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Does Arctic Drilling Have A Future With Sub $50 Oil?

Does Arctic Drilling Have A Future With Sub $50 Oil? Italian oil group ENI is expected to begin production from the Goliat Field off Norway in a few short weeks. The project, which has cost $5.6 billion, is expected to produce 34 million barrels of oil per year by the second year of production. Yet […]

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Why the $20 Oil Predictions are Wrong

Why the $20 Oil Predictions are Wrong Deja Vu As the price of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) retests the $40 per barrel (bbl) mark, some pundits are again calling for WTI to fall to $15 or $20/bbl. The same thing happened earlier in the year when crude prices tested $40. Lots of people predicted $20, […]

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Oil Price Collapse Triggers Currency Crisis In Emerging Markets

Oil Price Collapse Triggers Currency Crisis In Emerging Markets Emerging market currencies are getting slammed by the collapse in commodity prices, a downturn that has accelerated in recent weeks. The health of many middle-income and emerging market economies has been predicated on relatively strong commodity prices. A whole category of countries achieved strong growth by […]

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Market Meltdown Means More Pain for Oil Producers

Market Meltdown Means More Pain for Oil Producers Supply-side downward price pressure has been the story of global energy prices over the past year: newfound supply from the Shale Revolution, OPEC’s gambit of market-share grabbing inundation, and new supply coming online from Iraq and soon Iran. The result was a plunge in oil prices from […]

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Saudi Arabia Faces Another “Very Scary Moment” As Economy, FX Regime Face Crude Reality

Saudi Arabia Faces Another “Very Scary Moment” As Economy, FX Regime Face Crude Reality “They are working for their market share, not for the price,” Kazakh Prime Minister Karim Massimov told Bloomberg on Saturday, during the same interview in which he predicted that sooner or later, dollar pegs in Saudi Arabia and the UAE would […]

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Commodity Markets In Distress As Oil Rout Continues

Commodity Markets In Distress As Oil Rout Continues One hundred and eleven years after the birth of Count Basie, and the ongoing rout in the crude complex is in full swing today. Downhill one-way traffic continues amid headlines such as ‘No End in Sight for Oil Glut‘ and ‘Oil Poised for Longest Weekly Losing Streak Since 1986 […]

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TSX and Dow plunge again on fears of China-led slowdown

TSX and Dow plunge again on fears of China-led slowdown Dow in correction territory as investors hit ‘sell’ button North American stock markets closed sharply lower again today, ending what was a dismal week for equities as fears about the global economy and falling oil prices had many investors selling. The main benchmark index of […]

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Is The Oil Crash A Result Of Excess Supply Or Plunging Demand: The Unpleasant Answer In One Chart

Is The Oil Crash A Result Of Excess Supply Or Plunging Demand: The Unpleasant Answer In One Chart One of the most vocal discussions in the past year has been whether the collapse, subsequent rebound, and recent relapse in the price of oil is due to surging supply as Saudi Arabia pumps out month after […]

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The Peak Oil Crisis: A $4 Trillion Hole

The Peak Oil Crisis: A $4 Trillion Hole Last week reporters at the Wall Street Journal sat down and did some arithmetic. They looked at how much oil was selling for in the spring of 2014 (over $100 a barrel); looked at what it is selling for today (under $50); and concluded that if prices […]

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Low Oil Prices Could Break The “Fragile Five” Producing Nations

Low Oil Prices Could Break The “Fragile Five” Producing Nations Persistently low oil prices have already inflicted economic pain on oil-producing countries. But with crude sticking near six-year lows, the risk of political turmoil is starting to rise. There are several countries in which the risks are the greatest – Algeria, Iraq, Libya, Nigeria, and […]

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Low Oil Prices And China Pull The Rug From Under Latin America

Low Oil Prices And China Pull The Rug From Under Latin America When China sneezes, the world gets a cold. The world’s second largest economy is suddenly looking unstable, with economic growth slowing, the stock markets gyrating, and a surprise currency devaluation having taken worldwide markets by surprise. That could be bad news not just […]

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Canada “Getting Clocked” by Something Far Bigger than Oil

Canada “Getting Clocked” by Something Far Bigger than Oil Canada is likely in a technical recession, after the economy shrank for the first five months of the year. It’s heavily dependent on commodities. The oil bust and the broader commodity rout have been blamed liberally. The theory goes that the problem is contained. The oil […]

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Junk-Rated Offshore Drillers Headed into Bankruptcy: Fitch

Junk-Rated Offshore Drillers Headed into Bankruptcy: Fitch After fracking, offshore drilling. At the leading edge is rig-contractor Hercules Offshore. In March 2014, before the oil price collapsed, it had the temerity to sell for 100 cents on the dollar $300 million in junk bonds. Since then, its shares have collapsed to near zero. Its bonds […]

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What is the price of oil telling us?

What is the price of oil telling us? Market fundamentalists tell us that prices convey information. Yet, while our barbers and hairdressers might be able to give us an extended account of why their prices have changed in the last few years, commodities such as oil–which reached a six-year low last week–stand mute. To fill […]

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This Week In Energy: The Growing Threat From China

This Week In Energy: The Growing Threat From China Oil prices dropped to new six-year lows this week as WTI dipped below $42 per barrel. The big piece of news this week was the currency depreciation in China. It seems we are talking more and more these days about the warning signs coming from China’s […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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