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Greenspan Explains The Fed’s Miserable Track Record: “We Didn’t Forecast Better Because We Can’t”

Greenspan Explains The Fed’s Miserable Track Record: “We Didn’t Forecast Better Because We Can’t”

On March 11, the National Archives announced its first opening of Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission (FCIC) records, along with a detailed 1,400-page online finding aid (yes, just the index is 1,400 pages). The records which are available via DropBox, seek to identify the causes of the 2008 financial crisis.

Among the numerous materials are interviews with key players in Washington and on Wall Street, from Warren Buffett to Alan Greenspan. The documents also include minutes of commission meetings and internal deliberations concerning the causes of the financial crisis.

While we admit we have yet to read the several hundred thousand pages released yesterday, here is what has so far emerged as of the better punchlines within the data dump, and it comes courtesy of the man who many believe is responsible not only for the second global great depression (which needs trillions in central bank liquidity to be swept under the rug every day), but for the “bubble-bust-bigger bubble” cycle that was unleashed with Greenspan’s Great Moderation.

Here is Allan Greenspan meeting with Dixie Noonan et al on March 31, 2010:

This is a reason why the Board is getting an unfair rap on this stuff. We didn’t forecast better than anyone else; we regulated banks that got in trouble like anyone else. Could we have done better? Yes, if we could forecast better. But we can’t. This is why I’m very uncomfortable with the idea of a systemic regulator, because they can’t forecast better.

This comes from the person in charge of the most powerful central bank in the world; a world which now is reliant exclusively on central bankers for its day to day pretend existence.

Good luck to all.

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