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Olduvai III: Catacylsm
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Trench warfare in the climate wars: no victory in sight

Trench warfare in the climate wars: no victory in sight  Image from “ThinkProgress” The latest data from Gallup about how much Americans worry about global warming are nothing less than amazing. Today, we are exactly where we were more than one-quarter of a century ago. And yet, climate science has progressed, temperatures have been rising, […]

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How the greatest technology ever developed backfired on us

How the greatest technology ever developed backfired on us Natural selection was probably the factor that led the Irish Elk to develop oversized antlers: they were a beneficial feature for the males in the sexual competition game. However, the weight of the antlers was also a burden and it has been argued that it was one […]

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The climate emergency: time to switch to panic mode?

The climate emergency: time to switch to panic mode? The latest temperature data have broken all records (image from “think progress“). At best, this is an especially large oscillation and the climate system will be soon back on track; following the predictions of the models – maybe to be retouched to take into account faster […]

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An epochal change: have CO2 emissions peaked?

An epochal change: have CO2 emissions peaked? Image from MIT Technology Review The projections that had been circulating during the past few months turned out to be correct. Now, it is official: the global carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions peaked in 2014 and went down in 2015. And this could be a momentous change. Don’t expect the emission […]

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The “Limits to Growth” was right: Italy’s population starts declining.

The “Limits to Growth” was right: Italy’s population starts declining. The “base case” scenario described in the 2004 edition of “The Limits to Growth”, an update of the original study sponsored by the Club of Rome and published in 1972. Note how the world’s population is supposed to start declining some years after the peaking […]

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MEDEAS begins

MEDEAS begins The European project “MEDEAS” is starting. The acronym has little to do with the mythological figure of Medea but stands for “Modeling the Energy Development under Environmental And Socioeconomic constraints” and it is an ambitious attempt at creating a new model that will define the future of the energy system in Europe, taking into account […]

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The Empire of Lies

The Empire of Lies The Trajan Column was built in order to celebrate the victories of the Roman Armies in the conquest of Dacia, during the 2nd century AD. It shows that the Romans knew and used propaganda, although in forms that for us look primitive. In those times, just as in ours, a dying […]

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The Physics of Energy and the Economy

The Physics of Energy and the Economy I approach the subject of the physics of energy and the economy with some trepidation. An economy seems to be a dissipative system, but what does this really mean? There are not many people who understand dissipative systems, and very few who understand how an economy operates. The combination leads […]

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A new blog dedicated to the Seneca Effect

A new blog dedicated to the Seneca Effect   The Seneca Trap is a repository of the posts dedicated to the “Seneca Effect” that appeared, and will appear, on “Cassandra’s Legacy The idea of collapse is bad enough for most people when it deals with the running out of mineral resources along the symmetrical “bell shaped” […]

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Climate change and the alien gods of the Bible: an epiphany of epistemology.

Climate change and the alien gods of the Bible: an epiphany of epistemology. Fish-god and assorted alienities from an ancient Sumerian cylinder seal (image from wikipedia). Nothing real but, oh, so fascinating! As I was waiting for my train at the Milano station, last week, I toured a bookstore and I was attracted to a book […]

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Partisan hostility in society and the consequences on climate change policy

Partisan hostility in society and the consequences on climate change policy A curious vehicle carrying a mock-up of the Soviet Sputnik satellite. It was used for political propaganda in the 1950s by the Italian Communist Party (PCI). Up to the 1980s and even later, Italy was a deeply divided country where two opposed and incompatible […]

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Climate Change and the Horse Manure Catastrophe

Climate Change and the Horse Manure Catastrophe One of the reasons of the success of the motor car in replacing horses was that cars didn’t leave solid waste behind. It would take almost a century to understand that the exhaust of motor vehicles is way more toxic and polluting than anything that the rear of […]

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Peak Oil? What Peak Oil?

Peak Oil? What Peak Oil? It is unbelievable how many times I’ve heard people telling me “the US has become self-sufficient in oil production,” a group that includes some respectable members of the EU parliament. This is probably due to the confusion that the media have made on the fact that the US production has […]

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2015: the Year that Changed Everything?

2015: the Year that Changed Everything?    Recent wildfires in California, photo from the Independent There has been no lack of disasters taking place in 2015. Some can be classified as “natural” others as human caused. In all cases, anyway, they are an indication of the stress felt by the ecosystem and by the economic system […]

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Ultrasociality: The Key to Human History?

Ultrasociality: The Key to Human History? Peter Turchin’s book deserves to be devoured in a few hours, and that’s what I did. But, I emerged out of it with a sensation of disappointment (*). Possibly it was unavoidable: all the books that attempt to explain everything are destined to fall short in one way or […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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