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For God’s Sake, Stop!

FOR GOD’S SAKE, STOP!  “Most economists, it seems, believe strongly in their own superior intelligence and take themselves far too seriously. In his open letter of 22 July 2001 to Joseph Stiglitz, Kenneth Rogoff identified this problem. ‘One of my favourite stories from that era is a lunch with you and our former colleague, Carl […]

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Federal Reserve Hesitates on QE Unwind / Balance Sheet Reduction

Federal Reserve Hesitates on QE Unwind / Balance Sheet Reduction Is the Federal Reserve’s Great Unwind already coming unwound? I thought it would be good to check up on Federal Reserve balance sheet reduction since the Fed is supposed to be up and running on the move out of quantitative easing this month. It should […]

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What Could Pop The Everything Bubble?

What Could Pop The Everything Bubble? A crisis that can’t be solved by just printing more dollars I’ve long held that if a problem can be solved by creating $1 trillion out of thin air and buying a raft of assets with that $1 trillion, then central banks will solve the problem by creating the […]

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“The Nightmare Scenario” Revisited: Albert Edwards Lays Out The Next “Black Monday”

“The Nightmare Scenario” Revisited: Albert Edwards Lays Out The Next “Black Monday” Is it the onset of a recession or the fear of a recession that causes a crash? That is what SocGen’s bear (or, as he calls himself this time, wolf) Albert Edwards contemplated on the 30th anniversary of Black Monday, before reaching the […]

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ECB Suffers from “Corporate Capture at its Most Extreme”

ECB Suffers from “Corporate Capture at its Most Extreme”  Many of these banks are implicated in the biggest financial crimes. No single institution has more influence over the lives of European citizens than the European Central Bank. It sets the interest rates for the 19 Member States of the Eurozone, with a combined population of […]

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World’s Biggest Ever Junk Bond Bubble in Pictures: What Hath Draghi Wrought?

World’s Biggest Ever Junk Bond Bubble in Pictures: What Hath Draghi Wrought?  In regards to ECB QE bond purchases, inquiring minds may be asking: What hath ECB president Mario Draghi wrought? I can explain in one picture. The answer in words: The world’s biggest junk bond bubble. I prefer gold. On August 4, I commented on […]

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“The End Of The QE Trade”: Why Bank of America Expects An Imminent Market Correction

“The End Of The QE Trade”: Why Bank of America Expects An Imminent Market Correction Last Friday, when looking at the historic, record lows in September volatility and the daily highs in US and global equity markets, BofA’s chief investment strategist Michael Hartnett said that the “best reason to be bearish in Q4 is there […]

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What A Fed Rate Hike Means For U.S. Shale

What A Fed Rate Hike Means For U.S. Shale North American shale oil and gas companies have proven that they can adapt their business model through the lower crude oil prices cycle. Now, the new challenge for shale producers is how to adjust their financial strategy when the Federal Reserve (Fed) raises interest rates. Since […]

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QT1 Will Lead to QE4

QT1 Will Lead to QE4 There are only three members of the Board of Governors who matter: Janet Yellen, Stan Fischer and Lael Brainard. There is only one Regional Reserve Bank President who matters: Bill Dudley of New York. Yellen, Fischer, Brainard and Dudley are the “Big Four.” They are the only ones worth listening […]

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This Fed is on a Mission

This Fed is on a Mission QE Unwind starts Oct. 1. Rate hike in Dec. Low inflation, no problem. The two-day meeting of the FOMC ended on Wednesday with a momentous announcement that has been telegraphed for months: the QE unwind begins October 1. It marks the end of an era. The unwind will proceed […]

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Federal Reserve Will Continue Cutting Economic Life Support

Federal Reserve Will Continue Cutting Economic Life Support I remember back in mid-2013 when the Federal Reserve fielded the notion of a “taper” of quantitative easing measures. More specifically, I remember the response of mainstream economic analysts as well as the alternative economic community. I argued fervently in multiple articles that the Fed would indeed […]

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When This Debt Bubble Bursts, Central Banks Will Turn to Money Printing… Again

When This Debt Bubble Bursts, Central Banks Will Turn to Money Printing… Again Let’s face the facts. The only reason the financial system has held together so well since 2008 is because Central Banks have created a bubble in bonds via massive QE programs and seven years of ZIRP/NIRP. As a result of this, the […]

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Why Quantitative Easing In The Eurozone Will Be Extended

Why Quantitative Easing In The Eurozone Will Be Extended The staff of the European Central Bank has now released the new macro-economic projections for the Eurozone and whilst the introduction sounds optimistic about an ever-increasing GDP and a relatively stable GDP growth rate, reading between the lines suggests we could see an extended Quantitative Easing […]

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What Does the QE Experience Say About Rates in a Shrinking Fed Balance Sheet World?

What Does the QE Experience Say About Rates in a Shrinking Fed Balance Sheet World? The Federal Reserve is likely to decide next week to begin letting assets roll of its balance sheet as bonds mature, instead of reinvesting the proceeds. This means that the balance sheet will begin to shrink in size and other […]

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Bill Blain Crawls Back Into His Pit: “There Is Apparently Nothing To Worry About”

Bill Blain Crawls Back Into His Pit: “There Is Apparently Nothing To Worry About” What do we know different this morning? There is apparently nothing to worry about. Everything is coming up roses. These are not the droids you are looking for – says my market guru Steve Previs. All the old market bears, like […]

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