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Revisiting the Shale Oil Hype: Technology versus Geology

Revisiting the Shale Oil Hype: Technology versus Geology The press has been all abuzz the past few weeks speculating on what the drop in oil prices will mean for U.S. shale oil (tight oil) production. Pundits have been falling over themselves quoting various estimates of the breakeven cost of production in this play or that, […]

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Eurasian Pivot? Moscow Expects “Progress” From Tsipras Visit

Eurasian Pivot? Moscow Expects “Progress” From Tsipras Visit As Athens prepares to try and convince eurozone creditors that its latest set of proposed reforms represents a credible attempt to address Greece’s fiscal crisis, and as Greek depositors face the very real possibility that they will soon be Cyprus’d, a leverage-less Alexis Tsipras faces a rather unpalatable […]

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Greece Prepares To Leave

Greece Prepares To Leave Speculation and expert comments are thrown around once more – or still – like candy on Halloween. Let me therefore retrace what I’ve said before. Because I think it’s really awfully simple, once you got the underlying factors in place. But first, if one thing has become obvious after Syriza was […]

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Black Swan 2: This Is “The Next Critical Chapter In The Austrian Banking System Story”

Black Swan 2: This Is “The Next Critical Chapter In The Austrian Banking System Story” When it comes to the sweeping of (trillions of) toxic assets until such time as the ECB starts purchasing not only government bonds but equities, bank loans and really anything else that in a normal world would have some “mark […]

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Kiev, Moscow, Bonds and Haircuts

Kiev, Moscow, Bonds and Haircuts When money managers talk outside their narrow field, nonsense is guaranteed to ensue. No better example than this Bloomberg piece on Ukraine’s ‘debt restructuring’ plans, which are as much a political tool as they are anything else at all. Ukraine’s American Finance Minister has announced a broad restructuring plan with […]

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Wall Street Losing Millions From Bad Energy Loans

Wall Street Losing Millions From Bad Energy Loans Oil companies continue to get burned by low oil prices, but the pain is bleeding over into the financial industry. Major banks are suffering huge losses from both directly backing some struggling oil companies, but also from buying high-yield debt that is now going sour. The Wall […]

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Global Shale Fail: Oil Majors Leaving Fracking Fields Across Europe, Asia

Global Shale Fail: Oil Majors Leaving Fracking Fields Across Europe, Asia With some analysts predicting the global price of oil to see another drop, many oil majors have deployed their parachutes and jumped from thehydraulic fracturing (“fracking”) projects rapidly nose-diving across the world. As The Wall Street Journal recently reported, the unconvetional shale oil and gas boom is […]

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Wall Street Banks Hit by Oil & Gas Defaults, Bankruptcies

Wall Street Banks Hit by Oil & Gas Defaults, Bankruptcies The fracking boom has been cash-flow negative for oil and gas drillers from the very beginning. The steep decline rates of fracked wells force producers to drill more wells just to keep production and revenues flat, even at high oil prices. They fund this drilling […]

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SPIEGEL Interview with Greek Prime Minister Tsipras: ‘We Don’t Want to Go on Borrowing Forever’

SPIEGEL Interview with Greek Prime Minister Tsipras: ‘We Don’t Want to Go on Borrowing Forever’ Alex Tsipras seems almost inconspicuous as he stands in his enormous office in Athens’ Maximos Mansion, and very relaxed. Greece’s new, 43-year-old leftist prime minister, a thorn in the side of German leaders in Berlin, has a soft handshake. On the […]

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“Default Monday”: Oil & Gas Companies Face Their Creditors

“Default Monday”: Oil & Gas Companies Face Their Creditors Debt funded the fracking boom. Now oil and gas prices have collapsed, and so has the ability to service that debt. The oil bust of the 1980s took down 700 banks, including 9 of the 10 largest in Texas. But this time, it’s different. This time, […]

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One Last Look At The Real Economy Before It Implodes – Part 1

One Last Look At The Real Economy Before It Implodes – Part 1 We are only two months into 2015, and it has already proven to be the most volatile year for the economic environment since 2008-2009. We have seen oil markets collapsing by about 50 percent in the span of a few months (just […]

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BREAKING BAD (DEBT) – EPISODE THREE

BREAKING BAD (DEBT) – EPISODE THREE In Part One of this three part article I laid out the groundwork of how the Federal Reserve is responsible for the excessive level of debt in our society and how it has warped the thinking of the American people, while creating a tremendous level of mal-investment. In Part Two I focused on […]

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The Unnerving Thing Wells Fargo Just Said About the Auto Boom

The Unnerving Thing Wells Fargo Just Said About the Auto Boom American consumers are borrowing like never before to buy cars. It has been the reason why the US auto industry is intoxicated with its own exuberance. Last year, 16.5 million new vehicles were sold. This year, the industry hopes to breach the sound barrier […]

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As Greek Default Fears Return, Government Considers “Borrowing” Pensions To Repay IMF

As Greek Default Fears Return, Government Considers “Borrowing” Pensions To Repay IMF Greek short-term default risk jumped over 300bps today putting the odds of a restructuring at 50-50 within the next year as the warnings we issued last week with regard Greece’s imminent default on its IMF loan loom. Seeking to reassure its lenders (and avoid yet more […]

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Greece Warns It May Default On IMF Loan Next Week

Greece Warns It May Default On IMF Loan Next Week Now that the Greek tragicomedy of the new government “threatening” to leave the Eurozone if it doesn’t get its way, has been postponed for a few weeks, if not months, we can go back to the biggest story involving Greece, one we first covered in October […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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