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Tag Archives: recession
Why The Next Recession Will Morph into a Decades Long Depressionary Event…Or Worse
Why The Next Recession Will Morph into a Decades Long Depressionary Event…Or Worse Economists spend inordinate time gauging the business cycle that they believe drives the US economy. However, the real engine running in the background (and nearly entirely forgotten) is the population cycle. The positive population cycle is such a long running macro trend thousands of years […]
The Next Recession May Be A Complete Reset Of All Asset Valuations
The Next Recession May Be A Complete Reset Of All Asset Valuations Sometime this year, world public and private plus unfunded pensions will surpass $300 trillion. That is not even counting the $100 trillion in US government unfunded liabilities. Oops. These obligations cannot be paid. A time is coming when the market and voters will […]
This Region Of The World Is Being Hit By The Worst Economic Collapse It Has Ever Experienced
This Region Of The World Is Being Hit By The Worst Economic Collapse It Has Ever Experienced The ninth largest economy in the entire world is currently experiencing “its longest and deepest recession in recorded history”, and in a country right next door people are being encouraged to label their trash so that the thousands […]
“Recessionary” Demand Forces New York Harbor To Divert Gasoline Shipments
“Recessionary” Demand Forces New York Harbor To Divert Gasoline Shipments Two weeks ago, Goldman analysts were stunned when they noted that in recent weeks gasoline demand in the US has collapsed to levels that suggest not all is well with the economy. In fact, as the bank’s oil expert Damien Courvalin said “to achieve the 5.9% decline […]
David Collum: We’ve Got A Recession Coming
David Collum: We’ve Got A Recession Coming A bad one, at that Whether or not you’ve had time yet to plow your way through David Collum’s excellent 2016 Year in Review, our annual podcast with Dave always brings additional color to light — and this year’s is no exception. Any model based on an assumed 7.5% […]
The Floodgates Begin To Open
The Floodgates Begin To Open It’s now clear that what governments did to counter the Great Recession may have delayed systemic collapse, but did not resurrect the old normal. Growth around the world is anemic – which is to say debt continues to increase faster than the productive capacity to service it – and inflation […]
Great Causes, a Sea of Debt and the 2017 Recession
Great Causes, a Sea of Debt and the 2017 Recession Great Cause NORMANDY, FRANCE – We continue our work with the bomb squad. Myth disposal is dangerous work: People love their myths more than they love life itself. They may kill for money. But they die for their religions, their governments, their clans… and their […]
88% Probability We Just Entered Recession & The Broken Monetary Mechanism That Got Us Here
88% Probability We Just Entered Recession & The Broken Monetary Mechanism That Got Us Here My last piece “The Matrix Exposed” generated a bit of a stir. And as per usual the PhD’s had some fairly colourful things to say to me regarding the notion that more money and more credit may actually stall an economy. But look I’m not […]
Central Banks May Choose Helicopter Money Over Negative Rates
CENTRAL BANKS MAY CHOOSE HELICOPTER MONEY OVER NEGATIVE RATES The US Federal Reserve (Fed) is considering raising rates. Is the “normalization” of interest rates about to happen which savers and investors have been yearning for? Most likely not. Policymakers are merely realizing that the policy of zero rates — or even negative rates as in the euro […]
Global Recession? The Canadian Economy Shrinks At The Fastest Pace Since The Last Financial Crisis
Global Recession? The Canadian Economy Shrinks At The Fastest Pace Since The Last Financial Crisis Things have not been this bad for the Canadian economy since the last global recession. During the second quarter of 2016, Canada’s GDP contracted at a 1.6 percent annualized rate. That was the worst number in seven years, and it […]
Canadian Economy ‘Double-Dip’ Crashes In Q2 – Worst GDP Growth In 7 Years
Canadian Economy ‘Double-Dip’ Crashes In Q2 – Worst GDP Growth In 7 Years The first half of 2015 saw Canada informally enter ‘recession’ with two quarters of negative GDP but then, everything bounced back and policy shifts were ‘proven’ effective. However, that dead-canadian-cat-bounce is over as Q2 2016 GDP growth just slumped 1.6% – double-dipping to […]
Russia Frets about Risk of “Recession” in China
Russia Frets about Risk of “Recession” in China What do they see that we don’t? Russia’s economy has been shrinking five quarters in a row, though in the first quarter of 2016, it contracted at an annual rate of “only” 1.2%, after having contracted 3.7% in 2015, the longest recession in two decades. The budget […]
Without Recovery There Is Every Need To Examine The Worst Case
Without Recovery There Is Every Need To Examine The Worst Case There is a great deal that is wrong with mainstream economic commentary, starting with its unwavering devotion to orthodox economics and unshakable faith in their “stimulus.” No matter how little is actually stimulated there is never any doubt that the media will simultaneously forget […]
