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For Canadian Oil Sands It’s Adapt Or Die

For Canadian Oil Sands It’s Adapt Or Die That low oil prices are squeezing out oil sands producers is not breaking news. But in spite of a grim oil price outlook, production out of Calgary has continued to grow, defying both expectations and logic. The implications are serious, not just for the future of Canada’s […]

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The Shale Delusion: Why The Party’s Over For U.S. Tight Oil

The Shale Delusion: Why The Party’s Over For U.S. Tight Oil The party is over for tight oil. Despite brash statements by U.S. producers and misleading analysis by Raymond James, low oil prices are killing tight oil companies. Reports this week from IEA and EIA paint a bleak picture for oil prices as the world production surplus continues. EIA […]

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Peak Oil Ass-Backwards (part 2): Crashing OilPrices Aren’t Due to an Oil Glut But to DemandDestruction and Peaking Credit

Peak Oil Ass-Backwards (part 2): Crashing Oil Prices Aren’t Due to an Oil Glut But to Demand Destruction and Peaking Credit As I began to mention at the end of the first part of this three-parter, I’ve only just recently come to the conclusion that oil prices aren’t going to have a tendency to rise due to […]

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Oil Price Increase Will Not Come Fast Enough To Save Alberta

Oil Price Increase Will Not Come Fast Enough To Save Alberta “There’s just no cash.” That’s the Coles Notes from a senior banker describing the book of oil service loans he manages for one of Alberta’s leading lenders. There’s simply not enough cash flow to support current levels of debt. Bankers and borrowers have kicked […]

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Goldman Sachs downgrades oil forecast, says $20 per barrel is possible

Goldman Sachs downgrades oil forecast, says $20 per barrel is possible Investment bank predicts average price of $45 a barrel next year, but lower isn’t implausible Goldman Sachs has bad news for anyone banking on the oil price rebounding any time soon, saying in a report that the price of crude could fall to $20 […]

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Inside Ground Zero Of Canada’s Recession

Inside Ground Zero Of Canada’s Recession In the past year, we have extensively profiled the collapse of ground zero of Canada’s oil industry as a result of the plunge in the price of oil, in posts such as the following: “Canada Crude Contagion: Calgary Home Prices Drop Most In 2 Years“ “Canada’s Biggest Oil Casualty […]

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Why Saudi Arabia’s Pursuit Of Market Share Is Self-Defeating

Why Saudi Arabia’s Pursuit Of Market Share Is Self-Defeating The Saudis are on track to sacrifice ~$100 billion in crude export revenues in 2015, or 45 percent of 2014’s ~$219 billion in crude export revenues, in pursuit of market share, the measure of success Saudi Oil Minister Ali bin Ibrahim Al-Naimi announced at the November […]

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The Decline of Oil: Head-Fake or New Normal?

The Decline of Oil: Head-Fake or New Normal? When production does finally collapse, that will set up the “nobody saw this coming” ramp in the price of oil. In May 2008 I proposed the Oil “Head-Fake” Scenario in which global recession pushes oil demand down as oil exporters pump their maximum production in a futile attempt […]

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Alberta’s Oil Companies Warn Government On Taxes

Alberta’s Oil Companies Warn Government On Taxes Big oil is taking no chances with the outcome of Alberta’s royalty review currently underway. In 2007, the industry was surprised when royalties were jacked up despite dozens of corporate presentations to the royalty review panel warning of the fragility of investment economics and the damage increased royalties […]

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How Fracking Changed the Economics of Oil Production Around the World

How Fracking Changed the Economics of Oil Production Around the World James Meadway, chief economist at the New Economics Foundation, explains the interrelated economics behind China’s ‘Black Monday’ stock market crash, Middle Eastern oil and US fracking. The ‘fracking revolution’ has transformed the economics of oil production globally, with the US becoming a bigger producer than Saudi Arabia and […]

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The Default Next Move For Oil Is Down, And Here’s Why

The Default Next Move For Oil Is Down, And Here’s Why Panic seems like a strong word, but…. As traders, investors and pundits, we all like to think that what we do is akin to a science. We believe that by working harder and being smarter we can give ourselves an edge, that enough research […]

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Global Economic Fears Cast Long Dark Shadow On Oil Price Rebound

Global Economic Fears Cast Long Dark Shadow On Oil Price Rebound After bouncing around, oil prices finished off the week with just a bit less volatility than when it started the week. WTI stayed at around $46 per barrel as of midday on September 4, with Brent holding at $50 per barrel. Aside from supply […]

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Fallout From Petrodollar Demise Continues As Qatar Borrows $4 Billion Amid Crude Slump

Fallout From Petrodollar Demise Continues As Qatar Borrows $4 Billion Amid Crude Slump Early last month in “Cash-Strapped Saudi Arabia Hopes To Continue War Against Shale With Fed’s Blessing,” we noted the irony inherent in the fact that Saudi Arabia, whose effort to bankrupt the US shale space has blown a giant hole in the […]

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The “Peña Nieto Bottom”

The “Peña Nieto Bottom” When Enrique Peña Nieto’s government pushed a historic energy reform bill through the Mexican congress in 2013, it was hoped that it would serve not only to privatize but also modernize Mexico’s state-owned Pemex and allow it to compete with giants like Exxon. However, the one thing the government seemingly hadn’t […]

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Financial Sector To Cut Credit Supply Lines For Oil And Gas Industry

Financial Sector To Cut Credit Supply Lines For Oil And Gas Industry More U.S. oil and gas companies could come under financial distress in the coming months as crucial hedging protection begins to expire. Many companies had locked in high prices for their oil sales last year, allowing them a degree of protection as oil […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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