in the World Economy
Riptide in the World Economy COMMENT: Marty, I think the storms are creating dangerous rip currents that just suck swimmers out to sea here in Jersey. Never hear about that in Florida. I guess that and taxes are what made you leave. LOL DK REPLY: Actually, I was caught in one when I was a teenager. My uncle […]
History Warns – All Governments are the Same!
History Warns – All Governments are the Same! A man pawns himself off as a baby Kangaroo’s mother. Politicians have LEARNED that they too can pretend that they are your parent and are solely interested in taking care of you when their objective is really raw power. Government presents itself as if it truly cares about “We […]
K-Wave – Real or Not?
K-Wave – Real or Not? QUESTION: What is your opinion on Kondratieff Waves? EH ANSWER: All those investigating cycles within the economy made a simple mistake. Kondratieff followed agriculture/commodity prices when agriculture accounted for 70% of the GDP pre-19th century. That only began to decline from 1850 forward, dropping to 40% by 1900 as the Industrial Revolution […]
Cycles, Systems and Seats in the Coliseum
Cycles, Systems and Seats in the Coliseum The idea that debt, leverage, speculation, greed, exploitation and parasitic elites can expand exponentially forever is magical thinking. Contrary to first impressions, I am not a doom-and-gloomer; I’m a systems-cycles-er, meaning I’m interested in where systems and cycles are heading. Cycles work because we’re still running Wetware 1.0 which entered beta testing […]
Has Our Luck Finally Run Out?
Has Our Luck Finally Run Out? We are woefully unprepared for a long run of bad luck. Long-term cycles escape our notice because they play out over many years or even decades; few noticed the decreasing rainfall in the Mediterranean region in 150 A.D. but this gradual decline in rainfall slowly but surely reduced the grain […]
The Next Major Shift in Society
The Next Major Shift in Society QUESTION: Do you see this new age of the internet destroying jobs that result in a Great Depression as you have illustrated with the advancement of the combustion engine in altering the agricultural economy as we move into the future? What is the future for our children? Thank you KL […]
Why Has Everything Turned Sour? Is it the Press? Or is the Press Part of the Cycle?
Why Has Everything Turned Sour? Is it the Press? Or is the Press Part of the Cycle? QUESTION: Hello Mr. Armstrong,I´d like your opinion on this,During 7 Decades in which our lives got better, longer, richer, safer, healthier, better educated, more peaceful and more stimulating. Even World poverty has decreased in a rate never seen before, […]
You Can’t Stop the Cycle
You Can’t Stop the Cycle 2018’s valuation records are astounding in that they show the S&P 500 to be more fundamentally over-valued than it was at the prior two historic stock market valuation peaks in 1929 and 2000, bona fide speculative manias. – From Crescat Capital’s recent investor letter Cycles are perhaps the most natural and […]
Hedge Fund CIO: “Some See Parallels Between Today And The Late-1930s, Which Led To World War II”
Hedge Fund CIO: “Some See Parallels Between Today And The Late-1930s, Which Led To World War II” The future is unknowable. Yet never has capital been so concentrated in strategies that depend on the future closely resembling the past. The most dominant of these strategies requires bonds to rally when stocks fall. For decades, both […]
Napoleon – War – Sunspots & Human Excitability
Napoleon – War – Sunspots & Human Excitability COMMENT: I love when you educate us about the weather, especially the cycles. the NAPOLEON story killed me !!! I’m a french and believe me, nobody talked in school about the weather cycles when he tried to fight Russia and lost everything. I read 3 times your chart […]
The View of American Politics from Afar
The View of American Politics from Afar COMMENT: This business with Trump and the media is quite amazing when seen from a distance. I read posts from people who can not see past what they are believing. It’s as if the hate for Trump has become a Religion. A religious person will refuse to look at […]
Ray Dalio Warns ‘History Repeats’ – Understanding Big Debt Crises, Part 1
Ray Dalio Warns ‘History Repeats’ – Understanding Big Debt Crises, Part 1 Ten years ago this month, the world’s financial system nearly ground to a halt. It was a dramatic and pivotal time, which has had lasting effects on many people’s lives. But, as the founder of the world’s largest hedge fund, Bridgewater’s Ray Dalio, […]
Climate Change is Real – Do Droughts Last 8.6 Years?
Climate Change is Real – Do Droughts Last 8.6 Years? It is time to begin to really investigate Climate Change for what our computer is forecasting is like a dramatic rise in volatility or a Panic Cycle to be more accurate. What does that mean? We are going to experience extremes on both sides. […]
