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Tag Archives: economic growth
Money for Nothin’ and your Chicks for Free – and your Houses too!
Money for Nothin’ and your Chicks for Free – and your Houses too! Nothing Against the Old We would like to preface today’s Diary with a clarification: We don’t have anything against old people. We don’t have anything against high GDP growth rates either. But the two don’t go together. Some of this opinion comes from looking […]
Why wobbly world markets are more worrying than oil: Don Pittis
Why wobbly world markets are more worrying than oil: Don Pittis Central bankers are out of bullets if 1929-level markets go bust again Bank of Canada governor Stephen Poloz says the “wobble” in the Canadian economy caused by the shocking fall in the price of oil is just about over. But according to some analysts, a more […]
The American Consumer Will Never Be Back
The American Consumer Will Never Be Back That title may be a bit much, granted, because never is a very long time. I might instead have said “The American Consumer Won’t Be Back For A Very Long Time”. Still, I simply don’t see any time in the future that would see Americans start spending again […]
The Growth Delusion
The Growth Delusion It’s time to stop believing in GDP. Here’s why By Dirk Philipsen There is an idea that wields power unlike any other. Faith in it is truly global: crossing national and ideological barriers and defining the logic of every major economy in the world today. That idea is economic growth. The faith […]
The puzzling flattening of carbon emissions and the problem of global growth
The puzzling flattening of carbon emissions and the problem of global growth Last week we learned that maybe, just maybe, global carbon emissions were flat in 2014 even though the global economy supposedly grew by 3 percent. As Brad Plumer of Vox (whose work I greatly respect) points out, carbon emissions have moved up almost in […]
Currency Wars… Are Not Working
Currency Wars… Are Not Working While none of the current batch of currency-devaluing Central Bankers would admit that their policies are designed to weaken the currency, enhance competitiveness, and hail a new bright future of growth for their nation (by printing money), it is clear that is the chosen textbook-based path chosen. However, as the following […]
When This Ends, Everybody Gets Hurt
When This Ends, Everybody Gets Hurt And the end is uncomfortably close Central banks around the globe have taken us all into unchartered territory, where the possible paths boil down to a binary outcome: either it all works out or it doesn’t. Unfortunately, the ‘it all works out’ outcome has a very low probability of […]
The Only Road Out Of Davos
The Only Road Out Of Davos After 6+ (BIG +) years of deepening poverty and rising stock markets, of creative accounting, of QE and ultralow interest rates, of extend and pretend and outright propaganda and of what have you, all of which have led us to where we are today, facing yet more rounds of […]
IMF cuts global growth outlook, calls for accommodative policy
IMF cuts global growth outlook, calls for accommodative policy BEIJING (Reuters) – The International Monetary Fund lowered its forecast for global economic growth in 2015, and called on Tuesday for governments and central banks to pursue accommodative monetary policies and structural reforms to support growth. Global growth is projected at 3.5 percent for 2015 and 3.7 […]
The End Of The World Of Finance As We Know It
The End Of The World Of Finance As We Know It I’ve said before, and quite a while ago too, – more than once-, that the world of investing as we’ve come to know it is over. It’s still as true as it was then, and I can only hope that more people today understand […]
Who Benefits When Bubbles Burst?
Who Benefits When Bubbles Burst? Blowing speculative bubbles cannot possibly lead to organic growth because speculative bubbles fatally undermine the real economy. An astute reader recently posed an insightful question: we all know who benefits from asset bubbles in stocks, bonds and real estate–owners of assets, banks, the government (all those luscious capital gains and rising property taxes), […]
March of the Squirrels
March of the Squirrels Prediction is a difficult business at the best of times, but the difficulties seem to change from one era to another. Just now, at least for me, the biggest challenge is staying in front of the headlines. So far, the crash of 2015 is running precisely to spec. Smaller companies in the […]
One Region That Could Benefit Most From Low Oil Prices
One Region That Could Benefit Most From Low Oil Prices The current low price of oil so far has been a mixed blessing for the world economy. Some countries, such as the poor OPEC member Venezuela, are hurt by the price drop. Many others benefit, in most cases simply because their businesses and consumers pay […]
Oil Prices, Rig Count And The Economic Impact
Oil Prices, Rig Count And The Economic Impact A few years ago I spent a good deal of time overseas. When you travel for an extended period, it is always interesting to begin to understand the perception that people in other parts of the world have about where you come from. When I was living […]
Government Spending, Edging Up, Is a Stimulus – NYTimes.com
Government Spending, Edging Up, Is a Stimulus – NYTimes.com. NAPLES, Fla. — For a long stretch, government spending cutbacks at all levels were a substantial drag on economic growth. Now, finally, relief is in sight. For the first time since 2011, local, state and federal governments are providing a small but significant increase to prosperity. […]
