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Tag Archives: growth
The Global Economy’s Wile E. Coyote Moment
The Global Economy’s Wile E. Coyote Moment Economies and markets may already be plunging off a cliff. Always behind. Photographer: Justin Sullivan/Getty Images Our prediction last year of a global growth downturn was based on our 20-Country Long Leading Index, which, in 2016, foresaw the synchronized global growth upturn that the consensus only started to […]
We need to end growth dependency, but how?
We need to end growth dependency, but how? Introduction: escaping growth-dependency It has long been understood that the standard economic prescription of economic “growth”, to fix multiple economic, social and environmental ills, is highly implausible3. This stems from the elementary observation that you cannot expand the material throughput of the economy (the materials and energy it […]
Economists vs. Scientists on Long-Term Growth
Yegor Aleyev\TASS via Getty Images Economists vs. Scientists on Long-Term Growth Artificial intelligence researchers and conventional economists may have very different views about the impact of new technologies. But right now, and forgetting the possibility of an existential battle between man and machine, it seems quite plausible to expect a significant pickup in productivity growth […]
The Faster America “Grows”, The Faster America Goes Bust
The Faster America “Grows”, The Faster America Goes Bust As of October 1st of 2007 (the start of the 2008 Federal Government fiscal year), federal debt stood at $9 trillion and 70 billion. In the subsequent ten years and five months, the US federal debt has grown $11 trillion and 805 billion and now stands at $20 […]
Who Is It That Wants to Buy Trillions of US Treasury’s???
Who Is It That Wants to Buy Trillions of US Treasury’s??? As of the latest Treasury update showing federal debt as of Wednesday, February 15…federal debt (red line below) jumped by an additional $50 billion from the previous day to $20.76 trillion. This is an increase of $266 billion essentially since the most recent debt ceiling passage. Of course, […]
Closing the Gap between the Science and Politics of Progress
Closing the Gap between the Science and Politics of Progress Ed.note: This article draws on a paper published this month in the international journal, Social Indicators Research. The paper is available on Richard’s website, www.richardeckersley.com.au Global politics is based on an outmoded and increasingly destructive model of human progress and development. Can science change a […]
BIll Blain: “The Unintended Consequences Are Finally Coming Back To Bite Us”
BIll Blain: “The Unintended Consequences Are Finally Coming Back To Bite Us” Fundamentals ok, Technicals corrected, so why we should still be nervous on what comes next for markets… “If the apocalypse comes, tweet me..” That was an interesting week that was…. but what a hangover we face! What happened to the global bull stock […]
Really Bad Ideas, Part 6: Money That “Rots And Rusts”
Really Bad Ideas, Part 6: Money That “Rots And Rusts” In the next downturn (which may have started last week, yee-haw), the world’s central banks will face a bit of poetic justice: To keep their previous policy mistakes from blowing up the world in 2008, they cut interest rates to historically – some would say […]
“This Won’t End Well” – Mortgage Rates Spike To 4-Year Highs
“This Won’t End Well” – Mortgage Rates Spike To 4-Year Highs Growth? Inflation? Be careful what you wish for, as the surge in Treasury yields has sent mortgage interest rates to their highest in four years, flashing a big red warning light for affordability and home sales in 2018… The U.S. weekly average 30-year fixed […]
Decolonisation and Degrowth
Decolonisation and Degrowth Why do degrowth scholars use the word “decolonise” to discuss the process of changing the growth imaginary? Isn’t decolonisation about undoing the historical colonisation of land, languages and minds? How do these two uses of the word relate? This blog post is the result from a discussion held between some participants at […]
Weekly Commentary: The Grand Crowded Trade of Financial Speculation
Weekly Commentary: The Grand Crowded Trade of Financial Speculation Even well into 2017, variations of the “secular stagnation” thesis remained popular within the economics community. Accelerating synchronized global growth notwithstanding, there’s been this enduring notion that economies are burdened by “insufficient aggregate demand.” The “natural rate” (R-Star) has sunk to a historical low. Conviction in […]
Could the Renminbi Challenge the Dollar?
Wodicka/ullstein bild via Getty Images Could the Renminbi Challenge the Dollar? China’s rapid economic growth, coupled with savvy monetary management by its leaders, has internationalized the renminbi to a degree that scarcely could have been imagined just a few decades ago. But if China’s leaders ever want to challenge the US for global currency dominance, […]
The real lesson of the Energiewende is that the German economy uses too much energy to be sustainable and needs to degrow…
The real lesson of the Energiewende is that the German economy uses too much energy to be sustainable and needs to degrow… Implications of a study by Hans Werner Sinn, ifo Institute Munich For a long time Germany’s attempt to grapple with atomic power, climate change and energy issues through its so called “Energiewende” (Energy […]
Rising Social Disorder Is Inevitable: Here’s Why
Rising Social Disorder Is Inevitable: Here’s Why We can do better, and if we don’t, the only possible output of such an unequal system is increasing social disorder. We are in a very peculiar point in history. On the one hand, we’re reassured that all is well because Every One of the World’s Big Economies […]
