QUESTION: Hi Marty !
Happy new year! Not written in a while, but wanted to ask a private question related to the forthcoming cold period.
a) How long will it last? (It will start now and go into 2024 – when does Socrates say it will start to reverse and when will temperatures be back to where they are now ?)
b) How far south does someone have to go who is allergic to cold anyway? Is it best to keep away from volcanic islands?
c) Is it in your view a minor cold blip or “OMG we’re all going to freeze to death and run out of food ?”
Just so I know the prognosis. It would be helpful if you could ask Socrates the relevant questions as I think there are a number of folks who would n’t mind knowing the answers to these types of questions – privately !!!
Trust all is well with you.
BR
ANSWER: Socrates was projecting that the peak on this cycle aligned with the ECM 2015.75. This is a Longitudinal Cycle, not Transverse. That means peak to bottom varies. This wave should be a 13-year decline from 2015 making it 2028 at best. The outside projection calls for a 17-year decline and that lines up with the peak in the ECM 2032.
Worst still, the rate of decline will be brutal. This implies we are looking at the fastest decline in nearly 10,000 years. I suppose that is appropriate since we are also at a 5,000-year low in interest rates as well.
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