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Tag Archives: interest rates
Benn Steil: The Fed Could be Tightening More Than it Realizes
BENN STEIL: THE FED COULD BE TIGHTENING MORE THAN IT REALIZES Ten years ago, before the collapse of Lehman Brothers rocked global financial markets, the Fed’s balance sheet stood at $925 billion—mostly U.S. Treasuries. After fifty-nine months of asset purchases to push down longer-term interest rates, it had ballooned to a peak of $4.5 trillion, […]
Gold, Interest Rates and Super Cycles
Gold, Interest Rates and Super Cycles When the Fed raised interest rates last December, many believed gold would plunge. But it didn’t happen. Gold bottomed the day after the rate hike, but then started moving higher again. Incidentally, the same thing happened after the Fed tightened in December 2015. Gold had one of its best […]
Central Bank Group Think: Convince the Public More Inflation is Coming
Central Bank Group Think: Convince the Public More Inflation is Coming Chicago Fed chief Charles Evans is worried about the lack of inflation primarily because he is clueless about where to find it. As further proof of his economic illiteracy, Evans says “Low inflation expectations keep inflation down”. Bloomberg reports Evans Says Fed Must Convince […]
Sweden: The World’s Biggest Housing Bubble Cracks
Sweden: The World’s Biggest Housing Bubble Cracks Sweden’s property bubble is probably the world’s biggest, despite which it gets relatively little coverage in the mainstream financial media – although that might be about to change. Warnings about this bubble are not new. In March 2016, Moody’s issued a very explicit warning that Sweden’s negative interest […]
Close to the Edge
CLOSE TO THE EDGE “Look at it this way. In 100 years, who’s gonna care ?” Nancy, waitress, in ‘The Terminator’ (screenplay by James Cameron and Gale Ann Hurd). Imagine that a cyborg from 10 years into the future paid you a visit back in 2007. Here is what is going to happen, he says, […]
Weekly Commentary: “Money” on the Move
Weekly Commentary: “Money” on the Move It’s been awhile since I’ve used this terminology. But global markets this week recalled the old “Bubble in Search of a Pin.” It’s too early of course to call an end to the great global financial Bubble. But suddenly, right when everything looked so wonderful, there are indication of […]
Interest Rates will Double
Interest Rates will Double QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong; Thank you for an excellent conference. I have been attending since 2011. Each time you deliver a different conference and they are always better than the last. I could not help to notice on Zero Hedge they ran a piece about a Harvard University’s visiting scholar at the Bank of […]
Prepare For Interest Rate Rises And Global Debt Bubble Collapse
Prepare For Interest Rate Rises And Global Debt Bubble Collapse – Diversify, rebalance investments and prepare for interest rate rises – UK launches inquiry into household finances as £200bn debt pile looms – Centuries of data forewarn of rapid reversal from ultra low interest rates – 700-year average real interest rate is 4.78% (must see chart) […]
What Hayek Tells Us About the Link Between Ultra-Loose Monetary Policy and Political Instability
WHAT HAYEK TELLS US ABOUT THE LINK BETWEEN ULTRA-LOOSE MONETARY POLICY AND POLITICAL INSTABILITY The European Central Bank will increase the overall volume of its bond purchase program to 2.550.000.000.000 euros by September 2018. The main refinancing rate will remain at zero. Mario Draghi has stressed that this policy shall continue until inflation picks up […]
700 Years Of Data Suggests The Reversal In Rates Will Be Rapid
700 Years Of Data Suggests The Reversal In Rates Will Be Rapid Have we been lulled into a false sense of security about the future path of rates by ZIRP/NIRP policies? Central banks’ misguided efforts to engineer inflation have undoubtedly been woefully feeble, so far. As the Federal Reserve “valiantly” raises short rates, markets ignore […]
For God’s Sake, Stop!
FOR GOD’S SAKE, STOP! “Most economists, it seems, believe strongly in their own superior intelligence and take themselves far too seriously. In his open letter of 22 July 2001 to Joseph Stiglitz, Kenneth Rogoff identified this problem. ‘One of my favourite stories from that era is a lunch with you and our former colleague, Carl […]
Bank Of England Hikes Rates By 25bps In 7-2 Vote; First Increase In A Decade; Pound Plunges
Bank Of England Hikes Rates By 25bps In 7-2 Vote; First Increase In A Decade; Pound Plunges Over ten years since the last rate hike by the Bank of England in July 2007 (when incidentally, cable was trading above $2.00), and following years of market expectations of an imminent rate hike that failed to materialize… […]
The Curious Case of Missing Defaults
THE CURIOUS CASE OF THE MISSING DEFAULTS CAMBRIDGE – Booms and busts in international capital flows and commodity prices, as well as the vagaries of international interest rates, have long been associated with economic crises, especially – but not exclusively – in emerging markets. The “type” of crisis varies by time and place. Sometimes the […]
Low Interest Rates Subsidize Wealthy Households
LOW INTEREST RATES SUBSIDIZE WEALTHY HOUSEHOLDS When the economy begins to sink into recession, politicians, mainstream economists, policy wonks, and the Federal Reserve begin beating the economic stimulus drum. Politicians, however, disagree over the type of stimulus to implement. The center-left party proposes greater expenditures on public assistance programs. The center-right party supports permanent tax […]
Necessity is the Mother of Invention–Retirees Desperate Reach for Yield
NECESSITY IS THE MOTHER OF INVENTION – RETIREES DESPERATE REACH FOR YIELD Ben Bernanke’s creativity inspired a generation of economists and central bankers. QE, ZIRP and NIRP established a new class of economics that is mathematically sound but practically disastrous. Billions of dollars were transferred from savers to investors to boost the economy, but the […]
