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Moody’s: Illinois pension debt-to-revenue ratio hits all-time high for any state

Moody’s: Illinois pension debt-to-revenue ratio hits all-time high for any state According to a new report by Moody’s Investors Service, Illinois’ unfunded pension liabilities equaled 601 percent of state revenues in 2017, a U.S. record. Illinois’ pension debt has set a new record to which no state should aspire. Credit ratings agency Moody’s Investors Service […]

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Economic Doom Returns: Emerging Market Currencies Collapse To Record Lows As Global Financial Chaos Accelerates

Economic Doom Returns: Emerging Market Currencies Collapse To Record Lows As Global Financial Chaos Accelerates After a little bit of a lull, the international currency crisis is back with a vengeance.  Currencies are collapsing in Argentina, Brazil, India, Turkey and other emerging markets, and central banks are springing into action.  It is being hoped that […]

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Jim Rogers: “Before This Is Over, Gold Might Turn Into A Bubble”

Jim Rogers: “Before This Is Over, Gold Might Turn Into A Bubble” Famed investor Jim Rogers, chairman of Rogers Holdings, told Kitco News that while he is not yet buying gold at current levels, a rebound in the yellow metal could cause it to overheat. “Before this is over, gold could turn into a very […]

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Once the Bubbles Pop, We’re Broke

Once the Bubbles Pop, We’re Broke I hate to break it to you, but the everything bubble isn’t permanent. OK, I get it–the Bull Market in stocks is permanent. Bulls will be chortling in 2030 that skeptics have been wrong for 22 years–an entire generation. Bonds will also be higher, thanks to negative interest rates, and housing will […]

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How “Wealthy” Would We Be If We Stopped Borrowing Trillions Every Year?

How “Wealthy” Would We Be If We Stopped Borrowing Trillions Every Year? These charts reflect a linear system that is wobbling into the first stages of non-linear destabilization. The widespread presumption is the U.S. is wealthy beyond words, and will remain so as far as the eye can see: wealthy enough to fund trillion-dollar weapons […]

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How America’s Wars Have Created Piles of Debt (And Little Strategic Benefit)

How America’s Wars Have Created Piles of Debt (And Little Strategic Benefit) America risks the return of the very fiscal and foreign policy perils that Walter Lippmann warned about almost a century ago. When Defense Secretary James N. Mattis spoke at the 2018 Center for the National Interest Distinguished Service Award dinner in late July, […]

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Chicago Hopes To “Solve” Record Pension Deficit With Creative Solution: More Debt

Chicago Hopes To “Solve” Record Pension Deficit With Creative Solution: More Debt John Maynard Keynes would be thrilled to hear about the brilliant solution Chicago has come up with to help solve its pension deficit: issue a $10 billion bond and take on more debt. Chicago’s pension deficit has been a problem that we’ve been covering […]

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The 5 Previous Times This Stock Market Indicator Has Reached This Level Stock Prices Have Fallen By At Least 50 Percent

The 5 Previous Times This Stock Market Indicator Has Reached This Level Stock Prices Have Fallen By At Least 50 Percent Have you ever heard of the “Sound Advice Risk Indicator”?  Every single time in our history when it has gone above 2.0 the stock market has crashed, and now it has just surged above […]

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Real Estate & Understanding The Role of Debt

Real Estate & Understanding The Role of Debt QUESTION: Dear Sir/Madam Thank you so much for what you all do. I was just reading today’s Blog 17-08-2018 –  ‘ Real Estate – Leverage – Transition to the Reset ‘.   The bit I did not understand was where it was written  ‘ Keep in mind that […]

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It’s the Debt Cycle (And Other Things)

It’s the Debt Cycle (And Other Things) The debt cycle, tariffs, and central bank hubris have created the conditions for a spectacular unwind of risk assets. Yesterday in Turkey: Lira Bulls and Bears Duke it Out On Twitter I asked, “Is there a bullish case for the Lira? One person thinks so. Most think otherwise.” […]

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Macro Digest: It’s not Turkey, it’s the debt cycle

Macro Digest: It’s not Turkey, it’s the debt cycle There is currently a lot of focus on Turkey, and for good reason, but Turkey is really only a second or third derivative of the global macro story. Turkey represents the catalyst for a new theme, which is “too much debt and current account deficits equals […]

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The Telltale Signs of Imperial Decline

The Telltale Signs of Imperial Decline Nothing is as permanent as we imagine–especially super-complex, super-costly, super-asymmetric and super-debt-dependent systems. Check which signs of Imperial decline you see around you: The hubris of an increasingly incestuous and out-of-touch leadership; dismaying extremes of wealth inequality; self-serving, avaricious Elites; rising dependency of the lower classes on free Bread […]

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5 Signs That Global Financial Markets Are Entering A Bear Market, And 11 Ways That You Can Get Prepared For The Chaos That Is Coming…

5 Signs That Global Financial Markets Are Entering A Bear Market, And 11 Ways That You Can Get Prepared For The Chaos That Is Coming… We haven’t seen carnage like this in the global financial marketplace in quite some time.  On Wednesday, U.S. stocks were down some, but things were much, much worse around the […]

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Poland, the Next Turkey? Spotlight on the Zloty and External Debt

Poland, the Next Turkey? Spotlight on the Zloty and External Debt Emerging markets have taken it on the chin. Is Poland next? Murray Gunn, Head of Global Research at Elliott Wave International, asks “Is Poland the next Turkey?” Our outlook for the Polish Zloty suggests that Poland’s developing authoritarianism is likely to accelerate. In case […]

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Turkey: A harbinger of a global debt crisis?

Turkey: A harbinger of a global debt crisis? The economic crisis brewing in Turkey seems to have surprised many. This was probably, at least partly, due to the ‘period of tranquility’ created by the central banks with theirs ‘unorthodox measures’. Many seem to have imagined that the “synchronized global growth” spurt were here to last. […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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