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Tag Archives: risk
Volatility and Sleep-Walking Markets
Volatility and Sleep-Walking Markets A recent Business Insider chart of the day feature was particularly interesting. Called The stock market is asleep, it observed that the US market has been in a period of very low volatility: Market technician Ryan Detrick noted that it’s been 8 weeks since we’ve seen a weekly move of at least […]
In Gold We Trust 2015
In Gold We Trust 2015 The Gold Standard of Gold Reports is Back As every year around this time, our good friends Ronald Stoeferle and Mark Valek, the managers of the Incrementum Fund, have published their annual “In Gold We Trust” report, the extended version of which can be downloaded below. This year’s report is […]
Collapse Part 3: No Institutional Path to Contraction
Collapse Part 3: No Institutional Path to Contraction Collapse is not an event, it is a process. One poorly understood source of collapse is the lack of pathways to contraction and a reduction of complexity/cost. The only pathway that is clearly marked is the one to expansion–of production, debt, credit, government, income, benefits, costs and complexity: […]
China’s Island Building Reveals the True Power in Asia
China’s Island Building Reveals the True Power in Asia China’s land reclamation moves in the South China Sea may be cause for reproach, but no one will do a thing about Beijing’s island-building program beyond the huff and puff of objection. While the U.N. Convention on the Law of the Sea (UNCLOS) has been […]
Geopolitical Risks Are Climbing: Interstate Conflict Is Highest Risk In 2015
Geopolitical Risks Are Climbing: Interstate Conflict Is Highest Risk In 2015 Every year, the World Economic Forum publishes an annual report on global risks that covers the factors and underlying drivers that could most likely disrupt global economic activity. Most of the time over the last decade, the survey of 900 global experts finds the […]
The Fed Is Funneling the Investing Herd Off a Cliff
The Fed Is Funneling the Investing Herd Off a Cliff What happens to price in a bidless market? It goes off a cliff. As you probably know by now, it turns out lemmings didn’t voluntarily commit mass suicide: they were driven off the cliff by those in charge. Lemming Suicide Myth: Disney Film Faked Bogus Behavior. […]
The Central Problem with Central Banks: They Become the Greater Fools/Bag-Holders
The Central Problem with Central Banks: They Become the Greater Fools/Bag-Holders Those who are confident the central banks can print unlimited money may find there are political and financial consequences to such extremes that cannot be foreseen. The central problem with central banks is their mandate now includes propping up all asset markets globally. Back in […]
Oil Sector May Not Cause Financial Apocalypse After All
Oil Sector May Not Cause Financial Apocalypse After All Across the oil patch, banks are starting to close off their exposure to some of the riskiest oil drillers. A new monthly survey from the Federal Reserve finds that banks that have issued loans to oil drillers are projecting some of them to go bad. Over the course […]
Collaboration, Adaptation and Risk: Innovate or Die
Collaboration, Adaptation and Risk: Innovate or Die Collaboration, innovation and risk are all intrinsic to adaptation. Without adaptation, every system eventually perishes once conditions change. One feature of capitalism that is rarely discussed is the premium placed on cooperation and collaboration. The Darwinian aspect of competition is widely accepted (and rued) as capitalism’s dominant force, but […]
Our Banking System is a Giant House of Cards
Our Banking System is a Giant House of Cards It Could Fall On You. Anat Admati teaches finance and economics at the Stanford Graduate School of Business and is co-author of The Bankers’ New Clothes, a classic account of the problem of Too Big to Fail banks. On May 6th, at the Finance and Society Conferencesponsored […]
Escaping the Deadly Financial Rip-Tide of Debt and Speculation
Escaping the Deadly Financial Rip-Tide of Debt and Speculation Only those know to swim parallel to the shore can escape the destructive rip-tide of debt and speculative risk pulling everyone to insecurity and impoverishment. Longtime correspondent Kevin K. recently shared an extremely insightful analogy of our financial peril. Those of you who swim or body-surf in […]
The Working Wilderness
The Working Wilderness [An excerpt from Chapter 18 of my book The Age of Consequences] During a conservation tour of the well-managed U Bar Ranch near Silver City, New Mexico, I was asked to say a few words about a map a friend had recently given to me. We were taking a break in the shade […]
Guaranteed Financial Security Is a Fantasy
Guaranteed Financial Security Is a Fantasy Guarantees based on extracting higher taxes, borrowing trillions of dollars and creating trillions more out of thin air only guarantee eventual systemic implosion. It is difficult for those living through tectonic social and economic shifts to recognize the passing of one era and the emergence of a new era. We […]
Will Cash Always Be Trash, Or Will It One Day Be King?
Will Cash Always Be Trash, Or Will It One Day Be King? When the phantom wealth evaporates and risk assets go bidless, cash will once again be king, for the simple reason there will be so little of it. Occasionally it’s a good idea to step away from the daily grind to consider the larger […]
