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Tag Archives: growth
Why Global Growth Hit A Wall: China Credit Growth Continues To Slow
Why Global Growth Hit A Wall: China Credit Growth Continues To Slow QUICK TAKE: In short, our thesis is that city-level and regional macroprudential tightening policies in China currently will render economic growth in 2Q18, but more importantly 2H18, dismal; we believe this will spread to emerging markets, rendering the “global coordinated growth” bulls out […]
The Viable Economy – and Viable Finance
The Viable Economy – and Viable Finance via openclipart.org It is all too clear that our economy is precarious, economically, socially and ecologically. Steady State Manchester promotes the Viable Economy1, which means greater resilience, localisation, and balance as economic activity is treated not an end in itself, but rather as a means to deliver a […]
Weekly Commentary: Old Roach Motel
Weekly Commentary: Old Roach Motel One hundred and six months. The current expansion, having emerged in the aftermath of the collapse of the mortgage finance Bubble, is now the second-longest on record (lagging only the 120-month 1990’s Bubble period). The unemployment rate dropped to 3.9% last month, the lowest level since the 3.8% print in […]
Where are We Going?
Where are We Going? Ed. note: Nate Hagens gave this talk on Earth Day on April 23, 2018 at The Land Institute, Salina, Kansas. What follows is an edited transcript of the talk. The Human Predicament Around 11,000 years ago, as the last ice age ended, our ancestors – in no fewer than 5 locations […]
What Lies Beyond Capitalism and Socialism?
What Lies Beyond Capitalism and Socialism? The status quo, in all its various forms, is dominated by incentives that strengthen the centralization of wealth and power. As longtime readers know, my work aims to 1) explain why the status quo — the socio-economic-political system we inhabit — is unsustainable, divisive, and doomed to collapse under […]
From “Green Growth” to Post-Growth
From “Green Growth” to Post-Growth (Photo: Pixabay) The seduction of economic growth is all-pervasive. Even within progressive circles that claim to understand that growth is causing ecological destruction, there is hope in a new type of salvation: “green growth.” This is the idea that technology will become more efficient and allow us to grow the […]
The Curse of Bigness
The Curse of Bigness The next time I hear a politico or banker or corporate executive talk about institutions “too big to fail,” I’ll direct them to the 34 percent of Americans who are obese. Last I heard, these big Americans, themselves a kind of cultural institution, were failing en masse, racked by diabetes, asthma, […]
Draghi Admits “Growth May Have Peaked”; ECB To Delay QE Unwind
Draghi Admits “Growth May Have Peaked”; ECB To Delay QE Unwind As we have showed repeatedly over the past month, the European economic imploding, and nowhere is this more obvious than the Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index why will soon hit its post financial crisis lows. It appears that after weeks of dithering, someone at […]
Cursed to live in interesting times
Cursed to live in interesting times In this article I connect the fall in the growth rate, with its roots in the rising costs of energy extraction and generation, to declining resilience in the economic system. These are in turn related to a more conflict ridden geo-politics. There is an increased vulnerability to shocks which […]
Global Debt Hits Record $237 Trillion, Up $21TN In 2017
Global Debt Hits Record $237 Trillion, Up $21TN In 2017 Last June we reported that according to the Institute of International Finance – perhaps best known for its periodic and concerning reports summarizing global leverage statistics – as of the end of 2016, in a period of so-called “coordinated growth”, global debt hit a new […]
Trade Wars Just Beginning…The War Is a Fight Over an Indefinitely Shrinking Pie
Trade Wars Just Beginning…The War Is a Fight Over an Indefinitely Shrinking Pie From a growth perspective, it doesn’t matter if the world is 7.5 million or 7.5 billion persons…it only matters how many more there are from one year to the next. Economic growth (or the ability to consume more…not produce more) is about the […]
What a Hoot: Fed Chairman Powell Says “Growth Has Picked Up”
What a Hoot: Fed Chairman Powell Says “Growth Has Picked Up” In his first non-FOMC speech, Jerome Powell stresses growth and jobs. Inquiring minds are investigating Jerome Powell’s speech on his Outlook for the U.S. Economy presented today at the Economic Club of Chicago, Chicago, Illinois. Here are a few key quotes. After what at […]
Loonie Spikes As Canadian Consumer Prices Surge
Loonie Spikes As Canadian Consumer Prices Surge Oh, Canada… growth is stagnating, housing bubbles imploding, and now inflation is surging… Canadian Consumer prices surge 2.2% YoY (well above expectations of +1.9% and January’s +1.7% YoY) Core prices – which exclude more volatile items like energy and are considered a gauge of inflation pressures – inched […]
