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Areas Of The World More Vulnerable To Collapse

Areas Of The World More Vulnerable To Collapse Certain areas of the world are more vulnerable to economic and societal collapse.  While most analysts gauge the strength or weakness of an economy based on its outstanding debt or debt to GDP ratio, there is another factor that is a much better indicator.  To understand which areas […]

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Do We Really Borrow From Only Ourselves? Does the Debt/GDP Ratio Means Anything?

Do We Really Borrow From Only Ourselves? Does the Debt/GDP Ratio Means Anything? QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong, the famous economist Paul Krugman says that debt is ok when we owe it to ourselves. He calls it “deficit scolding” as he wrote in the New York Times. Would you like to comment on this statement? GH ANSWER: Paul […]

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The Dangers of Investing Based on Phony Government Statistics

The Dangers of Investing Based on Phony Government Statistics President Donald Trump recently took to Twitter to boast, “The U.S. has an increased economic value of more than 7 Trillion Dollars since the Election. May be the best economy in the history of our country. Record Jobs numbers. Nice!” “We ran out of words to […]

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The Eurozone’s Coming Debt Crisis

The Eurozone’s Coming Debt Crisis The European Central bank has signaled the end of its asset purchase program and a possible rate hike before 2019. After more than 2 trillion euro of purchases and zero interest rate policy, it is overdue. The massive quantitative easing program has generated very significant imbalances and the risks outweigh […]

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Is the U.S. in a depression? (How John Williams became America’s most important statistician)

Is the U.S. in a depression? (How John Williams became America’s most important statistician) America’s economy has been progressing steadily. First quarter real GDP growth came in 2.2%. The official unemployment rate is 3.8%. Inflation, according to the Fed’s preferred measure is 2%. But how accurate are those numbers? “Nonsensical,” says John Williams, founder of […]

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Seven Ways to Think Like a Twenty-First-Century Economist

Seven Ways to Think Like a Twenty-First-Century Economist This excerpt has been adapted from Kate Raworth’s book Doughnut Economics: Seven Ways to Think Like a 21st-Century Economist (Chelsea Green, 2017) and is printed with permission from the publisher. Now available in paperback and audio. Seven Ways to Think Like a Twenty-First-Century Economist Whether you consider […]

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Work in a World Without Growth

WORK IN A WORLD WITHOUT GROWTH A fixation with growth in economics has seen GDP increase in proportion to environmental damage. As planetary limits draw ever closer and are even being surpassed, such a model cannot be sustained. Riccardo Mastini explains how a job guarantee could open up the way to a sustainable economic model. […]

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How the Economy Works as It Reaches Energy Limits — An Introduction for Actuaries and Others

How the Economy Works as It Reaches Energy Limits — An Introduction for Actuaries and Others Why have long-term interest rates generally fallen since 1981? Why have asset prices risen? Can these trends be expected to continue? The standard evaluation approach by actuaries and economists seems to be to look at past patterns and assume that […]

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The ninety percent and the tithe

The ninety percent and the tithe I think it likely that 90% of our working time creates what we don’t need and also damages work to preserve what we do need. That is: most of our time is not only wasted but destructive. Of course, I’m speaking of the so-called First World and of the […]

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The Economy Is Cooked

© Albund | Dreamstime.com The Economy Is Cooked The growth cycle has peaked Hours ago, European Central Bank chief Mario Dragho conceded: “The growth cycle may have peaked” Of course, those paying attention to the data already knew this. Our politicians and central planers have been peddling to us the fantasy that the global economy […]

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Doug Duncan: Even US Government Economists Predict Trouble Ahead

Doug Duncan: Even US Government Economists Predict Trouble Ahead Fannie Mae forecasts an economic slowdown by 2019 Doug Duncan is not your average beltway economist. The chief economist for Fannie Mae is surprisingly outspoken about the troublesome outlook for the US economy. He’s worried about the rising cost of debt service as outstanding credit continues […]

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Global Debt Bubble Hits New All Time High – One Quadrillion Reasons To Buy Gold

Global Debt Bubble Hits New All Time High – One Quadrillion Reasons To Buy Gold – Global debt bubble hits new all time high – over $237 trillion – Global debt increased 10% or $21 tn in 2017 to nearly a quarter quadrillion USD – Increase in debt equivalent to United States’ ballooning national debt […]

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Jerome Is The New Janet: Tie, Trousers And Same Old Keynesian Jabberwocky

Jerome Is The New Janet: Tie, Trousers And Same Old Keynesian Jabberwocky The election of 2016 was supposed to be the most disruptive break with the status quo in modern history, if ever. On the single most important decision of his tenure, however, the Donald has lined-up check-by-jowl with Barry and Dubya, too. That is to […]

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What a Hoot: Fed Chairman Powell Says “Growth Has Picked Up”

What a Hoot: Fed Chairman Powell Says “Growth Has Picked Up” In his first non-FOMC speech, Jerome Powell stresses growth and jobs. Inquiring minds are investigating Jerome Powell’s speech on his Outlook for the U.S. Economy presented today at the Economic Club of Chicago, Chicago, Illinois. Here are a few key quotes. After what at […]

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Playing for All the Marbles

Playing for All the Marbles Global Plunge Protection Teams must be ordering take-out food; every night is a long one now. The current stocks/bonds game is for all the marbles, by which I mean the status quo now depends on valuations and interest rates remaining near their current levels for the system to function. If […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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