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Tag Archives: recession
US Economy Heads Toward Zero Growth in Q1
US Economy Heads Toward Zero Growth in Q1 GDPNow: Wall Street’s promise of Escape Velocity is a joke. The consistency with which nearly every report on the US economy has deteriorated over the last few months is astonishing. Only the jobs report has been spared that sharp downdraft. So we blame the weather, which in […]
The Tried-and-True Blueprint for Raising Taxes
The Tried-and-True Blueprint for Raising Taxes As the global economy slides into recession and the U.S. economy catches a cold, the blueprint for raising taxes will be dusted off in every state. The blueprint for raising taxes in the modern era was first established in 1913 when the federal government instituted permanent income taxes. Prior to […]
One Last Look At The Real Economy Before It Implodes – Part 3
One Last Look At The Real Economy Before It Implodes – Part 3 In the previous installments of this series, we discussed the hidden and often unspoken crisis brewing within the employment market, as well as in personal debt. The primary consequence being a collapse in overall consumer demand, something which we are at this […]
The Last Time Gas Prices Rose This Fast, The US Entered Recession
The Last Time Gas Prices Rose This Fast, The US Entered Recession From February through May, gas prices have historically tended to rise. However, between refinery strikes and shutdowns (and blend transitions), 2015 has seen gas prices rise from the start of February at the fastest pace on record. Despite the total lack of ‘surge in […]
What Happens to the Stock Market if the U.S. Follows the World into Recession?
What Happens to the Stock Market if the U.S. Follows the World into Recession? History is rather unkind to blind faith in central banks, just as the rising U.S. dollar and stagnant sales are being very unkind to corporate profits. The quasi-religious faith that central banks can push stock markets ever higher regardless of real-world […]
The Great Immoderation: How The Fed Is Sowing The Next Recession
The Great Immoderation: How The Fed Is Sowing The Next Recession In February 2004 Ben Bernanke famously declared the business cycle had been tamed and took a bow in behalf of enlightened monetary management, claiming it was the principal source of this beneficent development. Exactly 55 months later, of course, he terrorized the Congressional leadership and a clueless President […]
Equity Valuations, Recessions and Stock Market Declines
Equity Valuations, Recessions and Stock Market Declines Click for a larger image Last week I had a fascinating conversation with Neile Wolfe, of Wells Fargo Advisors, LLC. Based on the underlying data in the chart above, Neile made some cogent observations about the historical relationships between equity valuations, recessions and market prices: High valuations […]
Two More Harbingers Of Financial Doom That Mirror The Crisis Of 2008
Two More Harbingers Of Financial Doom That Mirror The Crisis Of 2008 The stock market continues to flirt with new record highs, but the signs that we could be on the precipice of the next major financial crisis continue to mount. A couple of days ago, I discussed the fact that the U.S. dollar is experiencing […]
Sorry, Millennials, We’re Out of the Jobs You Want
Sorry, Millennials, We’re Out of the Jobs You Want Millennials don’t want to work in sales, reports the Wall Street Journal. They think it’s exploitative. They also hate the idea of variable compensation; they want a nice, steady job where the company takes the risk, not the worker. The feeling that sales is exploitative is not […]
Is Canada Headed For Another Recession? Eight Troubling Signs
Is Canada Headed For Another Recession? Eight Troubling Signs A string of dire economic news since the beginning of 2015 has many observers worried about whether Canada could be on the brink of another downturn, but economists say it’s too soon to mention the “R-word.” One month in, layoffs seem to be the dominant theme […]
Birth Pangs Of The Coming Great Depression
Birth Pangs Of The Coming Great Depression The signs of the times are everywhere – all you have to do is open up your eyes and look at them. When a pregnant woman first goes into labor, the birth pangs are usually fairly moderate and are not that close together. But as the time for […]
Commodities crash: Bad news for the world economy, but is anyone listening?
Commodities crash: Bad news for the world economy, but is anyone listening? Reading the general run of financial headlines might lead one to believe that price declines in those commodities which are highly sensitive to economic conditions such as iron ore, copper, oil, natural gas, coal, and lumber are good on their face. Obviously, the declines aren’t good for those who sell these commodities. […]
Birth Pangs Of The Coming Great Depression
Birth Pangs Of The Coming Great Depression The signs of the times are everywhere – all you have to do is open up your eyes and look at them. When a pregnant woman first goes into labor, the birth pangs are usually fairly moderate and are not that close together. But as the time for […]
Try Everything by J. Bradford DeLong – Project Syndicate
Try Everything by J. Bradford DeLong – Project Syndicate. BERKELEY – When it became clear in late 2008 that the global economy was headed toward a crash at least as dangerous as the one that had initiated the Great Depression, I was alarmed, but also hopeful. We had, after all, seen this before. And we […]
“Houston, You Have A Problem” – Texas Is Headed For A Recession Due To Oil Crash, JPM Warns | Zero Hedge
“Houston, You Have A Problem” – Texas Is Headed For A Recession Due To Oil Crash, JPM Warns | Zero Hedge. It was back in August 2013, when there was nothing but clear skies ahead of the US shale industry that we asked “How Much Is Oil Supporting U.S. Employment Gains?” The answer we gave: […]
