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A Much Bigger Threat Than Our National Debt
A Much Bigger Threat Than Our National Debt The markets are acting as though it was already summer. They are wandering around with little ambition in either direction. Meanwhile, we’ve been wondering about… and trying to explain… what it is we are really doing at the Diary. We expect a violent monetary shock, in which the dollar […]
Last Two Times This Happened, Stocks Crashed
Last Two Times This Happened, Stocks Crashed Global growth is languishing, corporate revenues too, but CEOs are trying to show they can grow their companies the quick and easy way. Cheap debt is sloshing through the system while yield-hungry investors offer their first-born to earn 5%. And this cheap debt along with vertigo-inducing stock valuations […]
A Bubble on Thin Ice
A Bubble on Thin Ice An Inexperienced Herd A recent Bloomberg article discusses the fact that most traders active today have never known anything but the era of easy money, and wonders how they will handle the potential end of that era. To this it should be mentioned that the widely expected rate hike cycle may well […]
Something Smells Fishy
SOMETHING SMELLS FISHY It’s always interesting to see a long term chart that reflects your real life experiences. I bought my first home in 1990. It was a small townhouse and I paid $100k, put 10% down, and obtained a 9.875% mortgage. I was thrilled to get under 10%. Those were different times, when you […]
The Dissident Dad – 10 Things I Had to Unlearn That My Children Won’t
The Dissident Dad – 10 Things I Had to Unlearn That My Children Won’t This list could grow to 1,000 ideas, but I’ve kept it down to ten. In the future, I might update it and add some more. There are a lot of bad ideas that dominate the world we live in today, most of which are […]
Free Financial Markets Are A Hoax
Free Financial Markets Are A Hoax There are no free financial markets in America, or for that matter anywhere in the Western word, and few, if any, free markets of any other kind. The financial markets are rigged by the big banks, the Federal Reserve, and the Treasury in the interests of the profits of […]
Global Trade Dives Most since the Financial Crisis
Global Trade Dives Most since the Financial Crisis How great was the global economy in the first quarter? We know the US economy was crummy. The revised GDP estimate will likely sink into red mire. Hence the heated proposals these days, including at the Fed, to apply “a second round of seasonal adjustment” that would “correct” […]
“It’s A Coup D’Etat,” David Stockman Warns “Central Banks Are Out Of Control”
“It’s A Coup D’Etat,” David Stockman Warns “Central Banks Are Out Of Control” We’re all about to be taken to the woodshed, warns David Stockman in this excellent interview. The huge wealth disparity is “not because of some flaw in capitalism, or Reagan tax cuts, or even the greed of Wall Street; the problem is central […]
Today’s CPI Lesson: The Fed’s 2% Inflation Target Is Completely Stupid
Today’s CPI Lesson: The Fed’s 2% Inflation Target Is Completely Stupid The madness of the Fed’s pending 81 month run of zero interest rates comes down to an inflation subterfuge that has no logical or empirical grounding in real world economics. Essentially, the Keynesians who currently inhabit the Eccles Building have turned all of central banking’s anti-inflation history on its head, saying, […]
Former Fed Governor Predicts “Wrenching” Market Adjustment
Former Fed Governor Predicts “Wrenching” Market Adjustment Lawrence Lindsey, a Governor of the Federal Reserve from 1991 to 1997, was right before. And got fired for it. Reality was too inconvenient. In December 2002, as George W. Bush’s economic adviser and Director of the National Economic Council at the White House, he fretted out loud […]
Is the Fed Going to Raise Mortgage Interest Rates?
Is the Fed Going to Raise Mortgage Interest Rates? The Interest Rate Guessing Game Seldom does a day go by without some guru offering his or her prediction on when the Fed is going to raise rates. They all come with scholarly theories supporting their prediction. It sounds like a fun game. I want to […]
Bank of America forecasts another rate cut in Canada
Bank of America forecasts another rate cut in Canada Gloomy outlook for Canadian economy sees loonie pushed to 73 cents Bank of America, one of the U.S.’s biggest banks, says the Bank of Canada may have to cut its key lending rate again later this year. Bank of America says Canada’s economy will underperform the […]
Economist on Gold – A Dissection
Economist on Gold – A Dissection A Proven Contrary Indicator In early May, the Economist has published an editorial on gold, ominously entitled “Buried”. We wanted to comment on it earlier already, but never seemed to get around to it. It is still worth doing so for a number of reasons. The Economist is a quintessential […]
Afraid of Losing Trillions, Wall Street Fights Fed Rate Hikes
Afraid of Losing Trillions, Wall Street Fights Fed Rate Hikes Since last week, $2.1 billion worth of artworks have changed hands at Christie’s and Sotheby’s in New York. “Les Femmes d’Alger (Version ‘O’)” by Pablo Picasso sold for $179.4 million, highest price ever paid for a painting at an auction. The bronze, “L’Homme au Doigt,” […]
What If Mortgage Rates Go Up?
What If Mortgage Rates Go Up? From 4% to 5% If the 30 year mortgage rate increases by just a quarter percent to 4.25%, monthly payment increases by 3%, which may only have a minor impact on the market. Half a percent to 4.5% would increase payments by 6.13% and that may start pushing marginally […]
