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Recession Risk Mounting For Canada

Recession Risk Mounting For Canada The latest economic data from Canada shows that it is inching towards recession, after its economy posted its fifth straight month of contraction. Statistics Canada revealed on July 31 that the Canadian economy shrank by 0.2 percent on an annualized basis in May, perhaps pushing the country over the edge into recessionary […]

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It Gets Ugly in Canada

It Gets Ugly in Canada “It’s an election about who will protect our economy in a period of ongoing global instability,” Stephen Harper, Prime Minister of Canada, announced on Sunday as he officially kicked off the campaign for the federal elections on October 19. He’d just asked Governor General David Johnston to dissolve Parliament. “Now is not the […]

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Something Just Snapped: Container Freight Rates From Asia To Europe Crash 23% In One Week

Something Just Snapped: Container Freight Rates From Asia To Europe Crash 23% In One Week One of the few silver linings surrounding the hard-landing Chinese economy in recent weeks has been the surprising resilience and strength of the Baltic Dry Index: even as Chinese commodity demand has cratered in 2015, this “index” has more than […]

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Italy Youth Unemployment Hits Record High 44.2%, Concerns Rising “Recession Exit May Be Unsustainable”

Italy Youth Unemployment Hits Record High 44.2%, Concerns Rising “Recession Exit May Be Unsustainable” Earlier today, Eurostat released the two most important data points for Europe: inflation and unemployment. On the former,  there was no surprise at the headline level which remained at 0.2% for the another month, in line with expectations, but core CPI […]

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Don’t Call it a Recession!

Don’t Call it a Recession! “But pretty soon the word “recession” also became too harsh for the delicate sensibilities of the American public. It now seems that we had our last recession in 1957–58. For since then, we have only had “downturns,” or, even better, “slowdowns,” or “sidewise movements.” So be of good cheer; from […]

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The South American Financial Crisis Of 2015

The South American Financial Crisis Of 2015 Most nations in South America are either already experiencing an economic recession or are right on the verge of one.  In general, South American economies are very heavily dependent on exports, and right now they are being absolutely shredded by the twin blades of a commodity price collapse and a […]

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Forget politics, here is what the economy needs: Don Pittis

Forget politics, here is what the economy needs: Don Pittis Try seeking a recovery as if Canada weren’t in election mode If Prime Minister Stephen Harper could wave a magic wand and make the Canadian economy boom, you’d think he would do it now. It’s well-known that one of the main barriers for an existing government to […]

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Abenomics End Game: Thousands Protest In Downtown Tokyo, Demand Abe’s Resignation As PM Disapproval Soars

Abenomics End Game: Thousands Protest In Downtown Tokyo, Demand Abe’s Resignation As PM Disapproval Soars Considering that Shinzo Abe’s first reign as prime minister of Japan lasted precisely one year from September 26, 2006 until September 26 of the following year, when he voluntarily resigned due to diarrhea, the fact that he has managed to […]

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US Recession Imminent – World Trade Slumps By Most Since Financial Crisis

US Recession Imminent – World Trade Slumps By Most Since Financial Crisis As goes the world, so goes America (according to 30 years of historical data), and so when world trade volumes drop over 2% (the biggest drop since 2009) in the last six months to the weakest since June 2014, the “US recession imminent” […]

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Nine Reasons Why Low Oil Prices May “Morph” Into Something Much Worse

Nine Reasons Why Low Oil Prices May “Morph” Into Something Much Worse Why are commodity prices, including oil prices, lagging? Ultimately, it comes back to the question, “Why isn’t the world economy making very many of the end products that use these commodities?” If workers were getting rich enough to buy new homes and cars, demand for […]

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Recession, Not Fracking, Behind Drop in U.S. Carbon Dioxide Emissions, Scientists Conclude

Recession, Not Fracking, Behind Drop in U.S. Carbon Dioxide Emissions, Scientists Conclude It’s been a talking point for boosters of the shale gas rush for years: as fracking spread across the country and the supply glut drove prices down, utilities have been shuttering dirty coal plants and burning natural gas instead – meaning that America’s […]

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Will the Oil Patch Bust Trigger Recession?

Will the Oil Patch Bust Trigger Recession? This seemingly inexhaustible credit line is now drying up, with severely negative consequences for oil producers with debt that’s coming due. Could the oil patch bust triggered by oil plummeting from $100/barrel to $50/barrel kick the U.S. into recession? Longtime correspondent B.C. recently observed: The question is whether the incipient […]

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Citi Predicts Greek Hyperinflation Breaks Out In Two Years

Citi Predicts Greek Hyperinflation Breaks Out In Two Years Earlier, we showed that according to Citigroup (among many) for Greece to have any hope of surviving, it needs a masive debt haircut: the bigger, the better, with Citi tossing out numbers as high as €130 billion. Still, even if Greece does get debt relief, as long as […]

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Greece Is Now A Full-Blown Humanitarian Crisis – In 9 Charts

Greece Is Now A Full-Blown Humanitarian Crisis – In 9 Charts The people of Greece are facing further years of economic hardship following a Eurozone agreement over the terms of a third bailout. The deal included more tax rises and spending cuts, despite the Syriza government coming to power promising to end what it described as […]

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Largest “Alternative” Mortgage Lender in Canada Plunges, Denies “Systemic Problem” in Housing Market

Largest “Alternative” Mortgage Lender in Canada Plunges, Denies “Systemic Problem” in Housing Market Home Capital Group, Canada’s largest non-bank mortgage lender, focuses on “alternative” mortgages, as they’re called euphemistically, that is high-profit mortgages to risky borrowers with dented credit or unreliable incomes, such as self-employed folks or new immigrants, who don’t qualify for mortgage insurance […]

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