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The Fed Crying Has Begun

The Fed Crying Has Begun So stocks dropped a little in October. Ok they actually dropped a lot and all of a sudden the S&P 500 was miles away from the all those optimistic 3,000+ year end targets. And what happens when stocks drop hard? Bulls cry for the Fed to come to the rescue. […]

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Wall Street Moves to Gut Post-Crisis Financial Rules

WALL STREET MOVES TO GUT POST-CRISIS FINANCIAL RULES ON THE CAMPAIGN trail, Donald Trump frequently pledged to “dismantle” the Dodd-Frank financial reforms passed in the wake of the 2008 financial crisis. On Wednesday, with the Federal Reserve’s release of a proposal to roll back capital and liquidity requirements, he caught his big whale. Those requirements, imposed by […]

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Volcker Rebukes Bernanke and Yellen

Volcker Rebukes Bernanke and Yellen In his new book, “Keeping At It: The Quest for Sound Money and Good Government,” by Paul Volcker (1979-1987) with Christine Harper, the former Fed Chairman delivers a sound rebuke to Chairmen Ben Bernanke (2006-2014) and Janet Yellen (2014-2018), and other Fed governors and economists, for fretting overmuch about deflation.  He […]

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Agents of Chaos: Trump, the Federal Reserve and Andrew Jackson

Agents of Chaos: Trump, the Federal Reserve and Andrew Jackson Photo Source Eli Christman | CC BY 2.0 “It is to be regretted that the rich and powerful too often bend the acts of government to their selfish purposes.” – President Andrew Jackson, Washington, July 10, 1832 They are three players, all problematic in their […]

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Opinion: Powell has lost his North Star, and the Fed is flying blind

Opinion: Powell has lost his North Star, and the Fed is flying blind The Fed risks raising interest rates too much as the compass spins wildly STAN HONDA/AFP/Getty ImagesStars appear to rotate around Polaris, the North Star, in this time exposure of the Kitt Peak National Observatory near Tucson, Ariz. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell […]

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Has “It” Finally Arrived?

Shutterstock Has “It” Finally Arrived? Is this week’s 6% market drop the start of the Big One? With the recent plunge in the S&P 500 of over 5%, has the long-anticipated (and long-overdue) market correction finally begun? It’s hard to say for certain. But the systemic cracks we’ve been closely monitoring definitely got an awful […]

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4 Pillars of Debt in Danger of Collapse

4 Pillars of Debt in Danger of Collapse Last month I was in a series of high-level meetings with members of Congress and the Senate in Washington. While there’s been major news about the Supreme Court, my discussions were on something that both sides of the aisle are coming to consensus over. You see, issues […]

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Weekly Commentary: Contemporary Finance’s Defect

Weekly Commentary: Contemporary Finance’s Defect October 3 – CNBC (Jeff Cox): “Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said the central bank has a ways to go yet before it gets interest rates to where they are neither restrictive nor accommodative. In a question and answer session Wednesday with Judy Woodruff of PBS, Powell said the Fed […]

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“Monster Move” In Treasuries Unleashes Global Market Rout

“Monster Move” In Treasuries Unleashes Global Market Rout A sea of red has greeted stock traders across the world this morning after what one analyst called “monster moves” in U.S. Treasury yields. The bond rout that sent 10Y Treasury yields to the highest since May 2011 promoted by stronger than expected US economic data, and which […]

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Fed Chair Powell Hints He May Soon Crash The Market

Fed Chair Powell Hints He May Soon Crash The Market Speaking at an event at the Atlantic Festival in Washington, Jerome Powell’s second public appearance of the week, the Fed chair took the opportunity to underscore just why he remains so complacent about the US economy, saying “it’s a remarkably positive set of economic circumstances,” […]

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One Step Closer to Recession

One Step Closer to Recession As you know by now, the Federal Reserve raised interest rates again yesterday, its eighth increase since the rate hike cycle began in 2015. In his post-announcement press conference, Jerome Powell cited a strong economy, low unemployment, solid growth, etc. He said that “It’s a particularly bright moment” for the […]

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The Fed’s Not Backing Off: Powell’s Standouts & Zingers at the Press Conference

The Fed’s Not Backing Off: Powell’s Standouts & Zingers at the Press Conference US is “on an unsustainable fiscal path, there’s no hiding from it.” I have to say, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell is a breath of fresh air when he talks, after the near-physical pain I experienced listening to his last three predecessors. I […]

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The Fed’s In A Box And People Are Starting To Notice

The Fed’s In A Box And People Are Starting To Notice It’s long been an article of faith in the sound money community that the Fed, by bailing out every dysfunctional financial entity in sight, would eventually be forced to choose between the deflationary collapse of a mountain of bad debt and the inflationary chaos […]

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By the Time the Fed Hits Its Goals, the Markets Will Be Crashing

By the Time the Fed Hits Its Goals, the Markets Will Be Crashing The Powell Fed has set one goal and one goal only for its policy… Hitting the “neutral rate of interest.” The neutral rate of interest is when the Fed has rates equal to the pace of inflation. While this is technicallywhat the Fed […]

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Chairman Powell’s Bizarre Statement Ignores the Reality of Price Inflation

Chairman Powell’s Bizarre Statement Ignores the Reality of Price Inflation Inflation has been on the rise since late 2015. According to the Consumer Price Index (CPI) measure, the Fed has typically maintained the “target inflation” rate of 2%. But official inflation has moved well past that benchmark. It is currently nearing 3% while rising at […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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