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Why the Global Economy Is Unraveling

Why the Global Economy Is Unraveling Global supply chain logjams and global credit/financial crises aren’t bugs, they’re intrinsic features of Neoliberalism’s fully financialized global economy. To understand why the global economy is unraveling, we have to look past the headlines to the primary dynamic of globalization: Neoliberalism, the ideological orthodoxy which holds that introducing market […]

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Peter Schiff: It’s Game Over if the Markets Call the Fed’s Bluff

Peter Schiff: It’s Game Over if the Markets Call the Fed’s Bluff The Federal Reserve insists inflation is “transitory” and the economy is making “progress.” Yet, it continues with the extraordinary monetary policy it launched at the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic. Meanwhile, we’re seeing all kinds of data hinting that the economy may not […]

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Michael Pento: First Disinflation, Then Deflation, Then Big-Time Inflation

Michael Pento: First Disinflation, Then Deflation, Then Big-Time Inflation Suddenly investors are panicked that (hyper)inflation is taking over. But what if they’re mistaken? That could be a costly mistake if they’re betting their portfolio’s future on it. Because there’s a strong case to be made that we’re now actually entering a period of dis-inflation, one that […]

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Markets Next “Minsky Moment”

Technically Speaking: The Markets Next “Minsky Moment” In this past weekend’s newsletter, I discussed the issue of the markets next “Minsky Moment.” Today, I want to expand on that analysis to discuss how the Fed’s drive to create “stability” eventually creates “instability.” In 2007, I was at a conference where Paul McCulley, who was with PIMCO at the time, discussed the idea […]

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Weekly Commentary: Dangerous Addiction

Weekly Commentary: Dangerous Addiction July 20 – Reuters (Karen Pierog): “Risk-off sentiment that drove Monday’s sell-off on Wall Street and rally in U.S. Treasuries widened credit spreads on corporate bonds to multi-month highs. The spread on the ICE BofA U.S. High Yield Index, a commonly used benchmark for the junk bond market, spiked from 318 […]

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Market Volatility Is Troubling, But This Is the Real Problem

Market Volatility Is Troubling, But This Is the Real Problem Photo by Rémi Boudousquié If you were awake at all this week, you caught glimpses of the stock market drama. Maybe you tuned it out? Here’s a quick recap: Monday. Huge sell-off, the worst one-day decline since October 2020. Tuesday: Big rebound recaptured 80% of Monday’s […]

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“This Is The Biggest Bubble I’ve Seen In My Career” – Dems’ Infrastructure Spending Could Lead To Devastating Crash, Druck Warns

“This Is The Biggest Bubble I’ve Seen In My Career” – Dems’ Infrastructure Spending Could Lead To Devastating Crash, Druck Warns This isn’t the first time billionaire investor Stanley Druckenmiller has warned that US markets are caught up in a “raging mania” fostered by the trillions of dollars in government spending. Druck, an acolyte of George Soros […]

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Reset Means Crash of Epic Proportions – David Stockman (Revised)

Reset Means Crash of Epic Proportions – David Stockman (Revised) Reagan White House Budget Director and best-selling author David Stockman says, “This is not the time to be invested in the markets . . . . A reset is just a pleasant name or a clinical name for a crash of epic proportions, which we […]

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Crisis, Crash, Collapse

Crisis, Crash, Collapse We have a fine-sounding word for running with the herd: momentum. When the herd is running, those who buy what the herd is buying and sell what the herd is selling are trading momentum, which sounds so much more professional and high-brow than the noisy, dusty image of large mammals (and their […]

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Cornered Fed Weighs Dilemma: Market Crash or Runaway Inflation?

Cornered Fed Weighs Dilemma: Market Crash or Runaway Inflation? Image via Science Photo Library The U.S. economy is at a fork in the road. One route leads to the return of market fundamentals and sane stock valuations, at the cost of a historic market correction. The other route leads to runaway hyperinflation that eats up […]

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Unstoppable Oil Could Be Nail In Coffin For Stocks

Unstoppable Oil Could Be Nail In Coffin For Stocks Stock investors worried about inflation should pay close attention to the rising price of oil. It could be the final kick needed to derail the consumer-spending spree behind the U.S.’s surging growth. From groceries to housing materials to gasoline, life is getting expensive for the average […]

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When Expedient “Saves” Become Permanent, Ruin Is Assured

When Expedient “Saves” Become Permanent, Ruin Is Assured The Fed’s “choice” is as illusory as the “wealth” the Fed has created with its perfection of moral hazard. The belief that the Federal Reserve possesses god-like powers and wisdom would be comical if it wasn’t so deeply tragic, for the Fed doesn’t even have a plan, […]

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Economic Evolution Turns Many Comparisons Obsolete

Economic Evolution Turns Many Comparisons Obsolete The financial system has entered uncharted waters and it would be wise to take nothing for granted. To assume the economy will move forward without a glitch in such an environment is  extremely optimistic. With time, things change and evolve, this transformation can be seen in both society and […]

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The long history of money

The long history of money We are approaching a critical turning point in the history of financial systems. Since the Great Financial Crisis, central banks have exerted control over the financial markets through their QE-programs and plan to extend their influence over the monetary system through the introduction of national digital currencies.  Opposing forces include, as […]

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Translating Yellen-Speak into Golden-Speak

Translating Yellen-Speak into Golden-Speak Given the increasingly politicized interplay (cancer) of central bank policy and so-called free market price discovery, it’s becoming increasingly more important to track the actions of central bankers rather than just traditional market signals alone. Like it or not, the Fed is the market. Toward this end, we’ve had some substantive fun deciphering […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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