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Unspoken Truth

Unspoken Truth We all know it yet the unspoken truth deserves to be said out aloud. You all heard the phrases ‘Don’t fight the Fed’, and ‘ there is no alternative’. Can we be clear what these phrases really mean? They mean people are buying assets at prices they otherwise wouldn’t because a central planning committee is […]

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UNIDOS HACIA EL FUTURO

UNIDOS HACIA EL FUTURO “The markets are the product of 1999 & 2007 hooking up for a one night stand.” Tweet by Danielle DiMartino Booth (@DiMartinoBooth), 25th August 2020. “In the middle of the journey of our life, I came to / Myself in a dark wood, for the straight way was lost.” Dante, Inferno. “Zoom is […]

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“Prolonged Period of Risk to Institutional and Retail Investors of Further – Possibly Significant – Market Corrections”

“Prolonged Period of Risk to Institutional and Retail Investors of Further – Possibly Significant – Market Corrections” European Market Regulator flags big issues, including the “decoupling of financial market performance and underlying economic activity.” The European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA) warned of a “prolonged period of risk to institutional and retail investors of further […]

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Weekly Commentary: Moral Hazard Quagmire

Weekly Commentary: Moral Hazard Quagmire The Nasdaq100 jumped another 3.5% this week, increasing 2020 gains to 32.3%. Amazon gained 4.3% during the week, boosting y-t-d gains to 77.8% – and market capitalization to $1.626 TN. Apple surged 8.2% this week, increasing 2020 gains to 69.4%. Apple’s market capitalization ended the week at a world-beating $2.127 […]

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They’ve Done It Again

They’ve Done It Again The stars are back in their courses. The angels are back in the heavens. And the Perfections are back within sight… For merely 148 trading days after bottoming… the S&P returned to record heights today. The index closed the day at 3,389 — eclipsing its February 19 height of 3,386. Thus […]

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Market Update: Overstimulated!

Market Update: Overstimulated! Today’s twin orgy of monetary & fiscal stimulus makes a market reckoning inevitable The melt-up discussed last week remains in full force, with the S&P 500 hitting a new intraday all-time high on Wednesday. Just to make sure we’re all clear on this: stocks are back to their highest prices BEFORE the coronavirus pandemic […]

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Buyer Beware–Gold ETFs Like GLD Own No Gold

BUYER BEWARE – GOLD ETFs LIKE GLD OWN NO GOLD Two major asset classes are major beneficiaries of the unlimited money printing and credit creation that is now taking place globally. One of them will end in tears and the other one has just started a major secular bull market. As the world economy and […]

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Memo from Insiders: Dear Bagholders, Thanks for Buying Our Shares at the Top

Memo from Insiders: Dear Bagholders, Thanks for Buying Our Shares at the Top The self-sustaining recovery is a fantasy that’s evaporated. What looks like a powerful, can’t-lose rally to newbies is recognized as distribution by old hands. In low-volume markets (as in the past few months), insiders holding large positions can’t dump all their shares at once or […]

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There Ain’t No Such Thing as a Free Lunch – Part 3

There Ain’t No Such Thing as a Free Lunch – Part 3 In previous articles, I examined the negative externalities of post-Keynesian measures like unlimited monetary easing. First, I explained that such policies were inflating asset prices, squeezing working and middle classes, and thus leading to a core deflationary impact on the rest of the […]

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Is the Dollar Overvalued or Undervalued?

Is the Dollar Overvalued or Undervalued? The latest claim running around is that the dollar is overvalued relevant to its trading partners, and it will decline as the economy recovers due to imports. You really have to wonder if these analysts are just working from home and have lost all sense of the world because […]

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Super Bull

Super Bull You know where I stand: Markets have been bloated to high heaven via unlimited and unprecedented liquidity injections creating the illusion of a bull market when there is none. Yes indices such as $SPX and $NDX show incredible strength driven by a few single stocks, but as we discussed the rest of the […]

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Weekly Commentary: Drone Money

Weekly Commentary: Drone Money “In particular, to maintain downward pressure on longer-term interest rates, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) likely will provide forward guidance about the economic conditions it would need to see before it considers raising its overnight target rate. And it likely will clarify its plans for further securities purchases (quantitative easing). […]

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JPMorgan: “Central Banks Have Created A Collective Hallucination Where Valuations Are Entirely Fabricated”

JPMorgan: “Central Banks Have Created A Collective Hallucination Where Valuations Are Entirely Fabricated” Over a decade ago we were mocked and ridiculed for saying that the Fed was manipulating and rigging stock markets, pushing risk assets higher (either singlehandedly or via Citadel) and its only mandate was to prop up consumer confidence by preventing a […]

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This Is a Financial Extinction Event

This Is a Financial Extinction Event The lower reaches of the financial food chain are already dying, and every entity that depended on that layer is doomed. Though under pressure from climate change, the dinosaurs were still dominant 65 million year ago–until the meteor struck, creating a global “nuclear winter” that darkened the atmosphere for months, […]

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Weekly Commentary: Utmost Crazy

Weekly Commentary: Utmost Crazy The Shanghai Composite surged 7.3% this week, increasing y-t-d gains to 10.9%. The CSI 300 rose 7.6%, with 2020 gains of 16.0%. China’s growth-oriented ChiNext Index’s 12.8% surge boosted year-to-date gains to 54.5%. Copper jumped 7.1% this week. Aluminum rose 4.6%, Nickel 4.0%, Zinc 8.3%, Silver 4.2%, Lead 4.2%, and Palladium […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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