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Our Final Destiny: Catastrophe or Rebirth?

Our Final Destiny: Catastrophe or Rebirth? Millenialism or renewalism? The “Base Case” scenario of the first version of “The Limits to Growth” study, published in 1972. Note the shape of the curves: a slow growth is followed by a rapid decline, the typical “Seneca Shape.” Note also that the calculation shows a single cycle. Collapse, […]

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Why societies grow more fragile and vulnerable to collapse as time passes

Why societies grow more fragile and vulnerable to collapse as time passes Getty Images Do societies become more fragile over time? (Credit: Getty Images) An analysis of hundreds of pre-modern states suggests that civilisations tend to have a ‘shelf-life’ – a pattern that holds lessons for today’s ageing global powers. The rise and fall of […]

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Designing Collective Security | Olivia Lazard

Designing Collective Security | Olivia Lazard Navigating existential crisis in a time of political and social upheaval We’re breaking all kinds of records at the moment: cities are boiling at 62C, ocean temperatures are literally off the charts, and governments have increased the global defence budget to an alarming $2440 billion. War costs life, and not just human […]

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EROEI and Civilization’s Forced Decline

EROEI and Civilization’s Forced Decline EROEI (Energy Return on Energy Invested) is possibly the most important ratio to human existence. This measure is foundational to our civilization, yet understood by few. Photo by NASA / Unsplash EROEI (Energy Return on Energy Invested) is possibly the most important ratio to human existence. This measure is foundational […]

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Today’s Contemplation: Collapse Cometh LX–Infinite growth. Finite planet. What could possibly go wrong? Part Two

Today’s Contemplation: Collapse Cometh LX July 19, 2022 (original posting date) Athens, Greece (1984). Photo by author. Infinite growth. Finite planet. What could possibly go wrong? Part Two This is Part Two of a contemplation regarding what humanity’s future path ‘may’ look like. Part One can be found here. Based on the evidence found in our pre/history […]

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Today’s Contemplation: Collapse Cometh CLXVI–Societal Collapse: The Past is Prologue

Today’s Contemplation: Collapse Cometh CLXVI Athens, Greece (1984). Photo by author. Societal ‘Collapse: The Past is Prologue Today’s Contemplation has been once again prompted by the latest musings of The Honest Sorcerer. I believe their posts motivate me more than most others I read because we very often focus upon the same subject matter and appear, for […]

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What do the Rich Have in Mind? First, Their own Survival

What do the Rich Have in Mind? First, Their own Survival We know very little about what the rich actually think, surely nothing like what transpires from their public declarations. I’ve always been thinking that the rich and the powerful are not smarter than the average commoner, such as you and I. But just the […]

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Today’s Contemplation: Collapse Cometh XI–Fiat Currency, Infinite Growth, Finite Resources: A Recipe For Collapse

Today’s Contemplation: Collapse Cometh XI Knossos, Crete (1993) Photo by author Fiat Currency, Infinite Growth, Finite Resources: A Recipe For Collapse Yet another in an increasing collection of comments I have posted to the online media site The Tyee. This time it is a commentary on an article that reviews a book arguing in favour of […]

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The Four Stages of Societal Collapse and Thiel’s Libertarian Challenge

The Four Stages of Societal Collapse and Thiel’s Libertarian Challenge “This is what will happen in the United States if you allow all the[se] schmucks to promise all kinds of goodies and paradise on earth which will bring the country to crisis” Yuri Bezmenov Rewatching this video of a defector from the Soviet Union in […]

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Collapsing by Doubling Down: How Leaders Create Their Own Ruin

Collapsing by Doubling Down: How Leaders Create Their Own Ruin Napoleon won all the battles he engaged in, up to Borodino (1812), which was a non-victory, equivalent to a loss. From then, on it was all downhill from him. Napoleon had engaged in a task too big even for him: invading Russia. It is typical […]

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Elon Musk: “Civilization Is Going To Crumble”

Elon Musk: “Civilization Is Going To Crumble” Even billionaires like Elon Musk can see that the current state of affairs is completely and utterly unsustainable.  If we stay on the path that we are on, and there are absolutely no indications that we plan to reverse course, societal collapse is inevitable.  In fact, as I […]

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Collapse (Part 1)

Collapse (Part 1) https://youtu.be/gdBSWjxKJOE

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Who Would Survive the Collapse of Civilization?

Who Would Survive the Collapse of Civilization?

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The Long Descent — Decline and Fall of Industrial Society

The Long Descent — Decline and Fall of Industrial Society The title of this piece is borrowed from John Michael Greer’s 2008 book The Long Descent, the central thesis of which is threefold. Firstly, the industrial civilisation we take for granted is unsustainable and is in decline. The evidence for this is all around us but many […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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