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Core Consumer Price Inflation Prints Hotter Than Expected
Core Consumer Price Inflation Prints Hotter Than Expected Having slowed and disappointed for the last two months, all eyes are on US consumer price index growth (which was expected to slow once again in June) this morning as the next Fed rate-cut narrative confirmation. The problem for rate-cut-hopers is that the picture is mixed at […]
Gold Will Rise Even If The Fed Doesn’t Cut Interest Rates
Gold Will Rise Even If The Fed Doesn’t Cut Interest Rates There has been much speculation lately on the Federal Reserve and its ongoing tightening policy. If you were to only read mainstream economic news you would think the Fed had already reversed course and “capitulated”, but this is not the case. The Fed continues […]
Challenging the Notion that the Fed will Support Markets to Prevent a Crisis
Challenging the Notion that the Fed will Support Markets to Prevent a Crisis A pervasive belief throughout both the mainstream and independent media is that when faced with the threat of an economic downturn, central banks will act unconditionally to lower interest rates and inject fresh stimulus into markets by way of quantitative easing. One theory […]
How the Fed Wrecks the Economy Over and Over Again
How the Fed Wrecks the Economy Over and Over Again When people talk about the economy, they generally focus on government policies such as taxation and regulation. For instance, Republicans credit President Trump’s tax cuts for the seemingly booming economy and surging stock markets. Meanwhile, Democrats blame “deregulation” for the 2008 financial crisis. While government […]
Inflation Chickens Will Come Home to Roost – Peter Schiff
Inflation Chickens Will Come Home to Roost – Peter Schiff Money manager Peter Schiff says all the money printing and debt explosion since the Great Recession comes with a huge downside. Schiff says, “All sorts of bad policies basically took place thanks to the monetary excesses applied by the world central banks, but now we […]
The Real Reason Why The Fed Isn’t Cutting Interest Rates
The Real Reason Why The Fed Isn’t Cutting Interest Rates In an article published in September 2015 titled ‘The Real Reason Why The Fed Will Raise Interest Rates’ I outlined a kind of economic war game, a predictive theory in which the Federal Reserve would hike rates into clear economic weakness in order to deliberately cause the […]
Weekly Commentary: Rejoicing Central Banker Capitulation
Weekly Commentary: Rejoicing Central Banker Capitulation June 21 – Neel Kashkari, Minneapolis Fed president: “In the Federal Open Market Committee meeting that concluded on Wednesday of this week, I advocated for a 50-basis-point rate cut to 1.75% to 2.00% and a commitment not to raise rates again until core inflation reaches our 2% target on […]
Rabobank: “We Are On The Verge Of Lunatic Monetary Policy And Lunatic Fiscal Policy Combined”
Rabobank: “We Are On The Verge Of Lunatic Monetary Policy And Lunatic Fiscal Policy Combined” Ups and Downings One Bloomberg headline says it all for markets: “All Time Highs in Everything American As Risk Rally Crescendoes” Yes, the S&P and Dow are at all-time highs and the talk is of when, not if, US bond […]
Square Minus Zero
Square Minus Zero I intentionally start writing this mere minutes away from Fed chair Jay Powell’s latest comments. Intentionally, because the importance ascribed to those comments only means we have gotten so far removed from what capitalism and free markets are supposed to be about, that it’s pathetic. The comments mean something for rich socialists, […]
Blain’s Morning Porridge – 18th June 2019
Blain’s Morning Porridge – 18th June 2019 “Here’s to all the filthy money and where it went..” Happy Birthday David! Apologies for the lack of commentary y’day.. long, dull boring story involving the Isle of Wight Festival, transport hassles and a whiff of pot on a strike slowed train… So much to think and worry […]
Goldman: Here’s Why The Fed Is About To Shock The Market
Goldman: Here’s Why The Fed Is About To Shock The Market As discussed earlier, and as both Bank of America and JPM explained, the biggest risk for the market next week is if the Fed not only doesn’t cut – the market assigns a very low probability to such a “pre-emptive” move – but fails to signal an aggressive […]
Bubble 3.0: A Blast From a Bubble Past
BUBBLE 3.0: A BLAST FROM A BUBBLE PAST “Although macroeconomic forecasting is fraught with hazards, I would not interpret the currently very flat yield curve as indicating a significant economic slowdown to come.”–BEN BERNANKE, Former Fed Chairman in a March 20, 2006 speech “It was popular to play down the significance of the inverted yield […]
IceCap: Every Fed Chair Has A Plan, Until…
IceCap: Every Fed Chair Has A Plan, Until… It’s Easy In the world of knitting, stitching and crocheting; threading the needle is easy. Line-up your thread, needle and a good cup of tea and you’re all set. In most other worlds – it can be tricky. If executed perfectly – threading the needle can be rewarding, exhilarating […]
“The Market is Almost Always Wrong About What the Fed Will Do”: Chart
“The Market is Almost Always Wrong About What the Fed Will Do”: Chart The rate cuts for 2019 are a pipe-dream: Goldman Sachs and Deutsche Bank. It now makes two: The chief economists at investment banks Goldman Sachs and Deutsche Bank have warned their clients that the already priced-in rate cuts this year that markets […]
