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Olduvai III: Catacylsm
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Stocks and Bonds Are Due for a Generational Crash of 75%

May 20, 2015

Stocks and Bonds Are Due for a Generational Crash of 75% From the point of view of history, a reversion to generational lows is inevitable, and a valuation level around 50% of GDP for stocks is a fair target. If we look back to 1981 valuations of stocks and bonds as a guide to valuations […]

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Bank Reserves and Loans: The Fed is Pushing On a String

May 7, 2015

Bank Reserves and Loans: The Fed is Pushing On a String The money multiplier effect no longer works. As you (hopefully) know, we live in a fractional reserve banking system: if the bank is required to have $1 in cash reserves for every $10 in loans, it means the bank creates $10 of new money when it issues a […]

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The Rehypothecation of Gold, and Why It Matters

April 24, 2015

The Rehypothecation of Gold, and Why It Matters Claiming to own X quantity of gold is one thing, and reporting how many times the gold has been pledged as collateral is another. When correspondent Scott A. Batten offered to write an explanation of the rehypothecation of gold and why it matters, I quickly accepted. Like many […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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