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Tag Archives: ecb
Presenting SocGen’s 5 Black Swans For 2016
Presenting SocGen’s 5 Black Swans For 2016 If you’re the type who likes black swans this has been the month for you. On the political front, Portugal’s Socialists, led by Antonio Costa, formed an alliance with the Left Bloc and the Communists on the way to overthrowing the Passos Coelho government and presaging a repudiation of Berlin’s brand […]
Swiss Bank “Goes There”, Applies Negative Rates To Retail Deposits
Swiss Bank “Goes There”, Applies Negative Rates To Retail Deposits Back in September in “How Mario Draghi Can Force The Swiss National Bank To Go ‘Nuclear On Depositors,” we discussed the implications of the ECB’s (likely) decision to plunge further into NIRP-dom at the bank’s December meeting. In short, DM central banks – with the […]
Oil Prices Testing August Lows As Inventories Swell
Oil Prices Testing August Lows As Inventories Swell As Mike D from the Beastie Boys turns fifty today, WTI is trying to fight for its right to party on in forty-dollardom. (but failing). Brent is being more successful in trying to ‘get it together’, holding somewhat steady, but the ongoing swelling-inventory, tanker traffic-jammed nature of […]
Hang Onto Your Wallets: Negative Interest, the War on Cash, and the $10 Trillion Bail-in
Hang Onto Your Wallets: Negative Interest, the War on Cash, and the $10 Trillion Bail-in In uncertain times, “cash is king,” but central bankers are systematically moving to eliminate that option. Is it really about stimulating the economy? Or is there some deeper, darker threat afoot? Remember those old ads showing a senior couple lounging on […]
The Mad Euro Project Just Got A Lot Madder
The Mad Euro Project Just Got A Lot Madder Feeding a Monstrous Pile of Debt. Under Mario Draghi’s radical stewardship, the ECB seems determined to push the limits of monetary experimentation. And by all accounts, it’s succeeding. This week saw numerous eurozone governments sell bonds at negative rates, an economic anomaly that has no place […]
50 Ways to Leave the Euro: Greece and the Global Crisis
50 Ways to Leave the Euro: Greece and the Global Crisis A sticker reads “No” on the palm of a protester during a demonstration calling for a ‘No’ vote in the upcoming referendum in Athens on Jul 3, 2015. (Photo: AFP/Aris Messinis) The problem is all inside your head, I told the Greeks The answer is […]
The Eurozone’s Minsky Conundrum
The Eurozone’s Minsky Conundrum BRUSSELS – Stubbornly low inflation has the European Central Bank worried. But its response – essentially just more quantitative easing – could backfire, exacerbating imbalances and generating serious financial instability. As it stands, the headline consumer price index in the eurozone hovers around zero, and even core inflation remains below 1% […]
One Trader Loses It Over Draghi And Yellen’s Lies
One Trader Loses It Over Draghi And Yellen’s Lies Epsilon Theory’s Ben Hunt is one of our favorite commentators and market analysts. He is a very rational, even-keeled and objective observer and trader of the capital markets, no matter how broken or centrally-planned they may be. Which is why we were disappointed to see that […]
Sweden Launches MOAR QE, As Krugman Paradise Quadruples Down After Dovish Draghi
Sweden Launches MOAR QE, As Krugman Paradise Quadruples Down After Dovish Draghi Over the last six months, we’ve documented Sweden’s descent into the Keynesian Twilight Zone in great detail. Once upon a time, the Riksbank actually tried to raise rates, only to be lambasted by a furious Paul Krugman who accused the central bank of […]
Here’s What Happens When Central Banks Go Broke
Here’s What Happens When Central Banks Go Broke On Friday, in “Is Mario Draghi About To Go Full-Kuroda? RBS Says ECB Could Buy Stocks,” we took a closer look at what the ECB’s options are when it comes to implementing further easing measures come December. As a reminder, Mario Draghi telegraphed either another depo rate […]
The Bond Crisis & 2015.75
The Bond Crisis & 2015.75 Some people have wrongly expected a crash in the long bonds. What has actually happened is that China and others have sold into the high, liquidating their long bonds, and moving short-term. This is why rates are negative on the short-end. The CRASH comes in the opposite direction this time. […]
Visualizing The Demise Of The Once Mighty Euro
Visualizing The Demise Of The Once Mighty Euro The European Union has always been primarily a political project. The idea of the union was to take peoples that had long and complicated histories, and to place them in a situation where they must work together and shed their differences in order to achieve success. From the […]
Goldman Warns On Limits Of Central Bank Policy: “The Road To Hell Is Paved With Good Intentions”
Goldman Warns On Limits Of Central Bank Policy: “The Road To Hell Is Paved With Good Intentions” Back in May, we noted that minutes from the ECB’s April 14-15 policy meeting seem to reveal that the central bank is either obtuse or else suffering from a frightening bout of willful ignorance. Here’s are the excerpts which led […]
